Iimodeli zengqondo zomtyali-mali odumileyo kunye nomhlobo osenyongweni uWarren Buffett kwimixholo yesikhumbuzo.
Kwiminyaka yayo engama-97, umtyali-mali waseMelika odumileyo uCharlie Manbon ubanjwe sisihlalo seBhodi yaBasikisi, kwaye udlulise kwindlu yabalawuli bemihla ngemihla iivenkile ezithengisayo. Kunye nemeko yobuqu ye-manga, ngokutyumka, idlula i-2 bhiliyoni.
Wakwazi njani ukufezekisa impumelelo enjalo? Unendlela yakhe: I-Manbon yenza izigqibo kwaye ithathe izigqibo ezisekwe kwi-Moyity yeModeli yeNgqondo, okanye "izimvo ezinkulu" ezithathwe kwiindlela ezahlukeneyo: I-physics, i-procholosoph kwaye ezinye.
"Kubonakala kum ingxelo engafezekanga ukuba ingqondo isebenza ngoncedo lweemodeli - icacisa umqhubi. "Ke ngoko, ukuba ufuna ingqondo yakho isebenze ngcono kunabanye, kufuneka ufunde iimodeli zengqondo esisiseko - baya kwenza owona msebenzi uphambili."
Ukusebenzisa "izimvo ezinkulu" ngempumelelo, kuya kufuneka wakhe kuzo, kwisigama se-manga, "inethiwekhi yemodeli ye-manga. Uthi: "Ngoncedo lwale nkqubo, umhlaba uya kusebenza kancinci ngomfanekiso ofanelekileyo.
Kwaye ngenxa yoko, uya kufumana amandla amakhulu- uya kuqalisa ukucinga ngokukhawuleza nangokuchanekileyo ngakumbi. Ubuncinci, i-Warren Buffet iqinisekisa ukuba: Uyaqonda ukuba uthetha naye, kwanangaphambi kokuba ugqibe ibinzana. "
Iimodeli ezintathu zengqondo charlie manbon
UManger akazange akhokelele uluhlu olupheleleyo lweemodeli zengqondo ezenza inethiwekhi yakhe. Kodwa idla ngokukhankanya abanye babo.I-razor's razorLo ngumgaqo obizelwe kukuhlonipha ifilosofi yaseJamani uWilliam Ongela, owabhala eminye yemisebenzi yakhe: "Yintoni enokwenziwa kwisiseko senani elincinci le [Iingcinga], akufuneki zenziwe ngokusekwe ngaphezulu."
I-thesis itolikiwe ngolu hlobo lulandelayo: I-SEAR iwuthathela ingqalelo umzekelo obalaseleyo wemodeli yengqondo esisiseko.
"[Sebenzisa i-Okkam razor] Kufana nokuloba umlobi apho kufumaneka khona iintlanzi," utshilo. Ukuthatha ngawo nawuphi na umsebenzi, nayiphi na ingxaki, kuya kufuneka ujonge eyona mpendulo ilula- oku kuyakuphepha iimpazamo ezingeyomfuneko kwaye ugcine amandla. "Sizabalazela ngokulula. Ukuba kukho into enzima kakhulu, siya kwenye into. Yintoni enokuba lula? " -Uthetha umkhombe.
IsikhumbaI-Manganger-fan yeMathematics. Wakade ufunda eyunivesithi. Akumangalisi ukuba enye yeemodeli zakhe ezithandwayo yindlela yemathematics.
Kwisiqhelo - hayi imathematics - ubomi bukaMantar buyakuyisebenzisa ngolu hlobo: Ukujongana nomsebenzi, zama ukuyilungisa, jonga ukusuka esiphelweni. Masithi ukuba ufuna ukufezekisa okuthile, jonga indlela eqinisekileyo yokwenza le nto, kodwa yintoni enokukuthintela kwaye enze umzamo omkhulu wokuphepha.
"Ngexesha leMfazwe yesibini (II) yeHlabathi, ndasebenza njengengcali ye meteorogist, ndenze iimephu zokuthetha ngokuqikelela utshintsho lwayo, umzekelo weManganger. - La makhadi kufuneka aqonde: Ngaba kunokwenzeka ukuba unike imvume ye-Pilot ukuba ikhuphe [okanye ngenxa yeemeko zemozulu kuyingozi kakhulu].
Kodwa ndaguqula lo msebenzi njenge-esile kwangaphambili. Ndazibuza umbuzo: "Kwaye ndingamelana njani nendlela engakumbi abaqhubi beenqwelomoya?" Kwaye ngokukhawuleza, le ndlela ilungileyo yokwenza inqwelomoya hit iimeko ezichazayo kwaye azikwazi ukungena. Enye indlela kukuthumela inqwelo moya ukuya kwindawo awayengayi kuba nako ukwenza indawo yokukhuseleka xa esiya kuphelisa ipetroli.
Ndiye ndaqonda: ukuba ndifuna ukugcina abaqhubi beenqwelo zokuhlala [ oko, iimephu ze-agraptic zacelwa ukuba ziyafuneka, umntu akufuneki avume okokuqala okanye okwesibini. Ndicinga ukuba, ndiyabulela ngale nto, ndaqala ukujongana nemisebenzi ye-meteorogist ibhetele. Ngendlela efanayo, ukuba umntu undibetha ukusombulula iingxaki zeIndiya, ndiza kuqala ndicinge ngayo, kwaye into ekufuneka ndiyenzile ukuze ndikwazi ukwenza lelinye ilizwe- kwaye ndiza kuzama ukuthintela ezi zengozini. "
Isangqa UbuchuleOkokuqala ngqa, le modeli yengqondo yayekiswa nguWarren Buffett, owayethetha nabatyali mali ngo-1996. Uthe oku kulandelayo: "[Ukuba ngumtyali-mali olungileyo], akunyanzelekanga ukuba ibe yingcali koko kufunwa kuzo zonke iinkampani emhlabeni. Eyona nto iphambili kukukwazi ukuvavanya ezo nkampani ezingena kwimibandela yakho yobuchule. Ubanzi kangakanani esi sangqa, oko akunamsebenzi. Kodwa kubalulekile ukwazi ukuba idlula phi imida yakhe. "
I-Shunger nelinye iqabane liyavuma: Elinye lawona macandelo aphambili empumelelo yabo kukuyiqonda ngokucacileyo into abayiqonda kakuhle into abayaziyo kunye nento engalunganga. Ukwenza isangqa sesangqa sobuchule babo, funa iziphumo ezilungileyo kwaye zenze iimpazamo ezincinci.
Qaphela imida yamathuba ethu - umsebenzi akukho lula: abantu bathanda ukuziphathela. Kodwa umrhwebi ucebisa ngamandla ukuyenza. "Uya kusiwa kwabo bangqonge ubunzima obunzulu de ufumanise ukuba izokuphela kwakho amandla. Kwaye musa ukwamkela. " Kodwa ukugqiba, uya kunyusa kakhulu amathuba akho okuphumelela.
Ukwenza njani inethiwekhi yemodeli yengqondo?
Ukuzibandakanya kwimfundoAkukho yunivesithi kwiYunivesithi yasehlabathini iya kukubonelela ngeseti esekwe ngokupheleleyo yemodeli yengqondo efanelekileyo. Uya kulinganiselwa kwisakhelo soqeqesho olunye, kwaye oku kuchaphazela ukuqonda kwethu kweengxaki.
"Uninzi lwabantu luqeqeshelwe imodeli enye-umzekelo, uqoqosho-kwaye emva koko uzame ukusombulula zonke iingxaki ngenye indlela. Uyayazi intetho endala: Indoda enesando ibona isikhonkwane kuyo yonke into. Le yindlela engachanekanga engachanekanga kunye nendlela engalunganga ngokupheleleyo yokwenza into, "utsho umqhubi.
Iziphumo (kuya kufuneka uqokelele iseti yakho yeemodeli zengqondo ngokwakho - ukusuka kwigama elisisiseko, imigaqo kunye nemithetho-siseko yenziwa kwiindawo eziphambili zolwazi lomntu (UCharlie wabiza "umluleko omkhulu). Ke imbono yakho kuyo nayiphi na ingxaki iya kuba yi-volory, kwaye uya kwandisa uluhlu lweendlela ezikhoyo zokuyisombulula.
Ngokuphuhlisa isifungo sikaManbon, kunokutshiwo ukuba ukongeza kwi-hammer, uya kuba neentlobo zescrewdrivers, iiplies, ii-chisiles, ipepile, mhlawumbi i-pepitor ephezulu.
YisebenzeAwudingi ukuzama ukufumanisa zonke ezomodeli zengqondo esele zikho. Okokuqala, akunakwenzeka, uCharlie uyaqonda, kwaye okwesibini, hayi kakhulu. Umthetho kaPareto's Pareto:
Xa uqhelisela, oku kuthetha ukuba ukuba uyafuna, masitsho ukuba luzalisa njani uhlobo oluthile lomsebenzi ngokukhawuleza, kuya kufuneka uqiniseke ukuba ubuncinci bezinto eziyimfuneko- kwaye emva koko ugxininise kwi zona. Ke ngoko, ngokoMthetho, Pareto, kwinkqubo yokuqulunqa iseti yakho yemodeli yengqondo, owona msebenzi wakho uphambili kukuchonga ezona zininzi.
Nokuba iimodeli ezinjalo ziqala kakhulu ukuba zincinci, kodwa uya kuhlala uzisebenzisa, uyakusongeza kakhulu isantya sakho kunye nokuchaneka kokusombulula iingxaki.
Fumana amakhonkco phakathi kweemodeli zengqondoUkuba ufunda nje iinyani zomntu ngamnye kwaye uya kuzama ukubakhupha entlokweni yakho ngalo lonke ixesha, akunakwenzeka ukuba akuncede kwinto ethile, utshilo umkhombe. Kuya kufuneka ukuba wenze inkqubo eya kuqhagamshela ezi nyani, emva koko unokuzisebenzisa kwelona liphezulu.
Inkqubo enjalo kukuba i-manganger ibiza uthungelwano lweemodeli zengqondo. Ingadalwa, umzekelo, ukoyisa imida phakathi koluleko: Ukuseka ukuba zenza njani iimodeli ukusuka kwenye indawo yolwazi enye inokuchaza ukuba iinkqubo zenzeka kwenye. Lo mgaqo unokukunceda abatyali-mali basebenzise i-analogies ukusombulula iingxaki kwaye bajonge amathuba amatsha okutyala imali.
Yintoni onokuyifunda, mamela, ubone
Uluhlu luqokelelwe linqaku malunga noCharlie Manbon, kwiprofayili.
- Incwadi kaPeter Bevelin "Khangela iNyaniso: Evela eDarwin ukuya eManinen."
Umbhali weprofayili yeprofayile puspano ubiza imodeli yengqondo yakhe, ngoncedo olunokwandisa ulwazelelelo lwakho. Amacandelo ale ncwadi ahlanganisana kwaye ahlalutye izinto ezichaza indlela yethu yokucinga, iipateni zengqondo ezenza ukuba sifikelele ngokukhohlakeleyo, kunye neendlela zokwenza ingqondo icace.
- I-SEAT INDAWO "YOBOMI BAKHO WAM" 1986.
Uthathelwa ingqalelo "enye yezona ntetho zibalaseleyo zithabathekileyo." Kwizifundo, phakathi kwezinye izinto, uCharlie waLudweliswa-kwaye wahlalutywa - "iindlela ezintlanu zokuqinisekiswa ukuba angonwabanga": kudla iikhemikhali ukutshintsha imeko okanye imbono; umona; Ungathembeki; Mhlawumbi ubomi bube kukukhathaza; Sukufunda ngeempazamo kunye namava abanye.
Ukungazithembi, ngokwe-Manbon - eyona inobungozi. "Ukuba akunakwenzeka ukuba uthembele emntwini, uwela bonke ubuhle bakhe. Ngale ndlela, ngokuthe ngcembe uya kuba ngumgxobhozo ongunoluvo luka-Bini, kodwa akazukufumana ngamehlo elinye, kodwa amawaka, nokuba acacisa i-charcheches.
- I-Extterpt kwi-almanac ihlwempu charlie uPeter Kaufman.
Kuyo, umkhombe, ixesha elide kwaye unomdla kwi-psychology, unomdla kwi-Psychology 24 yengqondo eyenza ukuba abantu bazigqibelele: i-Peschological Any, i-Peschological And Pleisves kunye nabanye.
Ngokutsho kwakhe, izigwebo ezinamanyala kunye nezenzo zinzima ukuphelisa: "Ingqondo yethu ijongeka ngathi liqanda, ekungekho silwanyana sibekwe emva kokuchuma emva kokuchuma. Ke ngalo mbono-wakuba ukhe wamyeke, ubanjwe. "
- Ushicilelo lwe-61 lwe-podpacal ye-podtor ye-ridst ye-rifren, umbhali wencwadi "Charlie Manger: umtyali-mali ogqibeleleyo."
Kuvela kuyo unokufunda ngentanda-bulumko yotyalo-mali ye-Billionaire kwaye malunga neembono zakhe kwimingcipheko, ngokuhamba ngokungathandabuzekiyo nayiphi na imisebenzi kutyalo-mali lwemali. Kwaye nakwindlela elawula iimvakalelo, ethatha izisombululo zotyalo-mali, kwaye yintoni eza kwenzeka kwisakhelo sesakhelo sesangqa sezobuchule.
- Incoko nguCharlie Manbon kwiYunivesithi yaseMazantsi eCalifornia.
Udwelise iseti enkulu yeembono ezamncedayo umsebenzi. Omnye wabo: "Nika umhlaba into eza kusetyenziswa kunye nento ongathanda ukuyithenga."
- I-Learbon Manbon, funda kwiYunivesithi yaseCalifornia yeTekhnoloji ngo-2008.
Kuyo, unika abafundi iingcebiso zakhe eziphambili: Ukuqokelela nokudibanisa iimodeli zengqondo, kwaye unika umzekelo wabaliqela.
Ukongeza, umkhombe uthile malunga nento ethi "Lolipalus" (iLobaPaluusa-Umnyhadala womculo e-USA. - Isikhumbuzo). Iphakama xa abanye becalucalulo, utyekelo noloyiko lwabantu abaninzi ngequbuliso luye lwaya kuthi ga kwijelo elinye kwaye ube yimbonakalo enamandla yokuqhuba.
Njengomzekelo, uCharlie wakhokelela kumaqela e-tuppere-edumileyo kwiziganeko ezingama-60 ezithengiswayo emva koko kusekho izikhongozeli zeplastiki ezingaqhelekanga. Kumatheko anje, abacebisi abathatha inxaxheba kwiindlela ezininzi zokunxibelelana nomthengi ngaphambi kokuba kuthengiswe, amabhaso ayedlalwa, emelwelelo ethengiwe ukuba athengise izinto zabo.
Ukudityaniswa kwazo zonke ezi zinto kwanyanzela abantu ukuba benze ngokungalunganga, kwaye bathenga izikhongozeli ezingaphezulu kunoko babedinga - kwaye bazisa inkampani kwi-1 bhiliyoni ngonyaka.
Inqaku lilungiselelwe sisikhumbuzo sokupapasha kwi-Intanethi, esinikelwe kwimpilo, i-psychology kunye nentanda-bulumko esebenzayo. Ulwazi olusebenzisekayo ngakumbi lunokufumaneka kumaphepha ethu kwi-Facebook, i-telegraph okanye kuluhlu lweposi.
Ezinye izinto zokuZikhumbuza:
- Njengoko ndafunda ukulwa noxinzelelo ngokuphefumla. Amava obuqu ye-finnish biaheler ilmo putyg.
- Imikhwa eyayizenzele ingqondo yam encinci. Kwiminyaka emihlanu, uBrian penny rhoqo wenza rhoqo kwiindlela zokwazisa, ngenxa yengqondo yakhe, njengoko kuboniswe ubungqina yi-MRI SHOTS, egcwele iminyaka emithandathu.
- Ndiwuphucula njani umsebenzi wengqondo ngoncedo lokutya kunye nokongezwa. Umqeshwa weNkampani yeTekhnoloji evela kwi-Silicon Valley Alexander Pustov-malunga neemvavanyo kwi-mitocondria yabo.
# Ukuzikhusela # ukucinga
Umthombo