"Doorka tenge waa mid sii kordhaya." Khubaro EDB - oo rajeyn ah in godlolarization ee midowga Euras

Anonim
"Doorka tenge waa mid sii kordhaya." Khubaro EDB - oo rajeyn ah in godlolarization ee midowga Euras

Maanta, saamiga lacagaha qaranka ee waddamada EAEU ee xisaabinta ay la leeyihiin dhimista dibadu waa yar tahay, in kasta oo mugga hawlgallada ay si tartiib tartiib ah u yaraanayaan. Xisaabinta gudaha midowga gudaheeda, xaaladdu way ka fiican tahay: Ku dhawaad ​​saddex meelood meel ka mid ah ganacsiga labada dhinac ayaa lagu hubiyaa natvaly. Si kastaba ha noqotee, kororka ahmiyadda ah ee Natsvalyut waa xaalad muhiim u ah horumarinta gobolka, u tixgeli EDB. Janaayo 28 falanqeeyayaasha bangiga ayaa soo wariyey "kordhinta doorka lacagaha qaranka ee xisaabinta caalamiga ah", oo ay ku sheegeen in ay ku saabsan yihiin koritaanka koritaanka iyo tallaabooyinka lagu qaado si loo hubiyo si loo hubiyo si loo hubiyo.

USATE NatsValtuta ee Eate

Xisaabinta lacagaha lacagaha ee qaranka ee ganacsiga gudaha ee EERU ee 2020 ayaa la gaadhay 74%, laga bilaabo 2019 ilaa 2019. Kordhinta 10%. Isla waqtigaas, lacagta ugu weyn ee qaranku waa ruble, oo qaybtiisu tahay 70%. Gaar ahaan, qaybtii ruble ee ganacsiga ee Belarus waa 80%, iyadoo Kazakhstan iyo Kyrgyzstan - 60%. Isla mar ahaantaana, Belarus iyo ganacsiga caalamiga ah oo ka badan saddex-meelood meel hawlgallada ayaa ku saabsan caawimaadda lacagta Ruushka.

Wakiilada bangiga ayaa xusay in ay suurta gal tahay in la xoojiyo doorka lacagaha qaranka iyadoo kordhineysa xasilloonida mucroofinimo ee wadamada EAEU, kobaca GDP, ka shaqeynta horumarinta iyo koritaanka dareeraha.

"Waxay muhiim u ahayd in la sameeyo kala saaridda ganacsiga ee laga helo hydrocarbons Alaabada macaamiisha, tan iyo markii ugu horreysay ee qiimaha saamiga ah ay had iyo jeer ku ganacsaneyso billadaha Nacawelt" - ayaa sharxay Madaxa Dhaqaalaha EDB Evgeny Venokurov.

Si kastaba ha noqotee, waxaa jira su'aalo badan oo la xiriira adeegsiga dalalka kale ee midowga, oo qaybtoodu hadda yar tahay. Sida laga soo xigtay Vinokoorov, doorka tenge waa mid sii kordhaya: "Qeybta lacagta Kazakh waxay ku kordheen degsiimooyinka Kyrgyzstan (laga bilaabo 19% in ka badan 7 sano), oo ka mid ah degsiimooyinka xiriirka Ruushka gaadhay 5%, ka soo baxda 2%, Waxaa jira awood koritaan ah oo leh Uzbekistan. " Sida loogu talo galay lacagaha kale, tusaale ahaan, riwaayadaha Armenia ama lo'da Kyrgyz - qaybtoodu wali aad ayey u yar tahay. Laakiin VINOKUROV waxay ogaatay in "ay mudan tahay in diirada la saaro guusha shaqsiyeed ee qaranka, laakiin godka guud ahaan."

Sida loo horumariyo xisaabinta NATVEALY

"Tan ugu weyn, mudnaanta mudnaanta - ka bixitaanka doolarka. Waxaad aadi kartaa lacagaha kala duwan. Tani waa lambarka hawsha. Ka dibna howsha labaad ayaa socda, oo ku saabsan caalamiga ah ee qaran-abuurka, "madaxa falanqaynta dhaqanka iyo tirakoobka ee Sanduuqa Eurasian ee xasilinta iyo horumarka, Natalia Lavrov, ayaa la adkeeyay.

Sida laga soo xigtay wakiilka bangiga, "si loo kordhiyo qaybta lacagta qaranka ee ganacsiga ee EAEU, waxaa lagama maarmaan ah in la xoojiyo dhammaan aagagga, oo ay sidoo kale ku dadaalaan kordhinta cabirka iyo wax soo saarka dhaqaalaha." EDB waxaa sidoo kale lagula talinayaa in la abuuro lacag-bixinno qaran iyo heerka mucroole-ka-hoosaadka si ay u taageeraan guulahaas lagu gaaro kala-duwanaanta ganacsiga.

Isla mar ahaantaana abuurista hal lacag, tusaale ahaan, "Eusasa" ama "Altyna" ee booska Eurasian ee ku yaal EUBB waxaa loo arkaa wax aan quseyn, maadaama ay saameyn xun ku siineyso koritaanka GDP ee waddamada kaqaybqaadashada.

Sii arintan VINOKURUREOV oo la soo jeediyay markii la dallaco meelahaas oo kale "kordhinta xasilloonida dhaqaale ee gudaha, kordhinta mugga ganacsiga ee ganacsiga, iyadoo la kordhinayo mugga ganacsiga iyo maalgashiga qawaaniinta suuqyada shisheeye, isku xirnaanta siyaasada lacageed."

Dedutlarization ee degsiimooyinka caalamiga ah

Way ka adkaan kartaa xaalada kor u qaadista waxaa diirada lagu saarayaa banaanka EAEU. Xiisaha ugu weyn ee badeecadaha ka soo baxa EAEU waxay wali horumarinaysaa waddammada, taas oo, si kastaba ha noqotee, ay noqon karto sabab lagu ballaariyo is dhexgalka bulshada oo kale. Ganacsiga ka dhex jira midowga wuxuu qaadanayaa kaliya 2-3% adduunka, qulqulka ugu weyn ee ku dhaca Mareykanka, EU iyo Shiinaha, sidaa darteed ka bixitaanka doolarka iskaashiga dhaqaale ee shisheeye ee wadamada kale ayaa gaabis ah.

Si kastaba ha noqotee, VINOKUROV ayaa dib u soo xusuustay in "macaamil saddexaad oo soo dejinta saddexaad ee Turkiga iyo shanaad oo leh Hindiya lagu adeego rubles."

Guul yar lagama gaarin ganacsi lala yeesho Shiinaha, si kastaba ha noqotee, yareynta qaybta doolarka ayaa ka dhacday Yuan. "Qaybta doolar ee ganacsiga Shiinaha ee Ruushka waa qiyaastii 50%, laakiin saamiga Yuan ee ganacsiga ayaa sii kordhaya si ka dhakhso badan ruble," ayuu yiri Lavrov. Isla mar ahaantaana, venokurov wuxuu ugu yeeray kiiska Shiinaha "guul shuruud la'aan ah ee siyaasada Defilaaris."

Lacagaha Digital

Khubaro EDB ah ayaa sidoo kale ka jawaabey su'aasha weriyaha "Eurasia.expert" ee ku saabsan digitation of mucjiso ee xisaabinta lacagaha ee EAE ee iftiinka soo-saarista dijital ah. Ugu yaraan ugu yaraan ma jiraan siyaasad hay'ad ah oo ka jirta aaggan, soo-bandhigidda firfircoon ee lacagahaas dijitaalka ah kama dhacdo meel kale oo adduunka ah, kaliya xisaabinta, diyaarinta habka loo sameeyo. "

Sida laga soo xigtay Vinokoorov, Bangiga Dhexe ee Xiriirka Ruushka wuxuu ka shaqeeyaa jihadaas, maadaama uu doonayo inuu ku jiro isbeddelka. Laakiin lafteeda, lacagahaas oo kale ayaa badanaa loo isticmaali karaa "lacag-bixinno aan deganeyn", macaamil ganacsi oo labaduba waxay yareyn karaan kharashyada macaamil ganacsigooda waxayna wiiqi karaan jagooyinka lacagaha dhaqameedyada. Isla mar ahaantaana, waxaa jira suurtagal in la soo bandhigo lacagaha dijitaalka ah ee ganacsiga ee lagu ganacsado Shiinaha, kaas oo si firfircoon wax u baranaya iyo horumarka lacagahaas oo kale.

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In kasta oo dhammaan caqabadaha iyo qayb yar oo ka mid ah shaqaalaha EAEU ee ganacsiga caalamiga ah, guulo muhiim ah ayaa horay loogu gaadhay soo bandhigida lacagaha wadaadka ee xisaabinta midowga iyo wixii ka dambeeya. Hirgelinta sii socota ee awoodda isticmaalka Natsvalyut, sida laga soo xigtay falanqeeyayaasha Falalka EDB, waxay ku xirnaan doontaa heerka xasilloonida macro--degga iyo baakadaha siyaasada bulshada.

Dmitrinev Danil, oo ah wariye ka tirsan kooxda falanqaynta "Eurasia. Khabiir"

Akhri wax dheeraad ah