Yintoni eyingozi ekukhuleni kwerekhodi letyala likarhulumente laseBelasus? Siyayiqonda i-Economist

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Yintoni eyingozi ekukhuleni kwerekhodi letyala likarhulumente laseBelasus? Siyayiqonda i-Economist 11819_1

Ngokwe-iSebe lezeziMali, kumatyala amazwe angaphandle kwelizwe ngeenyanga ezili-11 afikelele kwi- $ 18.2 yezigidigidi ukusuka ekuqaleni konyaka, inyuke nge- $ 1 bhiliyoni, okanye nge-5.9%. Kwaye olu luhlobo lwerekhodi kwimbali yelizwe. Ityala likarhulumente ngokubanzi kwi-GDP yelizwe sele lifikile i-36.2%, enye i-3.8% - kwaye iyakuseka ingxelo yembali. Nguwuphi umngcipheko wokukhula kwetyala loluntu?

UVeladimir Kovalleskin, "utsho uVladimir Kovallekin, intloko yeprojekthi yeKosha eya. -Kwezizathu ezibini.

Ekuqaleni. Ngaphezulu kwe-97% yetyala loluntu lityunjelwe imali yelinye ilizwe, kwaye ukuze le Dolg ye-Sullg ukuya kukhonza, owona mzimba uphambili kunye nomdla, ilizwe kufuneka lijonge rhoqo ngemali. Yongeza ukuthunyelwa kwelinye ilizwe kwaye ngenkcitho yawo ukuhlawula amatyala esidlangalaleni, thatha amatyala amatsha ukubuya indala.

Kukwathetha ukuba le nto ayidlalanga kwi-Dound elungileyo, ayiyi kuyinciphisa iDolg yombuso, kodwa iya kuyona kuphela: kusenokuthenga imali, kodwa kufuneka bathenge imali, kodwa ngenxa ye-ruble. Kwimeko ye-Deedalisetion kuya kuba nzima ngakumbi ukugcina amatyala atyunjwe kwiidola, okanye kwii-euro, okanye kuyo nayiphi na enye imali yelinye ilizwe.

Inqaku lesibini elibalulekileyo ziindleko zamatyala, oko kukuthi, iipesenti kuwo. Kwi-Belarus, inqanaba lenzala eliphakathi li-4.5%, ngokweOurobonds - ngaphezulu kwe-6%. Eli lixabiso lenzala eliphezulu kakhulu lemali mboleko yorhulumente. Kwi-Eurozone, kuyinto eqhelekileyo ukuba nebhidi ngokwetyala loluntu elingaphantsi kwe-1%, kunye namazwe e-Eurozone, inzuzo yamandla karhulumente ayinanto. Oku kuthetha ukuba i-Belarus, iindleko zokuhambisa amatyala oluntu zinokubiza kakhulu kune-Germany, iFrance okanye i-Itali. Oko kukuthi, kwilizwe elinjalo, uqoqosho olukule meko ilungileyo.

Ihlala isebenza ngepesenti yesalathisi setyala loluntu kwi-GDP. Kodwa kuya kufuneka uqonde ukuba, ngaphandle kwesikhombisi, kukho kanye ipesenti yetyala loluntu. Kwaye ukuba i-Itali inokuthi ifumane i-135% yetyala loluntu kwi-GDP kunye ne-0.5%, emva koko uBelarus sele ene-5-40% ngonyaka ngamnye uya kunyanzelwa ukuba ahlawule uhlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwe-BIG Imali njenge-Italiya malunga nohlahlo-lwabiwo mali lwabo.

Zombini iingxaki zidibanisa enye enkulu: Ityala loluntu lonke, owona mzimba uphambili otyunjwe kwimali yelinye ilizwe kunye nomdla omkhulu kakhulu, kufuneka unikwe iinkonzo kuhlahlo-lwabiwo mali lukarhulumente. Oku kuthetha ukuba imali ayizukuya kuphuhliso lwemfundo, amayeza kunye nenqanaba lentlalontle. Le mali ayisoze ibone imeko yethu yentlalo.

Ingxaki yesithathu - i-belarus ihlala ilayishwe kwakhona ukuba ibuyiselwe umva. Kwimeko yentlekele yezopolitiko engqongqo, ithuba lokuhlala kwiimarike ezisentshona, kumazwe asentshona nakwimibutho yehlabathi ingekho. Olona nzimbo lusekhona-iRussia kunye neengxowa-mali ezixhaswe yiRussia. Mhlawumbi enye inkokeli yaseTurkmenistan okanye i-Azerbaijan iya kuvuma ukunika imali kuyo nayiphi na imisebenzi yayo. Mhlawumbi i-China iya kuyinika imali. Oko kukuthi, kule mboleko incinci. Ngaphandle kokungabikho kwesakhono sokungafumani i-Dolg yombuso, okungagqibekanga kunokwenzeka. Ngokuhambelana, kuya kuba nzima imeko yezopolitiko, kokukhona kuya kuba nzima ngakumbi ukucinga i-dollg yombuso. Amatyala oluntu ngakumbi, kokukhona okufuneka empilweni. Imingcipheko ihlala isanda.

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