"Udindo wa kung'ung'udza ukukula." Akatswiri a EDB - pa chiyembekezo cha kudzipereka kwa Union Juurasia

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"Udindo wa kung'ung'udza ukukula." Akatswiri a EDB - pa chiyembekezo cha kudzipereka kwa Union Juurasia

Masiku ano, gawo la ndalama za mayiko a Eeu pakuwerengera kwa anzawo ndi ochepa, ngakhale kuchuluka kwa madola pang'onopang'ono ndikuchepetsa pang'onopang'ono. Mu kuwerengera mkati mwa mgwirizano, zinthu zili bwino: pafupifupi magawo atatu oyenda bwino amatsimikiziridwa ku Nevaly. Komabe, kuchuluka kofotokoza za ku Nasvayut ndikofunikira pakupanga derali, kaganizire za ED. Januware 28 Wosanthula Sabata Kutumiza Lipoti "Kuchulukitsa udindo wa National Eaeu ndalama zamakono", momwe adafotokozera za malo omwe amakula ndi njira zomwe amamwalirire.

USAGE Nappyvailta mu Eaep

Kuwerengera ndalama zapadziko lonse mu ntchito yamkati ya Eaeu mu 2020 idafika 74%, kuyambira 2013 mpaka 2019. Kuchuluka kwa 10%. Nthawi yomweyo, ndalama zazikuluzikulu zapadziko lonse ndi ruble, yemwe gawo lake ndi 70%. Makamaka, gawo la ruble malonda ndi belarus ndi 80%, ndi Kazakhstan ndi Kyrgyzstan - 60%. Nthawi yomweyo, Belarus ndi malonda ogulitsa zinthu zoposa gawo limodzi mwa magawo atatu a ntchito amagwira ntchito mothandizidwa ndi ndalama za Russia.

Oyimira banki adazindikira kuti ndizotheka kulimbikitsa ndalama za ndalama zadziko pochulukitsa mayiko a Macroeconomizi mu mayiko, GDP kukula kwamphamvu ndi kukula kwa madzi.

"Zinali zofunika kukwaniritsa malonda kuchokera ku hydrocarbons kwa katundu wogula, chifukwa choyambirira chifukwa cha mitengo yamtengo wapatali nthawi zonse, koma chomaliza ndi mwayi wowonjezera ntchito ya Nataiplyt" Evgeny vinokurov.

Komabe, pali mafunso ambiri okhudza kugwiritsa ntchito maiko ena a mayiko ena, omwe gawo lake ndi laling'ono. Malinga ndi Vnukurov, gawo la Tenger ikukula: "Gawo la ndalama za Kazakh linakwera m'midzi yokhala ndi zaka 7%, kufika pa 2%, Pali kuthekera kokhala ndi Uzbekistan. " Ponena za ndalama zina, mwachitsanzo, sewero la ku Armenian kapena Kyrgyz ng'ombe - gawo lawo limakhala lotsika kwambiri. Koma Vinokurov adawona kuti "ndikofunikira kudziwa bwino dziko la anthu, koma podzipereka kwathunthu."

Momwe mungapangire kuwerengera mu Nationale

"Chofunika kwambiri, chofunikira kwambiri - kunyamuka ku dollar. Mutha kupita ku ndalama zosiyanasiyana. Ili ndiye nambala ya ntchito. Ndipo kenako kugwira ntchito yachiwiri ikuchitika, pochita chidwi ndi kusanthula, "Mutu wa kusanthula kwa macroeconomic ndi ziwerengero za thumba la Eurasiac of Rooralization ndi chitukuko, Natalia Lavrov, adatsimikiza.

Malinga ndi nthumwi za banki, "kuti muwonjezere gawo la ndalama zapadziko lonse mu Eaeu, ndikofunikira kulimbitsa madera onse, komanso kuyesetsa kuwonjezera kuchuluka ndi kutukwana kwachuma." Edb imalimbikitsidwanso kuti apange ndalama zadziko komanso mulingo wa macroeconomic kuti muthandizire zomwe zatheka posintha malonda.

Nthawi yomweyo, kulengedwa kwa ndalama imodzi, "Eulasa" kapena "Altyna" pa malo osavomerezeka m'zaka 10 zotsatira, chifukwa zimapangitsa kuti zitheke za GDP ya mayiko omwe akutenga nawo mbali.

Fotokozerani za magazini iyi ya Venurov yomwe ikupangidwira pokonzekera madera monga "kukulitsa kukhazikika kwachuma, kuphatikiza kwa malamulo osinthana ndi ndalama zosinthana."

Kudzipereka kwa malo ochokera kumayiko ena

Zimakhala zovuta kwambiri pamavuto omwe ali ndi kukwezedwawo amayang'ana kunja kwa Eaeu. Chidwi chachikulu pazinthu zochokera ku Eaeu akadali mayiko omwe akutukuka kumene, komabe, akhoza kukhala chifukwa chophatikizira kuphatikiza ndi mayiko oterewa. Kugulitsa mkati mwa mgwirizano kumangotenga 2-3% yokha ya dziko lapansi, mayendedwe akuluakulu amagwera ku USA, EU ndi China, kotero kuti akugwirizana ndi dola kuzachuma ndi mayiko ena.

Komabe, vinokurov amakumbukira kuti "kugulitsa kulikonse ndi Turkey ndipo chachisanu ndi India chimathandizidwa mu ruble."

Palibe kuchita bwino kwambiri komwe kumachitika ku malonda ndi China, komabe, kuchepetsa gawo la dollar kudachitika mokomera Yuan. "Gawo la dola ku Russian-Chinese pafupifupi 50%, koma gawo la Yuan mu malonda likukula mwachangu kuposa ma ruble," Lavrov adatero. Nthawi yomweyo, vinourov yotchedwa mlandu waku China "Kuchita bwino mopanda malire mu mfundo zodzipereka."

Ma distitution ndalama

Akatswiri a Edb adayankhanso funso la "Eurasia.EXESIAT" Ponena za digito yowerengera ndalama mu Eaeu powunikira kwa Ruble. Ndipo osachepera kulibe lamulo m'derali, Lavrov anati "kugwiritsa ntchito ndalama zoyambilira sizimachitika kwina konse m'dziko lapansi, kungowerengera, njira yokonzekera imapangidwira."

Malinga ndi vinokurov, banki yapakatikati pa Federation waku Russia amagwira ntchito motere, popeza akufuna kukhala machitidwe. Koma zokha, ndalama zoterezi zimatha kugwiritsidwa ntchito ngati "zolipira zopanda pake", zochitika zachiwawa ndipo zimatha kuchepetsa ndalama zogulitsa komanso kusokoneza maudindo a ndalama zachikhalidwe. Nthawi yomweyo, pali kuthekera kwa kukhazikitsa digita ya digito pamalonda ndi China, komwe kumawerengera mwachangu komanso kukula kwa ndalama zotere.

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Ngakhale panali zopinga zonse komanso gawo laling'ono la EEEU malonda apadziko lonse lapansi, zinthu zofunika kwambiri zatheka kale kumayambiriro kwa ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi. Kukhazikitsanso mphamvu yogwiritsa ntchito kwa Nasvayut, malinga ndi kafukufuku wa Edb, kumatengera kuchuluka kwa kukhazikika kwa macroecoconomimimec ndi phukusi la boma.

Dmitriev Danil, mtolankhani wa portal "Eurasia. Katswiri "

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