Intengiso yegolide igqityiwe?
Ndikhathazwa yile mbuzo, nangona ubungqina bubonisa ukuba kungabikho mibuzo, ngakumbi ngoku, xa kulindelwe i-ofisi i-ofisi ye-Byyen, ethi i-Ofisi yoHlahlo-mali ilindelwe.
Kwiminyaka yobugcisa yokunciphisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, imicimbi yeeveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo kufanele ukuba ibekho, ukuyibeka ngobumnene, kubangela ixhala. Igolide, yenye yezona zinto zikhuselekileyo ngexesha lezinto ezinqabileyo, ezoqoqosho nezopolitiko, ezilahlekileyo ze-3.5% ngexesha leeveki ezimbini zangoNovemba.
Nangona ukoyiswa kwenyanga ezimbini edlulileyo yayiyindlela yokuqonda ngokupheleleyo kwintengiso, ivela kwimarike emva kokubonakala kogonyo oluvela kwiCovid-19, ukuthengisa okukhulu okukhoyo kwakufuna ukuthandana kwasekuqalekeni, kwaye ixesha layo lokugqibela lakhankanya.
Iwayini yobuthathaka bezikhundla zegolide kwezi veki zimbini zidlulileyo ziqhutywa ikakhulu kwisivuno se-US, ezizezi-10 zabaqhubi beenqwelo moya. Xa i-mosaic yokugqibela ye-mosaic-iSenate - Ekugqibeleni yaba yidemokhrasi, eyayivumela uMongameli wexesha elizayo uBideno ukuba asebenzise inkqubo yakhe yonyulo, engazange alahle ingeniso yegolide, ngokumangalisayo, aqalisa ukuphulukana neebhondi zengeniso zeminyaka eli-10.
Kwiimarike, naliphi na inyathelo, ngaphandle kwayo, kucacisiwe kwaye kuyazithethelela. Ikwenzeka nesivuno kwi-bonds.
Abarhwebi balindele amaxabiso aphezulu ngenxa yokuvuselela koqoqosho lwexesha elizayo, okunokugqobhoza uqoqosho, imarike yabasebenzi kunye, ekugqibeleni, ukukhula komvuzo. Ngequbuliso, ngequbuliso, idola kunye ne-bitcoin, kodwa hayi igolide-i-inshurensi ethembekileyo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso, ifumene izibonelelo eziphambili ze-bidenov.
Ayinamsebenzi ukuba phakathi evekini, xa isivuno siphantse saphindaphindwa, abameli benkqubo yogcino lwe-Federal bala indlela yokuba uqoqosho okanye ukukhula koqoqosho kunokuqhubeka nokunciphisa ukuphakama okanye ukunyusa amaxabiso enzala zisondele kwi-zero. Abarhwebi beBod ayizange babuyisele iidrafti zedrafti, kunye nabarhwebi be-forex, inkcazo yemigangatho yedola ephantsi ngenxa yesandiso ukusuka konyaka, kwakuphela ukuphilisa abo bakhetha igolide.
Ngexesha lokubhalwa kweli nqaku, idola ephulukene nengqwalaselo yakhe, kunye nesalathiso sayo esikhulu malunga neemali ezintandathu ezinkulu, i-USD Index, iwele ngosuku lwesithathu kumncinci weveki yonke yeveki yama-90.31.
bazisebenzise Gold kwi New York Comex Stock Exchange, ngokulandelelana, uwafezekisile aphezulu ngeveki of $ 1.850 ounce nganye. Wawa phambi kwexabiso likaNovemba phantse nge- $ 1.804 kuphela ngoMvulo, xa imbali yegolide ethengiswa kwimolu ye-American How-Surnin Luther inkosi. Phambi kweeveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo, igolide yekamva ethengiswa kwiveki yokuqala ye- $ 1.963 ekupheleni kweveki yokuqala kaJanuwari, engafikeleli kwi-130 kuphela ngaphambi kwexabiso lerekhodi le- $ 2,090 efakwe ngo-Agasti.
I-Suil Loil Dixit, Uhlalutyi wezobugcisa yeGolide yeGolide yeGolide yeCob Dixit, ezifumaneka eCalcutta (eIndiya), ithi kwixesha elizayo, igolide inokuzama ukwahlukana nenqanaba elibalulekileyo le- $ 1,890:
Ngelixa ixabiso ligcinwa kwinqanaba elingaphezulu kwe- $ 1828-1838, abarhwebi baya kuzabalazela ukulandela umndilili we-200 wokuhambahamba kwishedyuli yeeyure ezine, esele iphakathi kwe- $ 1.870, kunye ne-50 yemihla ngemihla i-5 itshathi. Ukuba la manqanaba axhaswa ngokuthenga ngokubonelela ngokwaneleyo, linda inqanaba ngo-1890, elinokuba yindawo yokutshintsha kwixesha elifutshane. Isalathisi sesalathi-nkqubela sayo isalathiso sabakho sinethemba nakwiziqingatha zeyure ezine. "
Ke into ethe yatshintshwa ngokungalindelekanga kumdlalo wedola ngegolide, engazange yenzeke kwiiveki ezintandathu ezidlulileyo? Ngokungaqhelekanga akukho nto. Kuphela ngumyalezo ofanayo malunga nokukhuthaza uqoqosho kwinqanaba elikhulu, eli xesha ukusuka kuJanet Yellen, uMphathiswa wezeMali nge-bayden. Siza kubuyela kwisahluko sangaphambili senkqubo yolondolozo ye-Federal Reloves kunye nokugwetywa kwengqondo engxamisekileyo, edluliselwa ngabarhwebi bayo, enokuba sisitshixo sokubuyisela uqoqosho, elifuna abathathi-nxaxheba kwintengiso yeBrown.
Okwangoku, ndiza kudwelisa izinto eziya kuqinisekisa ukuba igolide iya kuqhubeka nokuba inyukele kwiplanga kwi-1,900 kwaye iphezulu kwikota ephakathi nexesha elifutshane, okanye iya kubuyela kwindima yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
1. Intsilelo yohlahlo-lwabiwo mali kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-USA
I-Verctor Dergunov kwiQela loTyalo-mali lwe-Albright libonisa inqaku elibalulekileyo le-1.1% kwi-10 ye-10 kwi-ontion yeminyaka ye-United States iya kuba malunga ne- $ 370 yezigidigidi ziya kuba malunga ne- $ 370 yezigidigidi ziya kuba malunga ne- $ 370 yezigidigidi ziya kuba malunga ne- $ 370 yezigidigidi ziya kuba malunga ne- $ 370 yezigidigidi.Okwangoku iMali kaZwelonke ye-US yi- $ 28 trillion, kunye nomyinge wamatyala apheleleyo kwi-GNP yi-146%.
I-US Federal Badral Accicitit iphantse ibe yi-4,5 yeedola emva kolawulo lwe-Trump kunyaka ophelileyo longezwe i-3 trillion i-3 trillion njengemilinganiselo yoku-anticoid yayo.
Ukuba isivuno kwi-10 ye-10 iya kuba yi-2%, ngokudibeneyo nge-30 yeedola zetyala leSizwe, isixa seentlawulo zonyaka siya kuba malunga ne- $ 660 yezigidigidi.
Njengamanqaku e-DRGNoV, intsilelo yonyaka iya kunyusa amatyala kuphela, kwaye amaxabiso aphezulu ofisi kaNondyebo ayakonyusa kuphela iindleko zonyaka. Yongeza:
"Andicingi ukuba ekuhambeni kwexesha, amaxabiso aya kuba phezulu okanye aqhubeke ephakamile. Akulindelekile ngenxa yetyala lesizwe eliphakamileyo kunye netyala elityala e-US ngokubanzi. Uqoqosho kule meko, ayithambeki ekuboniseni ukukhula okuphezulu 'kumanqanaba aphezulu ".
La manani (intsilelo) athambile kakhulu, kwaye kufuneka siqonde ukuba umsebenzi omkhulu ufuna ukulondolozwa rhoqo. "
2. Ubunzima beMali (M2)
I-M2 ijika iyonke imali ebandakanyiweyo kwi-M1, kunye ne-Semi-Voides. I-M1 ibandakanya imali kunye nemali kwiiakhawunti zokujonga, ukuba i-Spididiants iquka imali yeakhawunti yokonga, utyalomali kwiziko lentengiso lemali, imali yotyalo-mali engxamisekileyo kunye nezinye iidipozithi zotyalo-mali. Ezi mali zingaphantsi kwe-m1 kwaye azilungelanga intlawulo, kodwa zinokujika ngokulula zibe yimali okanye imali ekutshekisheni.
Ngelixa i-United States ikwinqanaba lokuqala lokwandisa ukubonelelwa kwemali, isiseko se-M2 sisakhula kakhulu ngokubuyisa ilizwe ngonyaka ka-2008/2009.
Ngokwenza inkqubo yemali esekwe ekusebenziseni imali yegolide engakhuselekanga, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu, ngokuqinisekileyo, kungakude. Ixabiso legolide ekuhambeni kwexesha lijongene kakhulu nokunyuka kwemali. Ngaphandle kokwehla kweeveki ezimbini ezidlulileyo kunye nokuguquguquka kwexesha elifutshane, kukho ukuzithemba okuqinileyo-ngokuqinileyo, njengegolide ngokwalo iyeza elikufuphi nexabiso lentsimbi etyheliyo liya kunyuka.
3. Ukubuyiselwa koqoqosho, intsholongwane kunye nophuhliso lwentengiso yabasebenzi
Usihlalo wenkqubo yokuGcina i-Federal ye-Jay Powell kwiveki ephelileyo yenze ingxelo eyahlukileyo. Okokuqala, wakhanyela ezinye incoko malunga nokubuyiselwa emva kobhubhane. Kodwa ngoko nangoko wathi "Zininzi izizathu zokujonga ezoqoqosho kuqoqosho lwase-US," kwaye okusiza kuthi 'kungekudala sibuyele kuqoqosho oludala lokuphakamisa. "Kubangele iingxaki kwiimarike: Ukukhawuleza uqoqosho oluza kukubuyisa njani ngenxa yogonyo oluvela kwiCovid-19?
Imbali yezitofu zokugonya yimbali ethile yimbali yezixeko ezibini: Usodolophu waseNew York Blaziossessessesses, ngelixa eRhodi yaseRhôwa, ehambisa izitofu zokugonya . Okwangoku, ngokweziko lokulawula kunye nokuthintela izifo, umgibe omtsha waseBritane waseBritane waseCoronavirus, obizwa ngokuba ngu "b.1.1.7." Inokusasazeka sele isusela ngo-Matshi.
Ngaphandle kwembuyiselo kwizalathi zekota yesithathu, uqoqosho lwase-US lukwimeko eqinisekileyo, kwiiveki nje zakutshanje inani lezibhedlele kunye nokufa ngenxa yeCovid-19 ifikelele kwiindawo ezintsha. I-United States ihlala lililizwe elibi kakhulu kwimeko yemeko yaseburhulumenteni: Ukususela ngoJanuwari 2020, 23 iimeko ezizigidi ezingama-23 zezifo kunye nama-400,000 abantu abaswelekayo babhalisiwe.
Kwicala labasebenzi ngaphambili, eUnited States ukusuka ngo-Matshi ukuya ngo-Epreli ukuya kwi-2020 elahlekileyo kwimisebenzi yezigidi ezingama-21 kwizigidi ze-Peak eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu kwi-Coronavirus. NgoMeyi, abantu abazizigidi ezi-2,5 babuyiselwe emsebenzini kwaye bangama-4.8 ezigidi ngoJuni, kwaye emva koko amaxabiso okubuyisela aqalise ukucotha. NgoSeptemba, njengaku-Okthobha, ingaphantsi kwe-700,000 yemisebenzi yavela. Ngo-Novemba, elinye i-245,000 yongezwa, kwaye ngoDisemba 140,000 lalahleka - ukuncipha kokuqala ngo-Epreli.
Olu phawu lubuthathaka kwimarike yabasebenzi lwaqhubeka ngo-2021, de kube nguJanuwari 9, abangama-965,000 baseMelika bafaka isicelo seZibonelelo zokuNgelekayo, abane-23% ngaphezulu kweveki ephelileyo kwaye lelona lwimpawu luphezulu kwiinyanga ezintlanu.
I-Powell iyavuma ukuba kwimarike yezabasebenzi "icocekile i-Lull", kwaye ayisiyo kuphela imivuzo kuphela eza kuthi emva kwexesha lokunyuka kwamaxabiso. Uye wongeza:
Enye into yinto yehlabathi jikelele. Uninzi lwezoqoqosho oluphambili, kumazwe kwihlabathi liphela, eyaqala le ngxaki, amaxabiso enzala ayinanto, kwaye akukho mathuba okukhula kwabo. Imeko enjalo iya kuhlala ixesha, kwaye uyazi ukuba uqoqosho lwase-US ludityaniswe uqoqosho lwehlabathi lonke. Oku kuya kuba nefuthe. "
4. QAPHELA I-YELLEn
I-Jeff Haley, intloko yesebe le-Asia-Pacific eOanda, iqaphele kwintlanganiso yakusasa ngolwesiThukuleka esitratweni, emva kokuqinisekiswa kwegolide, emva kokuqinisekiswa kweJanet Yelevle Ukunyuka kwamatyala yinto elungileyo, kuba yenziwa ngenjongo elungileyo yokubuyiselwa koqoqosho emva kwebhulethi yenkulungwane.
Ingxelo kaJellen phambi kwendibano kwi-Senate ngoLwesibini, apho wavunywa khona ngesithuba soMphathiswa wezeziMali, onesiphetha se-magnetism ye-Gornetism yaseGorden, ngaphandle kwegama elithi "ukubawa", kunjalo.
Yenza i-Yellen okanye i-y-factor (apho "y kuthetha ukuba" ewe! ") Unokuyichaphazela kakhulu inkqubo ye-bayden ukubuyisela uqoqosho malunga ne-5 elandelayo, nakwiminyaka emininzi. Isahluko esineminyaka engama-74 sangaphambili senkqubo yolonwabo sineminyaka emininzi yamava kwezopolitiko nakwi-Economics kwaye ihlonitshwe, zombini iiNkokeli zeMali yeHlabathi zimele inkqubela phambili kunye nezinto ezinomdla kwishishini.
I-Yellen iyadingeka ngu-Bidenu kwaye ngesinye isizathu: Izicwangciso zakhe zokuvuselela zinokuhlangabezana ne-Senate kuba nje uninzi lwayo lumele iqela ledemokhrasi.
Amanyathelo akhuthazayo asayinxalenye yohlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwase-US, kwaye ngaphandle kwe-67 yeevoti ezi-100 zevoti, baya kujongana ne-Veetes ezingama-60, ngoku iDemocrats kunye neRiphabliki kwi I-Senate ziivoti ezingama-50, kwaye inyuswe nguMongameli onyuliweyo uCamila uRarris unelizwi elongezelelweyo kwimeko yokuzoba).
olu imfuneko zoququzelelo ochaphazelekayo malunga package elikhulu amanyathelo nazo iingxaki ekufumaneni imvume iNdlu yeeNgwevu, ingakumbi xa ucinga Republican "nesihuluhulu mali" Mitch Macconnell imbuyekezo njengenkokheli ligcuntswana ukuze ukutshintsha imisebenzi zomthetho kwi-Upper Congress Chamber eyakhayo U-Aunt Bount kwiDemocrats, njengoko kwakunjalo ngexesha apho wakhwela uninzi.
Kwaye okwangoku, eyona data eyintloko kwi-Senati Sumer Meyi, ngenxa ye-bipartistan yokufezekisa inani leephakheji ezixhaphakileyo kwaye zenze iinjongo zebhasolon-ngoncedo lweYellen.
UHeilli ovela e-Oanda uqaphele indlela ngolwesibini uYelta watyhalela i-bidenovsky i-bidenovky i-bibravky ye- $ 1.9 trillion kwiimarike - okokuqala zilindelwe nguMongameli omtsha:
"Bafuna ukuva okungakumbi ngokuvuselela, kwaye uNkszyle wanikezela nge-1.9 yeetriliyoni zobangela."
Ithini intloko yangaphambili?
"Ngoku, xa amaxabiso enzala emincinci kakhulu, eyona nto ibalaseleyo esinokuyenza yile inkulu. Ethubeni, ndiyacinga, ndicinga ukuba iindleko ziya kuhlawulwa, ngakumbi ukuba sikhathalela abantu abalwelwe ixesha elide ixesha elide. "
Iphepha elichazayo: UBhararan Krisnan wacenga izimvo zabanye abahlalutyi ukuze bangenise uhlalutyo lweentengiso eziguquguqukayo. Ayisiyongxaki yezixhobo eziluhlaza kunye nezokhuseleko eziqwalaselweyo kwinqaku.
Funda amanqaku asekuqaleni: