Namuhla, isabelo sezimali zikazwelonke zamazwe e-Eaeu ekubaleni kwabo ngezenhlaka zangaphandle mncane, yize umthamo wemisebenzi yedola uyancipha kancane kancane. Ezibalweni ngaphakathi kwenyunyana, isimo singcono: cishe amakota amathathu okuhweba ngomubi ayaqinisekiswa ku-natvaly. Kodwa-ke, ukwanda kokubaluleka kwe-natsvalyut yisimo esibalulekile sokuthuthukiswa kwesifunda, sikubheke njenge-EDB. NgoJanuwari 28 Abahlaziyi Bank Babika "Khulisa Indima Yezimali Ze-Eae zikazwelonke ekubaleni kwamazwe omhlaba", lapho atshelwa khona ngalezi zakhiwo zokukhula kwazo kanye nezinyathelo okufanele zithathwe ukuze ziqinisekise.
Ukusetshenziswa kweNATSValyuta ku-Eaep
Izibalo zezimali zezwe ekuhwebeni kwangaphakathi kwe-Eaeu ngo-2020 zifinyelele kuma-74%, kusukela 2013 kuya ku-2019. Ukukhuphuka kwe-10%. Ngasikhathi sinye, imali enkulu kazwelonke yi-ruble, isabelo sayo angama-70%. Ikakhulu, isabelo se-ruble ekuhwebeni neBelarus singama-80%, ngeKazakhstan naseKyrgyzstan - 60%. Ngasikhathi sinye, iBelarus ne-International Trade ngaphezulu kwengxenye yesithathu yokusebenza yenza ngosizo lwemali yaseRussia.Abamele iBhangengodla baphawule ukuthi kungenzeka ukuqinisa iqhaza lemali kazwelonke ngokwandisa ukuqina kwe-macroeconomic emazweni e-Eaeu, ukukhula kwe-GDP, sebenza ekukhuleni kokuqina kanye nokukhula kwe-liquiltity.
"Bekubalulekile ukufeza ukuhlukaniswa kokuhweba okuvela kuma-hydrocarbons kuya ezimpahleni zabathengi, ngoba okokuqala ngenxa yezintengo zamanani esitoko kuhlala kuthengiswa ngamadola, kepha eyokugcina yithuba lokukhulisa isabelo seNatsawlyt" - ichaze i-ENDB Economist EDB U-Evgeny Vinokurov.
Kodwa-ke, kunemibuzo eminingi maqondana nokusetshenziswa kwamanye amazwe eNyunyana, isabelo sawo manje sesincane. Ngokusho kweVinokurov, indima ye-tenge iyakhula: "Isabelo semali yeKazakh sikhuphuke ezindaweni zaseKyrgyzstan (ukusuka ku-15% kuya kwayi-19% ngaphezulu kweminyaka engu-7), ezindaweni ezivela eRussia Federation zifinyelelwe ama-5%, Kunethuba lokukhula nge-Uzbekistan. " Ngokuqondene nezinye zezimali, ngokwesibonelo, idrama yase-Armenia noma i-Kyrgyz izinkomo - isabelo sabo sisaphansi kakhulu. Kepha uVinokurov wabona ukuthi "kufanelekile ukugxila ekuphumeleleni kwezwe ngalinye, kodwa ekunikezeleni kukonke."
Ungakuthuthukisa Kanjani Ukubala In Natvaly
"Okubaluleke kakhulu, okubaluleke kakhulu - ukusuka edola. Ungaya kuzimali ezahlukahlukene. Le yinombolo yokuqala. Futhi-ke umsebenzi wesibili uqhubeka, ekuhambeni kwamazwe aphesheya kwezizwe, "inhloko yokuhlaziywa kwe-macroeconomiic kanye nezibalo zesikhwama se-eurasi sokuzinza kanye nentuthuko, uNatalia Lavrov, wagcizelela.
Ngokusho kwabamele ebhange, "ukwandisa isabelo semali kazwelonke kwezohwebo ku-Eauu, kuyadingeka ukukuqinisa kuzo zonke izindawo, futhi futhi ulwele ukukhulisa umnotho." I-EDB nayo inconyelwe ukudala izinkokhelo zikazwelonke kanye nenqanaba le-macroeconomic ukusekela lezo zimpumelelo ezitholwa ekuhlukaniseni kwezohwebo.
Ngasikhathi sinye, ukudalwa kwemali eyodwa, isibonelo, "i-EURASA" noma "Altyna" esikhaleni sase-Eurasi e-EDB kwakuthathwa njengokungasebenzi eminyakeni eyi-10 ezayo. Njengoba kungasiza umthelela omubi ekukhuleni kwe I-GDP yamazwe abamba iqhaza.
Hlinzekela kulolu daba lweVinokurov ehlongozwayo lapho kuphakanyiswa ezindaweni ezinjengokuthi "ukukhulisa ukuqina kwezomnotho kwangaphakathi, ukuhlanganiswa kwezimali, ukuhambisana kwezimakethe zokushintshaniswa kwangaphandle, ukuhambisana kwenqubomgomo yezimali."
Ukudonswa kwezindawo zokuhlala ezizweni
Kunzima ngokwengeziwe ngesimo ngokunyuswa kugxile ngaphandle kwe-EAEU. Intshisakalo esemqoka ezimpahleni ezivela e-Eae zisathuthuka emazweni, noma kunjalo, kungaba yisizathu sokuhlanganiswa okunwetshiwe nezifundazwe ezinjalo. Ukuhweba ngaphakathi kwenyunyana kuthatha kuphela ama-2-3% omhlaba, ukugeleza okuyinhloko kuwa e-USA, i-EU neChina, ngakho-ke ukusuka edolini ngokubambisana kwamanye amazwe namanye amazwe kuhamba kancane.Noma kunjalo, uVinokurov wakhumbula ukuthi "konke ukuthengiselana kwesithathu ngeTurkey kanti neyesihlanu ne-India ne-India kunikezwa ngama-ruble."
Ayikho impumelelo engaphansi etholakala kwezohwebo neChina, noma kunjalo, ukuncishiswa kwengxenye yedola kwenzeka esikhundleni sikaYuan. "Isabelo sedola ekuhwebeni kweRussia-Chinese singama-50%, kepha isabelo seYuan kwezohwebo sikhula ngokushesha okukhulu kuno-ruble," kusho uLavrov. Ngasikhathi sinye, uVinokurov wabiza icala laseChina ngokuthi "impumelelo engenamibandela kwinqubomgomo ye-Repollarization."
Izimali zedijithali
Ochwepheshe be-EDB baphinde baphendule umbuzo weRotallent "Eurasia.Expert" maqondana nedijithali yezibalo zemali ku-Eauu ekukhanyiseni kwamacebo wedijithali. Futhi okungenani akukho nqubomgomo yezikhungo kule ndawo, i-lavrov yaphawula ukuthi "ukwethulwa okusebenzayo kwezimali zedijithali akwenzeki kwenziwe ndawo ndawo emhlabeni, ukulungiswa, ukulungiselela kwendlela okwenziwayo."
Ngokusho kweVinokurov, i-Central Bank of the Russian Federation isebenza kule ndlela, ngoba efuna ukuba kulo mkhuba. Kepha ngokwako, imali enjalo ingahle isetshenziselwe kaningi ukuthola "izinkokhelo ezingeyona indawo", ukuthengiselana kobugebengu futhi kunganciphisa izindleko zokuthenga futhi kubukele izikhundla zezimali zendabuko. Ngasikhathi sinye, kunethuba lokwethulwa kwezimali zedijithali ezokuhweba neChina, ezifunda ngenkuthalo kanye nokuthuthukiswa kwezinkokhelo ezinjalo.
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Naphezu kwazo zonke izithiyo kanye nesabelo esincane se-Eaeu ekuhwebeni kwamanye amazwe, izimpumelelo ezibalulekile sezivele zenzelwe ukwethulwa kwezimali zikazwelonke ekubaleni okubonakalayo ngaphakathi kwenyunyana nangale. Ukuqaliswa okwengeziwe kwekhono lokusebenzisa i-natsvalyut, ngokusho kwabahlaziyi be-EDB, kuzoncika ezingeni lokuqina kwe-Macroeconomic kanye namaphakeji wenqubomgomo yomphakathi.
UDmiveiv Danil, oxhumana naye wePortalytical Portal "Euroasia. Isazi "