Pakufunika kubwereza ziwerengero

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Pakufunika kubwereza ziwerengero 7297_1

Mapeto a 2020 adabweretsa zomwe zidachitika pazachuma padziko lonse lapansi, zomwe zidalembedwa za kulembedwa kwa bajeti komanso ngongole za onse m'maiko ambiri otukuka kwambiri. Ngakhale zotsatira zomaliza sizinafotokozedwe mwachidule, zitha kunenedwa kuti ku Federat Berget Kupitilira (Kupatsidwa Anti-CRISIS PRISHERS FDP, 20.2% ya GDP, UK - 16.6% ya GDP ndi Germany yokha chaka chatha idathamangira pa 4.8% ya GDP. Izi zimakhala zapamwamba kwambiri m'mbiri yonse ya Nkhondo Pambuyo pa Nkhondo Zapamwamba Zomwe Zaka zaposachedwa zidakhazikitsidwa ndi maulamuliro a mayiko (mu Eurozone adayesedwa 3% ya GDP, mu United States ya 2019-2020 yolumikizidwa ndi 4.9% ya GDP, ku Japan, 5.8% ya GDP).

Nthawi yomweyo, palibe chowopsa m'maiko onse omwe atchulidwa. Kuchuluka kumatsalira, ndipo, ngakhale kuwonongeka kwachuma (malinga ndi zomwe zachitika kale, monganso, ku United States - ndi 5.0% ndi United Kingdom - ndi New Kingdom. Chiwerengero cha anthu chinakulirakulira, ndipo nzika zasinthidwa ku "kupulumuka" mliri. Malingaliro akuluakulu a ndalama adayambitsa kugwedeza kwamphamvu kwa chiwongola dzanja, zolimbitsa thupi komanso kumwa kwa katundu wolimba, kugula nyumba ndi magalimoto. Pafupifupi zolosera zonse za 2021 Kuyankhula za kubwezeretsa chuma ndi kuchuluka kwa zaka 2022. Mwanjira ina, monganso, monga momwe akuyembekezera mwachangu, ngakhale kuti zisonyezo za ngongole zonse.

Zochitika za chaka chatha zinali zapadera pazinthu zina. Ngakhale kudera lakutsogolo kwachuma, kudalirika kwachuma ndi vuto la mafakitale ambiri, misika yamasheya yatsekeka mwachidule pakutha kwa chaka cha 2019 ndi 70.5% kuposa kugwa kochepa kwambiri mu Marichi; Dax - ndi 3.7%, motsatana, ndi 62.5% apamwamba, nikkei ndi 15,2% ndi 82.3%. Nthawi yomweyo, zinthu zambiri zimalamulira - kotero, momwe 2020 inali chaka chokhacho, malinga ndi zotsatira za GDP, nyumba yeniyeni inali itagwa m'maiko onse. Ambiri mwa zinthu zina ndi zikuluzikulu sizinawononge mtengo.

Chuma ndi Ngongole

Zotsatira zake zinali zovuta kwambiri za kukula kwa ngongole ya onse komanso chuma. Ngati mungayesere zitsanzo za United States, zimapezeka kuti ngongole za anthu zakwera ndi $ 4.6 chaka chatha, pomwe capitalition yonse ya msika ndi $ 6.55 thililiyoni. Cholinga cha Bokosi Lodziwika Limapereka kukula kwa zovala zolemetsa kwa ngongole ku Middle America - koma malingaliro a ngongole ya nyumba ku GDP kutsika ndi kotala pazaka 12 zapitazi. Ngakhale kuti ngongole zalembedwa pano, gawo la obwereketsa ndi mbiri yabwino kwambiri mu 2020 idakhala m'zaka 20 zapitazi - komanso gawo la ndalama zonyamulira, zomwe zimayamba kulipira ngongole zanyumba kawiri ndipo ndi ili kumayambiriro kwa chiyambi cha 1970., ndipo ngongole pa makhadi a ngongole zidachepa pachaka ndi 14%. Ngati mukuganizirabe kuchepa kwa mtengo wa boma kubwereketsa, zikusonyeza kuti bajeti imawononga ndalama zonse kuti musunge udindo wake, ndipo mu 1999-2000, pomwe boma la US Federal limatsika ndi zochulukirapo, izo anali 11.2-11.0%.

Onse omwe anenedwa kuti akuyika funso loonekeratu: Kodi njira zomwe zidayambiranso zoopsa za kuchepa kwa kuchepa ndi ngongole zitha kuonedwa kuti ndizokwanira masiku ano? Banki iliyonse, ndikupanga lingaliro pacholinga cha ngongole yanyumba mosakayikira imawerengera ndalama (mtundu wa analogue wa GDP, ngati tikuganiziranso za mtengo wamsika wa Chuma Izi zitha kusamutsidwa ku makonzedwe (mwanjira ina yofanana ndi chuma chamdziko). Kodi sikulephera kuyerekezera ngongole ndi kuchepa kwa GDP? Kodi zikuwonetsa kuchuluka kwakukulu kwachuma kapena kutanthauza msonkho kwa kanthawi korona wakuzindikira?

Osati zoyipa kwambiri

Zochitika zaka 10 zapitazi zimakakamizidwa kuti tiganizire zokhudzana ndi tanthauzo la zisonyezo zazachuma zamayiko ena. Chifukwa chake, makamaka, ku GDP, dziko lonse lidakula pazaka 20 zapitazi, zachepetsa kusiyana ndi United States - ngati muwona $ 5.1 Trillion, ndipo ngati Kutengera kuthekera kwa ndalama zogulira, China ngakhale itabwera, kupezeka America kwa $ 3.5 thililiyoni. Koma kusiyana kwa chuma cha dziko (Chuma Chachilengedwe) Ngakhale Grean - $ 42.8 Trillion 2020 Trillion mu 2000. Komanso, kuyambira nthawi zonse, kuyambira nthawi yayitali. United States ndi China pachizindikiro ichi chikukula mwachangu.

Ngati mungabwerere ku mutu wathu wolunjika - makamaka, ku ngongole zaboma, zikupezeka kuti pazaka 10 zapitazi (ndipo kwa zaka zonsezi pali zovuta zambiri zokhudzana ndi vuto la "kuchuluka kwa" kuchuluka kwa "kuchepetsetsa") kwa Kukula kwake mogwirizana ndi chuma cha dziko la United States sikunakulire (25.4% mu 2020 motsutsana ndi 22.7% mu 2010). Zikuoneka kuti nthawi zambiri kumayambiriro kwa izi, koma momveka bwino zinthu zomwe zili m'mandatswiri azachuma, ngakhale osaganizira zachuma, zomwe angaganizire ndalama zofunika kuthana ndi mavutowo. M'zaka zaposachedwa sizabwino kwambiri momwe izi zimawonekera.

Momwe Mungafananizire Tsopano

Chuma cha dziko (ndipo pansi pa icho chimamveka ngati mtengo wonse wa nzika zadziko loyenera kuti achepetse udindo wawo) - chizindikiro cha chitukuko chazachuma chimakhala ndi masiku ano. Cholinga cha Mphamvu, chimawonetsa zochitika zingapo zofunika kwambiri, osaganizira chithunzi cha chuma chadziko lamakono akuwoneka osakwanira.

  • Choyamba, ndipo tinayamba, chisonyezo ichi chimakayikira kuti kuchuluka kwa bajeti ndi mitengo yaboma m'mayiko otukuka kumabweretsa ngozi: amakhala pamlingo wotsika komanso mogwirizana ndi kuchuluka kwa chuma cha dziko lapansi sikuyenera kuchita .
  • Kachiwiri, akuti zambiri za kuchuluka kwa chitukuko: Popeza chaka cha 2000, ndi India (+6), pomwe a Iger "aku South Korea, Taiwan , Singapore - kapena anasunga udindo wawo poyerekeza ndi mayiko ena (ndi Germany, France, ku Italy ndi Spain adasunganso maudindo azaka 20).
  • Chachitatu, Russia ikuyesedwa kuchokera ku lingaliro ili, likhala loipa kwambiri kuposa momwe limakhalira ndi ma pdp okhaokha: imangokhala ndalama zapadziko lonse lapansi motsutsana ndi 3.08% ya GDP yapadziko lonse pa PPP ndi 1.74% yamaphunziro a ndalama zamakono; Komanso, malinga ndi lingaliroli, Russia imagwera gulu la chuma cha ku Italy ndi Japan, yemwe nsonga yake yopindula ndi zaka 2020, ndi (yomwe ikuyembekezeredwa) 2013 , - chimodzimodzi ndi Iye, monga ine ndidaneneratu, tiyenera kuyerekezera zopindulitsa zachuma bolo bolsheviks kuyambira 1913

Mavuto, omwe tsopano akukulirakulira chuma padziko lonse lapansi, ngakhale ali ndi vuto la chipongwe cha WUHAN, nthawi yomweyo amawonetsa zovuta zonsezi osati zochitika zatsopano zonse zomwe zidapangidwa munthawi yonse ya 10 (ndipo makamaka pa 50 - owonjezera 50 - onani munometsev, vladislav. Zachuma popanda chiphunzitso: monga United States yapanga mwatsopano azachuma, kukhulupirika: Kufalitsa nyumba "Alpina", Alpina ", Alpina", Alpina ", 2021). Ndipo tidzachita cholakwa chosakhululukidwa tikamapitilizabe kuvuta kwachuma ndikukwaniritsa zambiri pamaziko a deta ndi kuchuluka kwake, zomwe zimagwiritsidwa ntchito nthawi yayitali pazachuma, ndi njira zawo za Malamulo awo ndi olekanitsa kwathunthu kwapano.

Malingaliro a wolemba sangafanane ndi mawonekedwe a VITI.

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