I-EUR / i-USD ye-USD iya kusombulula imakethi ye-US.
Xa iDollar yaseMelika iza kufowuna yesivuno se-ndyey, ayikokumangaliswa kukomeleza ngokukhawuleza kwehlabathi kwi-Tremion ye-trillion ye- $ 21 ye-trillion ye-trezris ye-trezris ukusukela ngoNovemba. Ngokutsho kukaJefferies International, ekupheleni kukaFebruwari, abatyali-mali bajamelana nentsilelo yezibophelelo zamatyala ukusuka kwixesha le-cone-hysterics ka-2013. Ixesha elingakanani?
Ekupheleni kuka-2020, iingcali zeBloomberg zazicinga ukuba isivuno soTheziri oneminyaka eli-10 ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yoqoqosho lwe-US uqoqosho lwe-US liya kukhula ukusuka kwi-1% ukuya kwi-1%, kodwa bambalwa abantu abazokwenzeka ngokukhawuleza. Xa amaxabiso etyala enyuka, ithiyori, ayifanele ikoyikise abanini bezabelo. Ukukhula okukhawulezileyo kwe-GDP, njengommiselo, kukhokelela kunyuso lweenzuzo zenkampani, edala umoya odlulayo we-S & P 500. Kubonakala ngathi uTrally Wield uxhunyiwe kuphela ngoqoqosho olukhawulezileyo kuqoqosho lwaseMelika , njengokuzama ukweyisela abatyali mali amagosa e-fomc. Ukunyuka kokungasebenzi kwentengiso yebhondi kubonisa ukuba umnqamlezo othengiswayo ukuze ubeke kwangoko.
I-US ye-US ye-US
Umthombo: I-Bloomberg.
Ibango elisezantsi le-Aurations, apho abathengisi abaphambili kwakufuneka bahlawule malunga ne-40% yexabiso lokukhutshwa kwamaxabiso aphakathi kwesalathisi izihlandlo ezibini kutshanje, kunye neenkxalabo ezingamagama awondlayo ayakusasazeka. Ityala, yaba ngabaqhubi beenqanawa eziphambili uTrezis. Ngenxa yendlu yabameli beevoti ezingama-219 ngokuchasene ne-212 yamkela iprojekthi uJoe Bayding malunga nenkuthazo yemali nge- $ 1.9 i-trillion, umthamo wokukhutshwa kwe- $ 1.9, umthamo wokukhupha kufuneka unyuke nangakumbi. Kwaye ukuba imfuno iphantsi, silindele zonke iintengiso ezintsha nezintsha. Abatyalomali abanelisekanga ngamaxabiso akhoyo, afune ngaphezulu, ovula indlela yeCody Box.
Imakethi eyoyikisayo kwaye inyani yokuba ukuba i-Fed iya kugcina umlenze kwizinto ze-brake kangangexesha elide, ukukhawulezisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kumnyanzela ukuba acinezele irhasi. Imarike engxamisekileyo ilinde ukuphakamisa amaxabiso e-Federal Fund ekuqaleni kwe-2022, engaphezulu konyaka okwiphepha lokuqala le-FOMC.
Ke, impendulo yombuzo iya kuba nakho kwi-EUR / i-USD iphuhlisa ukulungiswa kwango-Matshi, kufuneka ifunwe kwimarike yamatyala e-US. Ukukhutshwa kwedatha kwimisebenzi yeshishini yaseMelika kunye nemakethi yabasebenzi, kunye neentetho zemiyalelo yodliwe ziya kwahlula isivuno. Ukuba amagosa e-FMSC ayaqhubeka nokukhula kwayo sisiphumo solindelo lokubuyiselwa ngokukhawuleza koqoqosho, amaxabiso aya kuphinda aqhubeke nolwalamano. Ukwenzela ukunqumamisa ukuthengiswa kweebhondi kunye nezabelo zentengiso, uJerome Powell kunye noogxa bakhe bafuna ukubonisa inkxalabo yokuba ukwanda ngokukhawuleza kwengeniso kuya kuqinisekisa iimeko zenzuzo.
Ngokoluvo lwam, ukuzinza kwemeko kwimakethi yetyala lase-US kuya kuyivumela i-EUR / i-USD ukuba iqhubeke nokudityaniswa kwisiphumo seminyaka yesibini kaFebruwari yoluhlu lwe-1 kaFebruwari yoluhlu lwe-1 kaFebruwari loluhlu lwe-1 kaFebruwari loluhlu lwe-1.2-122. Ukuthenga ukunciphisa iikowuti kumda wayo ongezantsi kunye nokukhula kokukhula kuthatha ukubaluleka kwabo.
I-DMMMIDY DEMODKKO ye-lowutetx
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