Ixabiso eliphambili liza kuphela njani ngoMatshi 19? I-Insocists

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Ixabiso eliphambili liza kuphela njani ngoMatshi 19? I-Insocists 15757_1
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NgoLwesihlanu, iBhodi yaBalawuli yeBan Russia iya kuphinda yenze isigqibo kwiqondo eliphambili. Kwiintlanganiso ezine zangaphambili, yayishiywe ingaguqukanga kwi-4.25%. Nangona kunjalo, ngoFebruwari 2021, uMlawuli utshintshe umlawuli orhectoric: amagama anovavanyo lwezinto ezinokubangela ukuba atshiswe libinzana "Ibhanki yaseRussia iya kumisela ixesha lokungathathi cala Umgaqo-lawulo wemali "(Umgaqo-nkqubo wangoku uthathwa njengethambileyo, ukubuyela ekungathathi cala kuthetha amaqondo onyukayo).

I-Ballfoforsoforsoforsorsoforformform.ru ebuzwayo, kunokwenzeka ukuba unyuse eyona nqanaba liphambili ngoMatshi 19.

I-Natalia Orlova, I-Apcial Aconorist Alfa Bank:

Ngaphandle kotshintsho

-Sisabelana ngembono yokuba ukukhawulezisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwiinyanga nje zamva nje kubangela inkxalabo ephambili kwi-Central Bank, kodwa sisabona inani lezinto ezithetha ngokukhulisa intlanganiso ngo-Epreli, hayi kule veki. Okokuqala, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwakuyi-0.2% ukusukela ekuqaleni kwenyanga ngo-Matshi 9, eyenza ulindelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngo-5.7-5.8.8.8%, iphuma kwincopho yamaxabiso onyaka; Intloko yeBhanki ephakathi kudliwanondlebe lokugqibela kunye nemithombo yeendaba yaseRussia yachaza ukuba ukuphuhliswa kweziganeko kuyahambelana nokulindelwa kweziganeko zebhanki. Okwesibini, inkxaso eyomeleleyo kwi-Ruble Ixabiso linamaxabiso aphezulu eoyile, eya kuthi iqinisekise igalelo elifanelekileyo ngenxa yokudluliselwa. Okwesithathu, ukukhula koqoqosho eRussia kuya kuba kwindawo yexabiso elifanelekileyo ukusukela ngo-Epreli, kwaye no-Epreli kuya kuba selona xesha lifanelekileyo ukuqala umjikelo wokunyusa. Kwangelo xesha, siyavuma nokuba inkqubo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ikhula ngeyona meko imbi kakhulu, kwaye ukunyuka kwamaxabiso okutya akusekho phantsi kolawulo lukarhulumente; Oku kunokuba yimpikiswano kwi-Central Bank ukwenza ngaphambili. Ngokubhekisele kwiskripthi sokukhulisa i-5.5% ukuphela kwalo nyaka, okwangoku sicinga le meko inzima kwaye singalindelanga ukuba ireyithi iya kuhamba ngaphezulu kwekota yesine.

I-Svetlana Kovaleva, intloko yebhanki ye-GORT e Yekaternburg:

Ngaphandle kotshintsho

-Siqikelela ukuba ireyithi iya kuhlala ingaguqukanga. Akukho meko ingathandekiyo okwangoku, kwaye i-Central Bank inokwenzeka ukuba ithathe ikhefu kwintshukumo yokubheja.

UStanislav Murashov, Macroanalyst Riffeisinbank:

Ngaphandle kotshintsho

-Ukuqiniswa okungaguqukiyo kwe-Rhetoric yebhanki ephakathi ukusuka esiphelweni sonyaka ophelileyo kwakubonakaliswa ngokucacileyo ngemihla yokugqibela: umlawuli ngokucacileyo, eqondakala ngokunyusa ngokukhawuleza, kuya kuba njalo, kuya kuba sekwenzeka kulo nyaka. Kwaye ngokubanzi, ithuba elinjalo alibandakanywanga nakwintlanganiso ekufuphi ngalo Lwesihlanu, nangona sisakholelwa ukuba ibhanki esembindini iya kugcina irhafu engaguqukanga.

EvgenIa Kosheliev, UMlawuli we-Ofisi yoPhando lweNtengiso kunye neQhinga le-rosbank:

Ngaphandle kotshintsho

-Silindele ibhidi ukuba igcine nge-19 kaMatshi, ngaphandle kwe-piip enkulu ejikeleze esi sihloko ngokuchasene nemvelaphi yokunyuka kwamaxabiso okukhawulezileyo. Ukuba uphakamisa ukubheja, ke kuyavakala ukwenza oku ngo-Epreli- kuya kubakho idatha engaphezulu kwimisebenzi yoqoqosho, ingxolo "ye-fast" ye-fast "kunye neemvakalelo ngalo mbandela. Kananjalo ngo-Epreli kuya kubakho indawo engakumbi yezisombululo zonxibelelwano-kwintlanganiso ka-Epreli, isimo sezoqoqosho siya kuhlaziywa, uqikelelo longezwa kwiqondo eliphambili kunye nengqungquthela ye-Central Bank iya kubanjwa.

U-Lushn Eduard, usekela-sihlalo weBhodi, intloko ye-Fendraty yeBhanki ye-SDM:

+0.25 iphe. P.

-Ukunxibelelana nohlobo lokunyuka kwexesha lokunyuka kwamaxabiso kwi-staddanny, silindele ukwanda kokuqala kwe-Central Bank kwindibano yesiseko engama-25 ukuya kwi-4.5% ngonyaka. Ingqwalaselo iya kugxila kumagqabantshintshi entloko ye-bhanki yaseRussia kwiphiko eliqikelelweyo leMgaqo-nkqubo yemali.

Omnye umbuzo kukuba uninzi lokunyuka kwamaxabiso lungeniswa, izinto zangaphakathi ziphulukana nempembelelo yazo. Ukongeza, ukudluliselwa kwe-Roventi yokunyuka kwamaxabiso kuya kuphela, ukomeleza i-Ruble kwikota yokuqala kuya kuba nefuthe lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.

UAlexander Kravtsov, UMlawuli wePhondo leSebe leMfundo kwiimarike zezemali zebhanki ye-SKB:

Ngaphandle kotshintsho

-Silindele ukuba inani eliphambili liya kuhlala lingatshintshanga ngoMatshi 19. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kukhule kakhulu, kugqithile kwinqanaba ekujoliswe kulo kwiBhanki yaseRussia, i-piak kulindeleke kwinyanga ezayo, ilandelwe ukwehla. Kwimeko enjalo yesenzo esibonakalayo kwiBhanki yaseRussia, ayimfuneko, inokuboniswa kwi-trajectory yeebhere kwixesha elizayo.

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