Imali yaseNingizimu Afrika inamandla kunedola laseMelika?

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Imali yaseNingizimu Afrika inamandla kunedola laseMelika? 48_1

Indaba iyaphindwa. Ngo-2008, ngenxa yokuncishiswa kwenqubomgomo yezezimali eFed, eSouth African Rand Rarm ngokumelene nedola laseMelika ngama-33%. Ngesikhathi senhlekelele yamanje, irandi selivele lithole amaphuzu angama-230 we-2020 minima emhlabeni, futhi lo mkhuba awukapheli.

Imali yaseNingizimu Afrika inamandla kunedola laseMelika? 48_2
Umthombo Wezithombe: FxClub.org

Eminyakeni emine yenhlekelele yezimali, ibhalansi ye-Fed, ngenxa yokuthengwa kwempahla ebanjiswayo kanye namabhondi ka-Treasure, inyuke kathathu kuya ku- $ 2.4 Trillion's to Resolillion ka-2010, kanye nezinga le-Federal Fund kuqubuke kusuka ku-5.25% kuya ku-0,5%. Kubangele ukwanda kwemali etholakala emalini yedola kanye nokuncipha kwalo ngokumelene ne-African Rand ngama-33%.

Manje i-Key Regulator futhi isebenza ngendlela efanayo: Ngonyaka owedlule, ibhalansi ye-Fed yakhula cishe kabili i- $ 7.4 trillion yancishiswa yaba ngu-0%, kanye nokuhlinzekwa kwemali kwedola (i-M2 aggregate) kukhuphuke ngekota.

Ngasikhathi sinye, ukwehla komnotho wezomnotho womhlaba kwakuzuzisa ukwehla kwamandla emali eNingizimu Afrika - kwafika evamile.

Imali yaseNingizimu Afrika inamandla kunedola laseMelika? 48_3
Umthombo Wezithombe: I-TradingConomics.com

Ngasikhathi sinye, inani lenzalo ezweni lihlala emazingeni aphezulu kakhulu (3.5%), okwenza ukuthengwa kweZar kuvunyelwe ku-USD kuvumelane nenzuzo eyengeziwe evela ku-SWAPS.

Kodwa-ke, ukwehla kwenani langempela ledola laseMelika akusindisi isifunda sase-Afrika kusuka ezinkingeni zangaphakathi. I-Afrika ihlala iyizwe elisemiselwe ukuthunyelwa ngengqalasizinda ephansi. Ngokusho kwe-IMF, ivolumu yezohwebo ye-Intra-Regional ingu-12% kuphela wezinto eziphelele zase-Afrika, kanye nemisebenzi yokuhweba ngaphakathi kwezwekazi livame ukwenza ukuhweba neYurophu futhi i-United States inzuzo kakhulu kunabakhelwane. Ukuze abusheleleze le nkinga, ngonyaka we-2018, amazwe angama-24 ase-Afrika angena kwisivumelwano sokuhweba samahhala se-AFCFTA.

Ukuthuthukiswa okuphansi kwengqalasizinda namasiko okukhiqizwa kuholela eqinisweni lokuthi izwekazi lingenisa izinto ezingavuthiwe ekwakhekeni okuluhlaza, ngokwalo. Isibonelo, iCôte d'Ivoire neGhana kukhula ama-70% omhlaba we-cocoa ubhontshisi, kodwa i-Afrika cishe ayikhiqizi ushokoledi.

Izinkinga zangaphakathi ziphazamisa ukwakhiwa kwesimo sezulu esihle sokutshala imali, ngakho-ke akufani nokuthengwa kwesikhathi eside kwe-African Randa. Kodwa-ke, inqobo nje uma uhulumeni nohulumeni baseMelika baqhubeka nezinkuthazo ezisebenzayo, i-USD / ZAR BAR BAMBI izoncishiswa. Manje iSenethi lixoxa ngohlelo olusha lwasendulo olunengqikithi ye- $ 1.9 trillion, ehlongozwa yiqembu le-baiden. Ukutholwa kwakhe kuzoholela ekuguqukeni okusha kwe-US Dollar Ukudaliselwa kanye nokuqinisa imali yase-Afrika.

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