IRussia imele isoyikiso kumalungu onke eNaTO, cinga kwiPentagon, kodwa i-United States inqwenela ukuyinyanzela ukuba 'iphendule kwizenzo ezingenankathalo. " Nge-16 kaFebruwari ka-16, u-Nato Sobhala Jikelele uStolnberg kwaye wathi konke ukuba umbutho wayelungele ukungqubana neRussia. Into engenantsingiselo ayiphelelanga ekuqondeni ngokomlomo-umanyano luyanda ubukho bomkhosi phakathi kwemida yaseRashiya. Eyona ndlela iphambili kwangaxeshanye yiMpuma Yurophu: Ilizwe leBaltic lazisa usukelo oluphambili lwe-hypothetical "i-Russia. I-Nato izokukhusela njani lo mmandla, ibuxabisa ugqirha oyintloko kwiziko lezifundo ze-baltic ye-bebapropolical iZiko leMfundo kunye neMimandla yeYunivesithi yaseBaltic. I.KANA YURI
Inkcazo yokuba iRussia ilungiselela kwaye kwimeko elula iya kuqhuba ubundlongondlongo ngokuchasene ne-baltic States ukuze ubandakanyeke kwimfazwe yabo, ukuba, ukuba usoyika imfazwe yenyukliya, umdla kwaye awukwenzi Ngenelelo, yindawo eqhelekileyo kwi-propaganda ye-propaganda yanamhlanje kwaye yasebenza njenge-axiom engafuni bungqina. Ukuhla kancinci emva kokuthathwa kweLithuania, iLatvia ne-Estonia ukuya kwi-Nort Atlantic Alliance ngo-2004, le phulo lokubuyela kwiRussia ye-ruria kunye neSevastopol.
Lo msitho, owayengumphumo ngqo wokuphefumlela kunye ne-EU yeCop yombuso eKiev, engaxhunyiwe yi-Baltic, kwaye engekho mthethweni, akukho nto kwingingqi yeBaltic yayingatshintshiwe. Nangona kunjalo, isizathu esivakalayo safunyaniswa ukuba someleze kwaye sandise ubukho bemikhosi yaseMelika noNato apho. Ubunkokeli bamazwe beBaltic batshaya "i-karaul! Siza kuhlasela! ", Kwaye uNato wakhokelwa kwangoko, 'wahlangula." I-Russia, nangona kunjalo, ayizange ivele emfazweni, kwaye ubungqina bengcinezelo yaseRussia kumasipala we-baltic kwakufuneka ukuba banxunguphele ngokwenyani.
Kodwa ityala lenziwe, kwaye ingingqi yeBaltic yi-Baltic uphuphume kancinci kwi-Euronation yaseYurophu enentsebenziswano phakathi kweRussia kunye nabamelwane bawo kwiRussia ' Kwaye kwi "powder Barrel yaseYurophu" A I-LA YABASA YOKUQALA KWESIQINISEKISO SESIQINISEKILEYO.
Kwiminyaka elandelayo, umba wokucwangciswa kwe-baltic States kwi "Russian Ukuhlasela" (olwalusemagunyeni ") waba zizihloko ezithandwayo kumkhosi we-Flanger ye-Evernge Nato . Kucacile ukuba izicwangciso zokwenyani zeNaTO ziyimfihlo [1], kwaye iya kuba yinto engaqhelekanga ukulindela. Nangona kunjalo, iziphakamiso zazivakala ngokukhululekileyo (apho bendicinga kuphela ukuba ndibaluleke kakhulu ngenxa yomthamo olinganiselweyo), kubonakala ngathi kusanikwa umbono othile wokuba i-United States kunye ne-Nato iza kwenza njani kwi-Baltic States Kwaye yeyiphi imikhosi kunye nezixhobo zomanyano zinokwahlukaniswa kula mazwe (kunye nasePoland). Izinto ezinikezelwe kule, icandelo lokuqala elifanekiselwa ingqalelo yakho.
Ingxelo yeRandi yoRhwebo
Ngehlobo lowama-2014 kwaye ngentwasahlobo yango-2015, i-Soriforn-i-American-Special Rap "I-SAnta Mo Monica, ICalifornia iqhube (imidlalo yeBhodi kwimephu zamazwe aseburhulumenteni. Iziphumo zazidakumbile iNato: Kwimeko apho imeko, imikhosi yaseRussia yafikelela kumazantsi e-riga kunye (okanye) iiyure ezingama-36-60 emva kokuqala kobutshaba [2]. Imidlalo yasemkhosini iqinisekisile ubuthathaka obuqhelekileyo bemikhosi eyaziwayo ye-baltic States: Inani elincinci, ukungabi nazithuthi ezingapheliyo, ukungabikho kwe-Armored yezithuthi (i-tarks), ukunqongophala kwe-artillery kunye nokungabikho komoya ekusetyenzisweni kwenjongo ephezulu. Isiphelo sagqitywa ukuba ukwenzela ukuthintela ukuphuculwa kweziganeko ze-NAO kumaqela asixhenxe kumazwe asixhenxe, axhaswa ngokufanelekileyo ngamandla omoya, ukhuselo lomoya, ukhuseleko lomoya kunye nezinye iiyunithi zomoya.Kwaye ayingawo onke la mandla, ngokobubhali bengxelo, kufanele ukuba bahambele phambili. Ngenxa yoko, xa isoyikiso esisoyikisayo, ubuncinci iveki, i-Nato inexesha lokudlulisela i-Air Promoopers ye-Airpooopers ye-Itaradot ye-Italina kunye ne-82nd ye-82 Amalungu omkhosi avela kwamanye amazwe eNaTO, kuquka nobukumkani obunye ne-United Kingdom naseFrance. Umlilo we-Anti-Tank Wily unokubonelela ngenqwelomoya (ihelikopta) yase-US i-US brigade esekwe eJamani. Ukongeza, iinxalenye ezinzima ezinezithuthi ezazikhutshwe zizithuthi ezicekeceke zazifuneka. Le ngxelo iphakamise ukhetho oluninzi olunokwenzeka: Ukuhlala ngokuhlala luxhotyiswe ngokupheleleyo ngohlobo olunobuhlobo kunye nobuchule bokuchwephesha kumazwe aseBaltic; Nikeza ngendawo yokuqhubela phambili kwezixhobo kunye nezixhobo ePoland, amazwe eBaltic okanye eJamani, kwaye indawo yobuqu iya kudlulisela emoyeni kwinqanaba lokuqala lentlekele; Ixhomekeke kubukho bootari okanye basebenzise indibaniselwano yezi ndlela zilapha ngasentla.
Mayitshilo ukuba iziphumo zophando malunga neRandi Corporation ziye zagxekwa ngokwaneleyo. Ke, umzekelo, umbhali waseLatvia Bens Latkovskis ngo-Matshi 2016 uqaphele ukuba imeko ayinathemba njengoko kubonisiwe kwingxelo. Ubonise ukuba xa imodeli ayizange ithathelwe ingqalelo okanye ingonelanga kwizinto ezifana nempahla yomkhosi waseRussia, kunokwenzeka ukuba inciphise iibhlorho eziphezulu, apho i-Lakeds enamachibi, ingamachiza amaninzi, i-jamps kunye Imilambo, ukubakho kokusebenzisa yonke into umthamo wenqwelomoya womanyano (hayi nje i-aving kuphela, ithunyelwe kufutshane neMpuma ye-Baltic kwiMpuma yePosi yasePoland (kwiRandi yemidlalo yePoland, ayizange Phaphuma kwimbambano, ngaphezu koko, izenzo zomkhosi eLithuania nakwiindawo ezijikeleze i-Kanalingrad ngokubanzi iimodeli aziqwalaselwanga) njalo njalo.
Umbhali wabhala ukuba iRussia ayikulungelanga ukuba i-Blitzkkharig, kwaye nangona ukuzikhusela kufuneka ukomeleze, nokuba kukhuselo lwala mazwe angabi lula kwaye kungabi buhlungu ukuba kunokwenzeka Izixhobo zomkhosi zinikezelwe.
Kodwa, kubonakala ukuba, umsebenzi weRand Corporation wayengekho kwinjongo yomkhosi (Shiya ngasemva kwezibiyeli angayisebenzisi i-baltic States ngelo xesha kwaye akayi kudlalwa ngurhulumente obanzi we Iitanki zaseRussia kwidolophu yaseRiga okanye i-Tallinn engama-36-60 emva kokuqala kwembambano. Kwaye ukuze le nto le yenzeki, icele ibhulukhwe esisixhenxe eyongezelelweyo ekomelezeni, eyayimele ukuba yenziwa kwi-2,7 yezigidigidi zoHlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwaseMelika kunye noHlahlo-lwabiwo lwe-NAO, lungaphezulu kwe- $ I-1 trillion. Kodwa, njengoko besitsho, inkanuko iza ngelixa isitya kwaye inkxwaleko.
Xela "ukuzalisa ibhendi yeBaltic Nato"
NgoMeyi ka-2016, iZiko leNkqutyana leHlabathi liphela (i-ICDS), i-Estonia) yapapasha ingxelo ethi "Ukuzalisa ibhola yeBaltic Nato". Ababhali bakhe babedla umhlala-phantsi waseMelika uClark Clark (uWesley K. Clark), owayesakuba ngumlawuli oPhezulu waseNato eYurophu (Saceur) (i-USA); UJüri Luik, UMlawuli weZiko loKhuselo lweHlabathi kunye neZiko lezokhuseleko (i-Estonia) [3]; I-Hermansky Rimms Rims (i-Egon Rimms), umphathi wangaphambili woMkhosi odibeneyo kaNato kwiBryson; Mnumzana Richard Shirreff (uRichard Shirreff), owayesakuba nguSekela -myakazi oPhezulu woMkhosi we-Nato Manyeneyo waseYurophu eYurophu (DSACUR). Benze i-National yase-Nato eyaneleyo ye-NATO kumazwe eBaltic, ekholelwa ukuba le kuphela kwendlela yokuqinisekisa ukhuseleko ebusweni [4] kwiRussia. Kwangelo xesha, kwaphawulwa ukuba ungakuqinisekisa ubukho bemikhosi egudileyo kwisiseko, emva koko impikiswano ilingana nefomathi yobukho (irocial okanye is) akufuneki iye kweyona.
Ngokutsho kwababhali bale ngxelo, kuya kuba zizimela ngokugqibeleleyo ngokuhanjiswa kweetayithi ze-nato ukuya kuthi ga kwi-National Prester kwi-Baltic ngalunye kwi-nato brigade. Ukongeza, kwacetyiswa ukwandisa kunye nemikhosi yaseMelika - ubuncinci kwiqela elinye le-battalion kwiqela ngalinye leBaltic.
Kwacetywa ukuphindaphinda kumazwe eBaltic kwisiseko esijikelezayo, i-US (i-US yaseMelika ivela kummandla wolwandle omnyama. Kwaqatshelwa ukuba sele kwinqanaba lokuqala lemikhosi yemisebenzi ekhethekileyo (i-SOF) iya kudlala indima ebalulekileyo ekufezekiseni nawuphi na umsebenzi kumazwe "okuthintelwa kunye nokubuyiselwa kwendawo yokufikelela kunye nokubuyela umva" (A2 / I-AD), kunye nendima ebalulekileyo ekuboneni izenzo eziza kuchongwa iRussia, njengoko kuchaziwe, zinokuzama ukufihlakala phantsi kwengxelo "yamadoda aluhlaza" okanye "amajoni aqeshisayo".
I-Patrol Stal Air Spasplaror Air Prosplas Airlic Aultitic Air icelwe ukuba iguqulwe ibe yindawo yokuzikhusela kwi-airpace ngokufakwa kwamanye amakhosi kwaye athetha ngexesha loxolo kwaye athethe ngeli xesha loxolo. Ulwandle lwacelwa ukuba lukhulise ubukho bamaqela ahlala ngokusisigxina kuLwandle lweBaltic (i-SNF). La maqela ebefanele ukuba abandakanye iinqanawa ezinokufaka isicelo sokubetha ixesha elide, kunye nokuzikhusela kunye nokuzikhusela kwendawo yaseRussia A2 / intengiso kwingingqi yeKaliloverad.
Ukomeleza ubukho be-nato kwi-baltic States
Ukupapashwa kweziphumo zophando lweRandi kunye nenani lezinye iingxelo, kunye namathandabuzo amazwe eBaltic kwinto yokuba, kwimeko yohlaselo lwaseRussia, inqaku lesi-5 le-5 ] Kukhokelela kwinto yokuba kwiNgqungquthela ye-NAO eWarsaw ngoJulayi ngo-2016 kwagqitywa kwelokuba bomeleze ubukho bukaNato eLithuania, iLatvia, ePoland, kwi-poland, kwi-tittinalion enye yethutyana. Ixesha lokuhlala liqela le-battalion ye-battalion ye-wittalion ePoland kunye ne-baltic States ayiphelelanga ngexesha. I-Battalions (amaqela okulwa kobukho be-nato), ethunyelwe phakathi kwe-Earneren no-Epreli ngo-2017, ePoland), eLithuani (e-Itsia) kunye ne-Exotonia).
Ukusukela nge-20 ka-Okthobha, inani lilonke lamaqela alowo wobakho oqinisekileyo kaNato kumazwe angama-baltic yayingama-3768 abantu. Amaqela akwi-baltic States kunye nePoland baxhomekeke kwiCandelo le-Nato-East-Easert-empuma ye-NATO (MN-A) kwisixeko sase-Elblag. Ubukho bamaqela okulwa kwenziwe, okokuqala, ukuzola ubunkokeli bamazwe eBaltic, amazwe abo athabathelwe i-Nato, kwaye okwesibini, ukuba angenise umqondiso ohambelana neRussia.
Eyona nto iphambili, amaqela enkonzo yokulwa yenziwa njengohlobo lwentiyo. Ukuba uhlaselo ngqo lwenzeka eMelika, isiJamani, saseCanada, iBritane kunye nabanye abakhonzayo kumazwe angaphandle, esi sigqibo se-Nato Morks ngokuhambelana neSivumelwano se-5 seAtlantic isivumelwano seAtlantic.
Nangona kunjalo, indawo yokuhlala kwi-baltic States yamaqela abubulo bobukho bobubele, ngokweengcaphephe ezininzi, akazange azicombulule iingxaki zeMoya kwiNgxowa-mali yeRand (kwixesha elizayo "kwaoko kwavakaliswa esidlangalaleni phantse ngokungafikeleleki njengokutshintsha kwamaxesha onyaka). Izakhono zokulwa kwe-nato abaziimbi ze-nato zahlala zinqongophele. Banokuzikhusela, basebenzise amandla athile angenayo, kwaye abe nendlela yokhuselo lomoya kwaye (kwi-scales encinci). Njengoko wabhalayo kamva uGqr. Ulrich Kün ukusuka kwiZiko leVienna lokungafani kunye nokungafikeleli, le nto ibizwa ngokuba "ngumkhosi obizwa ngokuba" ngumsebenzi welinye iqela onokubangela ukuzibophelela kwe Iqela lokukhusela ekuphenduleni ngemfesane elizayo. Kwimeko yokuhlaselwa, kufuneka banciphise amandla okukhuthaza uburharha, ukuphumelela ixesha lokuhlanganisa kunye nokudlulisela amandla abongezelelekileyo efunekayo kwi-countertattattack. Ke, ukwenza kumazwe eBaltic ngaphandle kwe-nato ye-nato enzima ye-NATO, kuya kuba yinto engekhoyo.
Malunga nendlela ingxoxo eqhubekayo yokwandisa ubukho bemikhosi yaseMelika noNato kwi-Baltic States emva kokubeka indawo yokuhlala ye-NATO ye-NATO.
Umgqatswa weSayensi yeJografi, iNgcali eyintloko yeziko leZifundo zeJopotical zeNgxelo yeZifundo zeBaltic zeZifundo zeLicopolical kunye neMimandla yeYunivesithi yaseBaltic. I-Imanuel Kanta
[1] Ixesha lokugqibela lokukhusela iPoland kunye namazwe eBaltic, njengoko kuchaziwe nguNato ekuqaleni kukaJulayi 2020.
[2] Ngesizathu esithile, iLithuania, Belausi, Ingingqi yeKaliunterad yahlala ngaphandle kokulinganisa. Inkxwaleko yayiqhutywa kuphela e-Estonia neLatvia ukusuka kumhlaba oyintloko waseRussia. Kuba le ngxelo yagxekwa kwizangqa zomkhosi zaseMelika.
[3] Ngoku uMphathiswa wezokhuselo wase-Estonian. Kwangoko, isikhundla soMphathiswa wezangaphandle sabanjwa kathathu kwaye yayingummeli osisigxina we-Estonia ukuya eNato.
[4] izoyikiso zokusetyenziswa kwezixhobo eziqhelekileyo (ezingengawo zenyukliya).
[5] Ubunkokeli bamazwe aseBaltic basoyika ukuba kwimeko yemfazwe neRussia, inani lamazwe aphambili e-Atlantic Art Atlantic alinakufuna, ukufa kwala mazwe kuya kuba Shiya ii-balts ngaphandle kwenkxaso yasemkhosini, ngaphandle kobulungu babo eNato.
[6] Ngotshintsho lwezahlulo kwiqela le-DLUAT qho kwiinyanga ezintandathu.