Nge-18 kaFebruwari, i-United States yazisa nge-Belarus Iphakheji yesohlwayo rhoqo nxamnye neBelarus, isizathu sokuba i-thesvices ithemba eliqhubekayo "labameli abaphikisayo. Nge-43 Kwimeko yokungangqinelani ye-canon yedemokhrasi ye-Washington kunye nendibano yaba bantu-ye-Belarusia, ekwaFebruwari 11-12. Njengoko i-United States yaqonda iziphumo zayo kwaye lo mgaqo-nkqubo uceba ukuqhuba ngokunxulumene neBelasus, kudliwanondlebe no-Eurasia.Expert, i-ESADRTA yeKholeji yaseHamilton Kofruni.
- Iingcali ezivela kwiBhunga leAtlantiki ziphuhlise iingcebiso zoLawulo lwaseMelika olutsha malunga neso sicwangciso seWashington Squimment Alexander Lokashese. U-Bidenu uyamenywa ukuba anyanzelise i-Sumitions ngokuchasene namakhulu amagosa aseBelarusian, kunye nokudibana ne-svetlana tikhanovskaya, kodwa hayi kwi-lkashenko. Kwangelo xesha, iUnited States yamemela iTikhanovskaya ukuya kwi-byyden. Nguwuphi umgaqo-nkqubo uWashington uza kubamba njani ngokunxulumene ne-MSCK?
- Isimemo USvetlana Tikhanovskaya ukuba ukuthatha inxaxheba wokubekwa Byyden uze kumkhawulela uphawu ngokucacileyo ukuba ufuna ukuqhuba-nkqubo esebenzayo ngakumbi zokuphazamisana ngokunxulumene Belarus kuneyokuqala. Ngexesha lokukhankasela, uBiden wavuma ukubuyela "kwinkululeko yedemokhrasi", esebenza ngokwembali njengokukhuthaza inzame yase-US ukukhuthaza utshintsho lwerejista. Ukuba ngu-Mongameli, waphinda wachaza ukuba i-United States ayiwamkeli "i-spares yempembelelo" - umxholo owenza ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo we-Russia uya kwenza i-nato ukuya empuma ukusukela ngo-1991
Ibhunga le-Atlantiki enyanisweni lifuna ukuvelisa umgaqo-nkqubo wokutshintsha kolawulo eBelasus, awayekhuthaza ngokuchasene neUkraine ngexesha lolawulo lwe-obama kwaye i-biden yolawulo yakhe idlale indima ephambili.
Ngokuqinisekileyo i-biden iya kuqala ukuzama ukulandela le meko ngokunxulumene neBelarus. Izolo zolondolozo ezongeziweyo kwi-Allies Lukashenko, kunye neefemu zaseRussia kunye nabantu eBelasus kunye naseRussia, kunye namanyathelo okuthintela ukufikelela kweBelarus kwiimarike zeqhina. I-Hockey yeHockey yeHlabathi irhoxisile i-charvery yehlabathi icwangcisiwe eBelasus. Nangona kunjalo, njengokuyiqonda iBhunga leAtlantiki, lo mgaqo-nkqubo uza kuhlangabezana nemiqobo emininzi, hayi okokugqibela kwento yokuba iRussia inefuthe elikhulu kakhulu e-Belarus kunaseUkraine.
E-Ukraine, iUnited States kunye ne-EU yayiqhutywa ngumgaqo-nkqubo wokungabeki ongenankathalo ojolise ekumiseleni urhulumente we-pro-Western. I-United States inike inkxaso enkulu yezopolitiko neyemali yeqela elichasene ne-Democrats, i-neo-Fabcrists, kunye no-Oligarchs ochaseneyo uYwakyovych. UWashington wabiza inkcaso yokungahoyi isivumelwano kunyulo olutsha, olwalungqokelela eFrance, eJamani, iRussia noRhulumente waseUkraine. Ekugqibeleni, waxhasa ukubhukuqa okunobuqhetseba kwenkohlakalo, nangona intloko enyuliweyo kaRhulumente, ebangela imfazwe yamakhaya empuma yeUkraine, exabisa abantu abangaphezu kwe-10,000.
Ukujongana nokungena kweUkraine eNato kunye nethemba le-American Warship eSevastopol, iRussia i-Annexid (i-rursa ifakwe eRussia elandelayo yalandelwa khona, ababevunyiwe kungekuphela kwiRussia, kodwa ne-EU. I-Ukraine sele lelona lizwe lihlwempuzekileyo nelijoni laseYurophu. Uninzi lwesiseko sayo lemizi-mveliso latshabalaliswa xa iqela elitsha lama-Oligrirs lafika langena emandleni.
Kutshanje, uMphathiswa Weze-Belarus Vladimir Makad Makay Makadars malunga ne-Amessadors e-Eurouse Julie nabameli beqela elichasene ne-Belarusian - i-tikhanovskaya kunye neLatishoko. I-MSKK ikholelwa ukuba i-ankosimor ye-US ifumana ulwazi oluya kwicala elinye malunga nemeko eBelasus. Ngaba kufanelekile ukulindela ukusebenzisana kwe-Ealamesty yaseMelika eBelarus kunye nabasemagunyeni baseBelarusia?
Alithandabuzeki elokuba iPoland neLithuania zikhokelwa yinkcaso yaseYurophu yaseLukashenko, kwaye umgaqo-nkqubo wase-US ulungelelaniswa nola mazwe. Nangona kunjalo, ukuhlaliswa kwentlekele yaseBlarsia kunokufezekiswa kuphela kwincoko kunye nesivumelwano phakathi kukarhulumente waseBelasus, amalungu oluntu, e-rungamar esekwe kwimithombo yamandla, imali kunye nentengiso yokuthengisa ngaphandle.
Ukujoyina i-Nato Belarus, apho uNapoleon noHitler bahamba kwindlela eya eMoscow, ecacisa lonke i-rub yaselwandle ukuya kwimikhosi enobutsha. NgoSeptemba 2020, amakhulu amajoni aseMelika athatha inxaxheba kwiimfundiso zeNaTO eLithuania ecaleni komda kunye ne-belarus.
Onke amandla angaphandle, kuquka ne-United States, ufanele alandele imigaqo-nkqubo engaphambukeli kwaye avumele abantu baseBelarua ukuba babone ikamva labo. Umgaqo-nkqubo onjalo awuthethi imvume yolawulo lwenkohlakalo nolungezodemokhrasi. Ayifanele ikhokele ngokuzenzekelayo kwi-tikhanovskaya, eyayingeyiyo impumelelo yonyulo olucacileyo nolwamsebenzi. Endaweni yoko, kufuneka kukhokelele kwiinguqu zomgaqo-siseko, zilandelwe lunyulo olukhululekileyo nolungenamkhethe.
- Ubunkokeli baseBelaussia busithi inomdla wokuphuhlisa ubudlelwane ne-United States. Ngaba i-United States iyaqhubeka nokubonelela ngeoyile ukuya eBelarus, njengoko kwakunjalo ngo-2020, ekukhanyisweni kweziganeko zamva nje kubudlelwane obuhlanganisiweyo?
-Iminyaka edlulileyo nangaphambi konyulo lwe-2020, i-Lukashenko yatsala isandla saseMelika ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo: Ukuzikhuthaza ukuba ngumlindi we-iUkraine, ukuxhathisa ubudlelwane be-moscow yokwenza ubudlelwane be-belarus, ukubuyisela ubudlelwane obugcweleyo Ndikunye ne-United States, ukusebenzisana nathi kwicandelo lezamandla, kwaye nokuthetha ngamathemba okuthatha inxaxheba kwimisebenzi yasemkhosini nge-nato.
Ku-Lukashenko, la manyathelo awazange alungelelaniswe ngokusisiseko somgaqo-nkqubo wezangaphandle, kodwa endaweni yoko kuyazama ukomeleza isikhundla sabo kwiingxoxo kunye ne-moscow kumaxabiso anexabiso lamaxabiso kunye nenkxaso-mali.
Emva konyulo kunye nonyulo olulandelayo kunye nengcinezelo elandelayo ye-LAKIKKO, kwanyanzeleka ukuba ukunciphisa la manyathelo kwaye uxhomekeke kwiMoscow. Ngoku i-US kunye nezohlwayo zaseYurophu ziya kunciphisa amathuba e-Belarus ngentsebenziswano ne-United States kunye ne-EU kwicandelo lamandla. Ukuba kwaye kwaye ichukumiso ivunyelwe, intsebenziswano yamandla phakathi kweUnited States kunye ne-Belarus inokuphinda iqhubeke.
- I-United States ayiyigqali intlanganiso yabantu base-Belarusia yeqonga elibandakanyayo, ukuxabanisa ukuba ayibonisi luvo loMbutho woMbutho weBelayulusi, kodwa amagunya aseBelaria ayathemba ukuba eli qonga lezopolitiko elizweni. Luyintoni ulindelo lwakho?
- Kuba abathathi-nxaxheba bentlanganiso banyulwa i-Lukashenko kwaye bengakhethwa yidemokhrasi, akunakwenzeka ukuba babe negalelo elifanelekileyo okanye baya kunika indlela yokuphuma kwingxaki.