Itanga umusaruro utandukanya ububikoziri nicyo kintu cyingenzi mugushyigikira isoko ryimigabane kuva coronacris yatangiye hafi umwaka hashize. Ariko, impiborate ikabije ya sisitemu yububiko bwa federasiyo na Guverinoma, kimwe n'ibyiringiro by'ibiciro bishya byo gukangura no gukura gukomeye k'ubukungu nyuma yo gukingirwa kwa musa. Mu myaka 10 yububiko bwimyaka 10, umusaruro kuri iki cyumweru Rose kuri 1.3%, nubwo mu ntangiriro zumwaka hari abantu bagera kuri 0.9%.
Isoko ryatekerezaga ku ifarangaUmubare w'iterambere ry'u nyungu wa buri kwezi mu Gashyantare rishobora kuba rimwe mu byihuta kuva mu 2018. Abashoramari batangiye gutekereza ku bijyanye no kwiyongera kw'amafaranga yatijwe hamwe n'ibiciro byo kugabanyirizwa inyungu, ibibazo by'isoko ryimigabane .
Kiran Ganesh, UBEN Ganesh, UBEN Ganesh, UBN Ganesicts, UBS GlobalGunda ku ntangabunga umutekano mu buryo butunguranye mu gihe cyo gucunga. - Ariko niba ibi bibaye vuba, birashobora gutuma habaho ibibazo bikomeye. "
Ibyiringiro byo kugenera ubundi bundi $ $ 1.9 uhereye ku ngengo y'imari, ishyirwa mu bikorwa ry'ibisabwa byatinze nyuma yo guhagarika ibibazo byinshi nyuma yo guhagarika amafaranga y'amezi menshi yagenewe kwiyongera mu gihe cyo kwiyongera mu gihe kugeza ku rwego rwa quand. Ikirenga cyimyaka 10-kumarana, kabone nigipimo kimeneka cyimyaka 10, itandukaniro riri hagati yumusaruro wimpapuro zumusaruro wimyaka 10 ishize, inama), zikoreshwa mugusuzuma ibiteganijwe Ifaranga, ryiyongereye kugera kuri 2.2%, urwego rwo hejuru kuva 2014
Hagati aho, icyerekezo cya Fed cyatoranijwe, igipimo cyibanze cyimigabane kumarana (ukuyemo ibiryo nibicuruzwa byingufu), ni 1.5% (amakuru yo mu Kuboza). Ibi biragaragara neza kuruta intego ndende yaburinganiye muri 2%. Ikindi kimenyetso, urutonde rwibiciro byabaguzi, ntabwo ryahindutse muri Mutarama ugereranije nukuboza, kandi mumagambo yumwaka yakuze na 1.4%.
Kubera ko ibanga ryinjiza ryinjira, ifaranga ryishyuye abashoramari bahabwa.
Mubisanzwe bifatwa nkaho ifaranga riciriritse nibyiza ku isoko ryimigabane. Hanze, ariko buhoro buhoro isoko ry'ishoramari rigenda rikura hamwe n'umuvuduko mwinshi mu myaka 90% by'imanza, nk'uko byihuta bya Stchrode.
Ariko igiciro cyihuse cyane gishobora kwiyongera amagambo ari kumateka maxima, cyane cyane mububiko bwikoranabuhanga burenze. Kwiyongera mubiciro byumusaruro nkibisubizo byifaranga bizatera kugabanuka kumafaranga yibanze. Gukura mu nyungu ninyungu bigabanya agaciro ka none kamafaranga yigihe kizaza, bityo bigabanya agaciro k'amasosiyete muburyo bwagereranijwe. Markovitz agira ati: "Iyo kwihutisha ifaranga, isoko rigomba kugabanya aya mafaranga azaza ku kigero cyo hejuru kugira ngo umuntu yishyure amafaranga make mu mafaranga y'uyu munsi ari make."
Imbere yabashoramari, ubu birakwiriye umurimo utoroshye - kumenya igihe igitutu cya inflationa ari hejuru cyane. Umuyobozi w'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama b'ishoramari mu bajyanama mu migabane ya Leta. Ariko hamwe no kuruhuka - ndetse ni beza "hejuru ya 3%, ibintu biri mumasoko yimigabane bizahinduka" birambye gato ".
Dukurikije isesengura ryamakuru yamateka, aherutse gukoresha Goldman Sachs, umusaruro ugomba kwiyongera ukwezi kumanota 0.36 kugirango isoko ryimigabane rimenetse. Nk'uko Dipaca PIPA, Umuyobozi ushinzwe ishoramari mu masoko ya Amerika ya Deuts trand Gucunga Ubutunzi Bugari, Umusaruro w'ikigega cy'imyaka 10 Gushora "
Kubungabunga ibyifuzo byayo byiyongera bishobora gutera umurongo ku isoko, kugabanya imigabane mu mirenge yihigo vuba, nk'ikoranabuhanga, kandi gushyigikira imirenge yabuze igihe kirekire abashoramari. Mu bihe bishya harimo ibigo by'imari n'ingufu bifite imigabane isanzwe yihuta kwihuta. Ati: "Uburyo rusange hano ni ugushora muri sosiyete ko imbaraga zikomeye ziterwa na stade yubukungu. Jonathan Golub, avuga ko atezimbere ubukungu muri rusange bufasha ibigo bifatwa nk'intege nke. "
Fata ugutwi mu egorIbintu birashobora kwiyongera mu cyi, abashoramari bamwe bemeza. Ukurikije abateganya, ubukungu buzagarurwa vuba muri kiriya gihe, harimo no gushimira byiyongera ku ngengo y'imari. Minisitiri w'imari ya Janet Yelevin aherutse gusubiramo ko mu kibazo cy'ingengo y'imari y'ubukungu ukeneye "gukora muri binini". Kandi umuyobozi wa Fed Jerome Powell yashimangiye ko yiteguye gukomeza "kwihangana gukora ihangane gukora" politiki y'amafaranga.
"Mu gihe kinaka mu mpeshyi, kw'ibiciro uzaba hejuru intego [kurambirwa] na izakomeza kwihutisha, GDP bakura vuba, kandi umubare inyungu izaba yakomeje hafi zero, kandi kurambirwa - gukomeza kwiruka amafaranga, - yahanuye Ganesh. Ati: "Fed itubwira ko ibintu byose bizaba byiza, kandi twibwira ko ibintu byose bizaba byiza ... ariko birashoboka ko bitanga ubwoba runaka."
Gukagira ubwoba, bikaburira golly: "Niba iterambere ry'ibiciro by'abaguzi riba ridacumiwe, abashoramari ku isoko ry'imigabane bazabibona nabi cyane."
Byahinduwe Mikhail LongChenko