I-USD Rally izolo iyeke kwaye ibuyisiwe emva kokuba i-US ye-US ye-US yawa kwi-MAXIMA, abameli bobume be-fed bachasa ukuncitshiswa kwe-QE kunye neemozulu ezinobungozi zizinzileyo. Inqanaba eliphambili ledola ngoku liyinto enkulu ngoMvulo. Silinde imiyalelo evela kwi-strong emva kweeveki ezimbini, kwaye ujongeka ukuba ingabanjwa njani imihla yokugqibela yeTrump.
Iintloko eziphambili zevenkile zanamhlanje:
I-USD: Ukunciphisa imbuyekezo kukhokelele kwi-Grolly
I-conlidiation rall yedola yaseMelika izolo ifike kwi-piak kwaye yajika. Phakathi kwezizathu zoku - intetho yabangabongameli beebhanki ezintathu ze-ferrev (i-bullard, uGelard naseRosengrena, bonke abangabamba amalungu e-FOMC) ngokuchasene nemigaqo-nkqubo yokuthenga imigaqo-nkqubo kunye nokubuyisela umngcipheko kunye I-asuction edluleyo ethule idlulileyo kwiminyaka eli-10 ye-ofisi kaNondyebo, emva koko inzuzo iphinde ibuyele kwincopho yabo.
Kubalulekile: Namhlanje, amalungu amaninzi abondli aya kwenza emini, kuquka uSihlalo wayo uRichard wePrichard, oya kuthi axelele ngemodi yommiselo omtsha.
Izolo imbuyekezo ye-USD kwintengiso inokuthetha ukuphela kweSigaba sokuDibanisa, nangona esi sigaba singalindelekanga ukuba siphumelele kwizikhundla ezibuthathaka ngaphambi kokuba kuphele umkhwa, njengoko yayithoza kakhulu. Masibone ukuba intengiso ibuyela njani ngokukhawuleza kangakanani kwimixholo efanelekileyo kwaye kuya kubakho njani emva kokubelwa kwe-bijdden, kuba e-USA, umboniso we-proveres ucwangcisiwe nakwezi ntsuku kwaye ngosuku lwe Ukuzihlaziya kukaJanuwari 20. Ke kaloku, silumkele ukulumka: Imeko yasezantsi e-USD yomelele, kodwa ngobuchule, asikulungelanga ukubuyela kuyo.
Idatha entsha: I-CPI e-USA kunye neRhwebo eTshayina
Phakathi kwedatha yezoqoqosho elindelekileyo yi-CPI ye-United States. I-Fed igxile ikakhulu ekunyukeni kwabo bathengi, kodwa i-IPT esemthethweni ingaphezulu kweeveki ezininzi ngaphambili. Akukho nto ingaqhelekanga apha kulindeleke apha, nangona amaxabiso e-petrol ale phesheya ekhulile. Kunomdla ngakumbi kuya kuba ngulo uthelekiso luka-Epreli kwaye kwiinyanga ezizayo ngeenyanga ezifanayo zonyaka ophelileyo, unikwe ukuwa emva koko. Ngomhla we-2 kuDisemba, ixabiso le-IPC kulindeleke ukuba le-IPC lilindelwe ukuba libe yi-1.3% y / y (yayiyi-1.2% ngo-Novemba), kunye ne-1.6% y / y.
Kwakhona ngokuhlwanje, idatha kurhwebo lwangaphandle lwaseTshayina ngoDisemba lupapashwa; Ukuncitshiswa kwesinye kwintsalela, efikelele kwingxelo ye- $ 75 bhiliyoni ngoNovemba. Amanyathelo akhuthazayo athathwe kunyaka ophelileyo anikezele ngokuthunyelwa kwamaTshayina ngenkxaso enamandla. Kodwa ungalibali ukuba ukhuthazo luchaphazela yonke into, kubandakanya izinto ezingenanto, ukuveliswa kokutya, amandla, izinyithi kunye nezinye izinto ezifuna i-China kwixabiso lokuthumela kwelinye ilizwe elongezwe. Amaxabiso e-oyile ayakhula, kwaye ubuchule bethu kwimakethi yentengiso ye-Ole Hanseing qaphela ukuba i-ranoring eqinileyo iphakanyisiwe kakhulu amaxabiso erhasi engeniswayo kwi-dielied i-pieli ikhutshiwe. Kwangelo xesha, ukungenisa ioyile e-China kwiminyaka emihlanu yesithandathu kuphindwe kabini, kunye negesi yotywala kwiminyaka emihlanu yiminyaka emihlanu. Isalathiso esibalulekileyo sokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwi-China sikwakhona nesalathiso samaxabiso emveliso.
Ishedyuli: E-Ecurbp.
Olona tshintsho lubizwa ngokuba yi-G10 lubonisa i-randling, izolo ekutshintshelwe kwi-rally emva kwentloko yeBhanki yaseNgilane iBailey yahlulahlula i-accounting yenqanaba le-Akhawuntingi. Ukujonga imeko enzima e-United Kingdom, kunye nokuqhambuka okugqibeleleyo kunye nokuqhambuka kwamajoni emva kokubhabha, kungabi kuchaze inkungu yeshishini lezemali, kunzima ukucinga ukuba ndiza kunyanzela ukuba ndinganyanzela i-bhanki yaseNgilani Chaza amaxabiso amabi. Lo ngumqondiso wokuba iphawundi linomda omkhulu wokhuseleko. Ukongeza kubuninzi be-1,3700 kwi-GBPUSD PAIN, Landela ubuncinci be-0.8900 e-Evbbp, ukwaphuka kwe-EURGBP, ukwaphuka kwayo kunokukhokelela kwiNqanaba elilandelayo leNkxaso yeNkxaso ye-0,8300; Nangona kunjalo, kunokwenzeka ukuba ukwilelisa ukuya kwi-0.8600, ukuba iyaqhubeka kwaphela - kutshanje kukho inkosana ekhohlisayo.
Umthombo: Iqela leSaxo
Isishwankathelo esifutshane se-G10 kunye ne-yuan ye-yuan
I-USD-ngale ntsasa idola izama ukuphakama okutsha emva kokuwa izolo, kodwa impumelelo inokwenzeka kuphela ngokuhla kwe-gons yemozulu kunye / okanye ngokutsiba okutsha kwisivuno se-US.
I-CNH-Yuan ayikhathazi kakhulu ekuziphatheni ngokubanzi, ukomeleza kwi-Euro kwaye ngaphezulu kwenqanaba lokuhambelana nodidi ku-Aud.
I-EUR-Isibini esibini e-Eurusd ngale ntsasa isuke emva jerk izolo, mhlawumbi ukudityaniswa ukuya kwi-1,2065 ye-1,2000 yengqondo ye-1.2000.
Jpy-Yena ngesantya sokunciphisa izolo ngokudibeneyo, kwaye isibini se-USDJPY sahlala kwijelo lasezantsi. Iya kuphinda iqhubeke de i-rally entsha ibona inqanaba lokujika-, linikezwe ubulumko bejelo, isibini sinokuthathwa ngaphezulu.
I-GBP-I-Pound Sterling inyuka, kodwa bubuxoki le hla okanye ngaphambi kokuqhubeka? Ewe kunjalo, ukwaliwa kweNtloko yeBhanki yeNgilane evela kumaxabiso amabi kuyanceda, kodwa i-influx yokwenyani yotyalo-mali kweli lizwe iyafuneka. Bukela amanqanaba e-1,3705 kwi-GBPUSD kunye ne-0.8865 e-Evbbp.
I-CHF-iqhwa eliqhutywa nguFranc, kodwa kukho umgca onomdla wokuxhathisa kwaye, mhlawumbi, umzobo ongenanto "kwi-therchs" e-USDCHF malunga ne-0.8920, ukuze le idola iya kufuna ukomeleza.
I-Aud-Idola yase-Australia yatsiba emva kwentengiso, kodwa ngokubanzi ibonakala igqithisile, kwaye akunakwenzeka ukuba umzamo wokudibanisa ulinganiselwe kule. Kwisongelo esicacileyo esicacileyo, indlela ephezulu iya kufuna ukwehla kwi-0.7700 kwaye i-0.7666 ivele ngoMvulo.
I-CAD - i-oyile rally ityhala i-Cad up isihlobo kwi-USD. Nangona kunjalo, kwiTshathi yekota ephakathi, i-USDCAD ibonakala idinwa, kwaye ukuza kuthi ga ngoku i-Rongbacks inokwenzeka ngaphakathi kwi-1.3000.
I-NZD - Austhest Austhest Australia i-zealander entsha kwaye ekugqibeleni yahlulahlulwe ukusuka kwi-200 yemihla ngemihla. Ndilindele ukuba ndonyuse kwisibini sabo ekuhambeni kwexesha, ukuqala ngenguqu ukuya kwingingqi ye-1.1000-1.3.3.3000.
I-SEK-Sweden Conhhn ilahlekelwe ngamandla e-Eorsk, kodwa ingqokelela iyasongelwa kuphela ukuba ikhathalele ngaphezulu kwe-10,11-10-10.15, nangona i-noksek emva kolungiso olubukhali emva kwexabiso leoli.
I-NOK-isithsaba saseNorway siyonwabela ukunyuka ngexabiso leoyile; Ukwehla kwe-EURNAK kwi-10,50-10-10 ..40 ithiyotisi ivula indlela ukuya kwi-10.00.
Iziganeko eziphambili ezizayo zekhalenda yezoqoqosho (ixesha lazo zonke izinto zibonakalisiwe yiGreenwich):
Ngo-18: 00- intetho ngo-L. GORDRR kwi-Fed (ilungu lokuvota i-FOM) 19:00 - isishwankathelo se-STARY STORT KWI-STRICE KWI-STRICE KWI-SRC (ilungu levoti le IFOMEC) kwisihloko soMgaqo-nkqubo omtsha woMgaqo-nkqubo we-02: 00 - ibhalansi kunye nokuthumela kwelinye ilizwe / ukungenisa i-China ngoDisemba
U-John Hardy, ophambili ka-SAXO Bank