Oongameli baseRussia noBelarus babuyela kwi-ajenda yoqeqesho "lweemephu zendlela" zokwenza ukudityaniswa kwe-Union State. Kodwa emva kweziphumo zothethathethwano, uMongameli waseBhululuus Alexander Lukashenko, ukuba "kuya kuba bubudenge" ukuba zisebenze ngokudala imibutho yolawulo lwamazwe afanayo. I-Ambassi yaseRussia eBelasus Dmimry Mezentseva, "ukudityaniswa kwezopolitiko, i-rapproched, iRussia yeyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu abangavumelani nayo entshonalanga." Kwinqaku le-Eurasia.Expert, uMlawuli weZiko loLuntu lokuFunda umgaqo-nkqubo wezangaphandle wezenzululwazi ye-Belarus Bownis Bownis ihlalutyo kwaye ihlolwe i Amathemba okuba bawomeleze.
Ukudityaniswa ngokunqumama
Okwangoku, kunokutshiwo ukuba ngokuchasene nengxaki yezopolitiko eBelasus, i-genemic eqhubekayo ehlabathini kunye nengingqi, ukwehla kophuhliso loqoqosho phantse kuwo onke amazwe anemicimbi yemeko ye-Allionar Ukuhamba kwimvelaphi yaseRussia neBelarus. Kwaye ukuba ikrom 2011 yaqhubeka kwingxoxo esebenzayo kunye nokulungelelaniswa kwe-ke ebizwa njalo "Imephu zendlela" yokudityaniswa (ekuqaleni ibhengeziwe i-15, ngasekupheleni kweengxoxo sele zineminyaka engama-31), ukusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2020, zonke uthethathethwano bema phaya kwintlanganiso yoobohlwayoNangona kunjalo, ayicacanga ukuba yeyiphi ifomathi kwaye xa i-in-in-in-in-in-timent yenkqubo yelizwe iyonke iya kubuyela kwi-ajenda yobudlelwane beBilaterrady. Kuyenzeka ukuba amazwe abuyele kulo mbandela kuphela emva kohlengahlengiso lomgaqo-siseko eBarrus kunye nonyulo olunokutshintsha imeko yezopolitiko yelizwe kwaye kubandakanya neengxoxo eziya kwenziwa kuzo.
Kwangelo xesha, eRussia, kusengqiqweni ukulinda ukuphela kwengxaki yezopolitiko yasekhaya kwilizwe elingabamelwane, kuba isigqibo sazo naziphi na izivumelwano zenkqubo yaso siza kulindeleka kwimibuzo kunye nemizamo Ukufumana ithuba lesona sikhundla sibuthathaka se-ally ukusuka kumazwe aliqela afaka isicelo sendawo 'yabaqhubi abaziintloko zedemokhrasi nakumalungelo oluntu. "
Kodwa ngaphandle kweengxaki ezinxulunyaniswa neemeko zangaphandle, indibaniselwano yokudibanisa inenani leendawo zangaphakathi ezikhoyo kunye nenjongo ezisebenza njengemida eqathayo yokuqhubeka kophuhliso lomanyano. Kwaye ukuba iimeko zangaphandle zitshintshe ngokukhawuleza kwaye ukungathathi cala kweziphumo zazo zisekwe kwizenzo ezidibeneyo zeBelarus naseRussia, iingxaki eziphantsi kwengcaciso engaphantsi kwe-United States nokuba I-Dynamics yeemeko zangaphandle.
Imiqobo
Imigangatho yangaphakathi yokudityaniswa ngokusebenzayo ziindidi ezahlukeneyo zezinto ezinokwahlulwa zibe yinjongo kwaye zinenjongo. Isithintelo esimanye kwisimo sengqondo sokuhlonela imicimbi enxulumene nokugcinwa kolongamo kunye nenkululeko yelizwe ngalinye. Lo mbuzo uhlala ulungele bobabini i-belarus, kunye neRashiya, kuba kuphela iminyaka engama-30 sele edlulile ukusukela kwesokisi yeSoviet Union. IRiphabhlikhi yaseBelasus kunye neRussian Federation Yabakholisa i-Russian kwaye inokubalahla ngokukodwa kumgaqo-nkqubo wabo wangaphakathi nowangaphandle.
I-Union State njengoMbutho oDibeneyo weNdawo kuthintela ubukumkani ngamnye welizwe, kuba kufuna ukudluliselwa kwenxalenye yayo kwinqanaba elifanelekileyo. Le ngxaki ibaluleke kakhulu kwi-Belarus
Omnye umqobo kumyalelo wesiseko utsalelekile kuphuhliso lokudityaniswa njengesifundo somgaqo-nkqubo wemigaqo-nkqubo yangaphandle okanye njengento yokuqinisekisa inkxaso yezopolitiko kweli lizwe.
Ke, ekuweni ko-2019, ezi ndlela zibonakaliswa ngokucacileyo ngexesha le ngxoxo yamakhadi okudityaniswa, apho iqela ngalinye lilandele iimfuno zalo. Isithintelo kumyalelo ophantsi sihlala siyindlela yobunkokeli bamazwe omabini athanda ukuthathela isigqibo malunga nemicimbi ye-abutic kwinqanaba lokuzibandakanya kwamaziko e-Union State State.
Imiqobo yeNjongo
Umqobo onenjongo yokudityaniswa ziinkqubo ezahlukeneyo zezopolitiko nezoqoqosho, eziyiRipharliyosi yaseBelarus.Ngokunxulumene nobukho bomthetho owohlukeneyo, isabelo seshishini le-State kunye nesakhiwo semozulu sezoqoqosho nezopolitiko siya kufana ngokuhambelana nemithetho kunye nokuphuhliswa kwamanyathelo aliqela amazwe.
Ikwakhona kuwo omabini la mazwe ilungelo le-veto lijika libe ngumqobo olwenziwe kabini. Kwelinye icala, ubukho belizwe ngalinye leli lungelo luqinisekisa ukukwazi ukulawula iRussia ngomsindo omkhulu. Ngaphandle kweli lungelo, iRussia iya kulawula kwezopolitiko (njengomzekelo, iplani yePalamente yePalamente ebonelelwe ngeendawo ezingama-75 zeRussia i-Russian Federation kwaye i-28 yeBelausia. Kwiimeko ezinjalo, amaziko epalamente yenkqubo yesamente aya kuba sisixhobo esisebenzayo sokuqulunqwa kokudityaniswa kwaye akayi kufumana amandla kunye noxanduva lobunkokeli kumazwe omabini. Ukunqongophala kwesiseko seziko kwaye sibengelwe amaxabiso aqhelekileyo, esekwe kwi-EU ichaza izinto zokudibanisa, zinokusebenza njengabanqongopheleyo kuphuhliso lwe-Union State.
Izigqibo
Ngayo yonke imiba edweliswe ekuphuhlisweni komdibaniso wamabhanti, kuya kuba yimfuneko ukujongana kwaye ujonge iifomula ezidibana namazwe omabini. Kwangelo xesha, ukuba ukoyisa imiqobo ebhengeziweyo kulele kwinqwelomoya yolwakhiwo kunye nezicwangciso zolwakhiwo lwamacebo olwakhiwo, emva koko unokufuna ukulungiswa kobume bokudityaniswa kunye neenjongo zayo.
Kwangelo xesha, imbali ngokubanzi, umdla wesizwe ofanayo, imeko yemeko yelizwe, kunye nobukho bamanqanaba anzulu kwinqanaba lombutho, lunokuba yinto ebonakalayo yelizwe lokufumana ifomula ye-Union ukuqhubeka kophuhliso.
I-Denis Bonkin, umphandi weziko lembali yeSayensi yeSayensi ye-Belasus, UMlawuli weZiko loRhulumente "loMgaqo-nkqubo wangaphandle kunye noKhuseleko"