"Ƙasa zuwa shekaru biyar kawai Minima": Masanin ya bayyana irin hadarin da ke haɗarin

Anonim

Raba masana da bankuna a cikin hasashen 2021 sun nuna 68 rubles kowane dala na Amurka a matsayin matsakaicin hanya na ƙasa. Shin irin wannan ƙarfafa na ruble, abin da za a jira a cikin matsakaici daga tattalin arziƙi gaba ɗaya, a cikin tattaunawa tare da Bankiros.ru ya fadawa Dmitry Babin,

Matsakaicin da aka yi da nauyin da aka yi da yawa na wannan shekara yana da kyakkyawan fata a saman shekara 73 daga farkon shekarar, dole ne ya yi ciniki da ƙarfi fiye da 68. Ko da tare da na yanzu farashin mai mai tsada na yanzu, wannan zai zama mara jin daɗi ta hanyar samun kudin shiga na kasafin kasafin jihar da masu aikawa. Bayan haka, a kan hanyar dala, bari mu ce, a cikin 66 rubles da farashin Brenter da aka sauke daga kasafin kudi na yanzu 4500 zuwa 4,000, wanda ba shi da riba ga mai amfani na kasafin kudin jihar da alamun kudi na kamfanonin da aka fitar.

Bugu da kari, ƙarin matsin lamba akan kudin Rasha yana da mummunan yanayin ƙasa wanda ke barazanar sabuwar takunkumi na Rasha. Koyaya, idan sun kasance, kamar yadda ya faru, zama dabi'a na mutum, ba tare da shafar sassan tattalin arziƙi da kasuwanci ba, wannan abu mai yiwuwa ne, wannan abu zai hana tasiri akan ƙarancin musayar ta Roby. A wannan yanayin, ya sami damar ƙarfafa a cikin watanni 2-3, sakamakon wanda dala zata iya fada cikin ƙaramin yanki na shekara-shekara na 72.6 rubles.

A zahiri, idan takunkumi yana da mahimmanci, barazanar da ke barazanar makabarta gaba ɗaya, dukkan fannonin kasuwanci, zai haifar da kaifi na Rasha shekaru biyar, zai iya kafa kusan a Shekarar da ta gabata a lokacin rushewar kasuwannin duniya da aka haifar ta hanyar Pandemic. Ya ƙare don tsokani irin wannan motsi, farashin mai yana buƙatar faɗuwa da 40-60%, don haka batun geopolital zai taka rawa sosai, aƙalla a sararin samaniya na gajere.

Tare da duk wani ci gaban al'amuran, bai kamata ku manta cewa tsarin kudi da na tattalin arziki na Rasha da na tattalin arziƙi suna da saiti na kayan aikin da ake buƙata ba don hana girman kai game da Sharfi na lalacewa a cikin yanayin kasuwar waje ko tsarin mulkin. A cikin wannan zamu iya tabbatar da cewa a kwanan nan akan misalin rushewar musayar ta bara kuma rikice-rikicen rikice-rikicen da aka samu.

Kara karantawa