Kutheni i-Central Bank iphakamise ukubheja okuphambili

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Kutheni i-Central Bank iphakamise ukubheja okuphambili 21366_1

I-Bhanki yaseRussia ibonise intengiso ukuze isebenze kwaye okokuqala ukusukela ngo-2018 ukusukela ngo-2018 iphakamise ukubheja kweqhosha - ngamanqaku ayi-0,25. ukuya kuthi ga kwi-4.5% ngonyaka. 27 kubaphenduli abangama-28 abaphendulayo babelinde ukubheja okuphambili, kodwa ukunyuka kwexabiso lokuphawula ngaphezulu kokulindelwa, ukubuyiswa ngokukhawuleza kwemfuno kunye nokugcinwa kwe-surction ye-Central ngaphambili ukuqala komgaqo-nkqubo wemali.

Amaxesha acelwe iingcali ukuba zivavanye isigqibo sebhanki esembindini.

I-Yaroslav Liovolik, iNtloko yeSbercib yoTyalo-mali yoTyalo-mali: I-Central Bank yalumkisa

Ukunyusa amaxabiso amanani aphambili akhangeleka esengqiqweni kwiimeko zoxinzelelo lwexabiso eliphezulu lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokuzinzisa kwezithethi kwicandelo lokwenyani lokwenyani. I-Central Bank icwangcisiweyo yokunyusa inani eliphambili kulo nyaka, kwaye ukwanda kwexabiso eliphambili kuboniswe ikakhulu kwiikowuteshini zentengiso. Siyakholelwa ukuba ngelixa igcina umngcipheko wokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokuwohloka kwemvelaphi yangaphandle, uMlawuli unokuqhubeka nokunyusa inqanaba eliphambili kwikota yesibini.

I-Alpharist Economist Alpha Bank yaseNatalia Orlova: I-Central Bank iphendule imeko kwimarike yotshintshiselwano lwangaphandle

I-Central Bhanki iphendule ngesigqibo sentengiso yelinye ilizwe - i-Central Bank yamazwe asaphuhlisayo (eBrazil, i-Turkey) inyuswe iRhafu kabukhali, i-Shectoric ibuyiselwe. Incoko enzima kakhulu yeBhanki ephakathi yonyusa amathuba okunyuswa kwenqanaba kwizifundo ezikufutshane. Oku kukuthetha malunga nengxoxo eyi-Central Bank, oko kwithagethi kwi-4% yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kubuyela kuphela kwisiqingatha sokuqala se-2022.

I-Sergey Romakuk, intloko yemisebenzi kwimakethi yemali kunye nezemali ye-metallinventebank: i-inxugue yayiyinto kuphela xa inokwenza

Isigqibo seBhanki esembindini sinegalelo ngeli xesha ukomeleza i-ruble, kodwa akunakwenzeka ukuba uyinike igama elibalulekileyo. Kangangexesha elithile, bendiqonda ukuba i-Central Banks kuya kufuneka iphakamise ireyithi, inkxalabo yayikukuba kuyakwenza - kwintlanganiso kaMatshi okanye ngo-Epreli.

Andicingi ukuba ekuseni kukho nakuphi na ukuvuza ulwazi, imvakalelo yokuba ukubheja kunokunyusa lo mhla, kwavela izolo, emva kokukhula kwenqanaba lenzala. Kwaye kule veki iphakamisa iphakamisa iibhanki eziphambili zaseBrazil kunye neTurkey. Kwaye, ukongeza, iBloomberg yanika ingxelo enokubakho kwi-bhanki yebhanki yaseRussia ekuqaleni kweveki, oku kukwaye negalelo lombono kwaye lwalungisa intengiso.

Kuba isigqibo sebhanki esembindini sele sibekwe ngokuyinxalenye kwiikowuteshini ze-ofz kunye nexesha eliphakathi, ndicinga ukuba kwixesha eliphakathi elichaphazelekayo lichaphazeleka ngokungathathi cala siphithiphithi kwaye aliyi kubangela ukomeleza kwe-ruble.

Uhlalutyo oyiNtloko Sovkombi vahail vasilytev: I-Central Bank iqhubeka ukukhuthaza ibango kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso

I-Bhanki yaseRussia yayilindeleke ukuba iqinisekiswe ukuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wemali ukuba iqulethe ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwaye inike umqondiso malunga nokujonga ukubuyela kwi-5-6%, kubandakanya neentlanganiso ezikufutshane.

Sikholelwa ukuba kulo nyaka i-Central Bank iyakonyusa ukubheja okuphambili kwi-25 BP, silindele i-5% yonyaka. Kwimeko ezisisiseko, silindele ukuba kunyaka olandelayo, ukuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wemali kuya kuqhubeka kwaye iqondo eliphambili liya kufikelela kwincopho ngo-2023 kwinqanaba le-6%.

Kwimeko yexhoba ukusuka kwi-pandemic, ibhanki esembindini igcina inkxaso yemfuno iyonke ngeendlela zemali. Iqondo eliphambili lihleli lingaphantsi koluhlu olungathathi hlangothi, olubonisa imfuno eshukumisayo kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kumgaqo-lawulo wemali.

Into ebalulekileyo ekungaqinisekiyo ihlala ingumgaqo-nkqubo wolawulo wase-US malunga neRussia. Kwimeko esisiseko, asilindelanga ukuba kungeniswe i-rorssh yesohlwayo esitsha, kodwa i-Central Banks kufuneka ilungele ukuphendula ngokukhawuleza kwimeko yokulwa ubudlelwane kunye ne-United States, kunye nenzala yenzala ephezulu inceda ukunciphisa umngcipheko we ukuphuma kwemali.

I-DMIMMMY DONIT, Uqoqosho lwezoqoqosho kwi-Russia kunye ne-CIS: Le yindlela yokuphendula yokukhula komngcipheko

I-Central Bank igqibe kwelokuba iphendule kunyuso lwakutshanje kwimingcipheko, ikakhulu inxulumene neemarike zehlabathi, imigaqo-nkqubo yangaphandle kwaye kunokuthintelwa kwe-Pojectorifation yomgaqo-nkqubo webhayoloji. Uhlobo lwengcaciso lubandakanya ukubakho okuphezulu kwamanqanaba okuqhubeka kwiintlanganiso ezixhasayo ze-Epreli nangoJulayi. Kule meko, ulwando olukhulu alusabonakali. Ngokusekwe kwixabiso elilindelekileyo lokunyuka, iqondo eliphambili leli-0.7%, elingaphezulu komndilili we-alogs kwaye isondele kuluhlu lwe-1-2%, apho ibhanki ephakathi ilindele ukuba ifikile.

IAlexander Itakov, i-Ofisi yeOfisi eyiNtloko "i-vtb capital" eRussia kunye ne-CIS: Thelekisa ukusukela ngo-2018

Silindele ukuba iBhodi yaBalawuli ye-Central Bank iya kulandela amaqhinga ka-2018 - ukwandisa ibhidi ephambili ngamanqanaba kwi-25 bp. Ngokunqumla kwintlanganiso ngaphambi kokubuya kwexabiso lokunyuka kwexabiso lenyanga. Ezi zibalo zathi isigqibo sokunyuka kokuqala kuya kuba ngo-Epreli, kodwa umjikelo wonyuselo waqala ngoku. Siyaqhubeka nokulindela ukwanda kwe-50 bp. Iyonke i-2021, phantsi kwengcinga yokuba amaxabiso akhoyo okunyuka kwamaxabiso afakwe kwisiphelo sekota yesibini. Umngcipheko wolu qikelelo ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kuba yi-Intert engaphezulu kwe-2018, owona mngcipheko uphambili kumaxabiso okutya yehlabathi.

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