A kan buƙatar sake duba ƙididdiga

Kammala 202 da aka kawo sabbin abubuwa da tattalin arzikin duniya, daya daga cikin wanda aka rubuta dabi'un kasawa da nuna alamun kasafin kudi da alamomin bashin jama'a a cikin kasashe masu tasowa. Duk da cewa ba a taƙaita sakamakon ƙarshe ba tukuna, ana iya cewa raunin kasafin kuɗi na Tarayyar Amurka ya cika a watan Disamba, kashi 20.4% na GDP, Burtaniya - 16.6% na GDP da Jamus ne kawai Jamus ta gudanar don kiyaye shi a 4.8% na GDP. Wadannan dabi'u sun zama mafi girma a cikin tarihin yaki kuma ƙima ya wuce iyakokin wadancan alamun ƙasa (a cikin Eurozone akwai kimanta 3% na GDP, a cikin Amurka ta 2019-2020 da aka daidaita ta hanyar kashi 4.9% na GDP, a Japan, 5.8% na GDP).

A lokaci guda, babu wani mummunan bala'i a duk ƙasashen da aka ambata. Farashi ya wanzu a karkashin iko, kuma, duk da koma bayan tattalin arziki, GDP ta ragu da 3.5%, Jamus - 30%, Jamus - Burtaniya - da kashi 5.3%, tarurruka na Yawan jama'a ma ya girma, kuma 'yan ƙasa sun dace da "rayuwa" a cikin pandemic. Babban kuɗi da aka gabatar ya haifar da harba kaifi cikin kudaden riba, yana ƙarfafa duka hannun jari da kuma yawan amfani da kayayyaki, siyan gidaje da motoci masu dorewa. Kusan dukkan tsinkaya na shekaru 2021 game da maido da tattalin arziƙi da wuce gona da iri a cikin 2022. A wasu kalmomin, duk da sannu da sauri, duk da sannu, da sauri zai dawo da mawuyacin hali da bashin jama'a.

Abubuwan da suka faru a bara sun zama na musamman a wani bangare. Duk da gaban tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙin tattalin arziƙi da matsayin masifafan masana'antu, sun buɗe ƙarshen shekarar 2019 da kuma 70.5% sama da mafi ƙasƙanci na faɗuwar rana A watan Maris; Dax - ta 3.7%, bi da bi, da kuma 62.5% mafi girma, Nikkei shine 15.2% da 82.3%. A lokaci guda, dukiyar da yawa suna mulki - don haka, 2020th shine kawai shekara, gwargwadon sakamakon GDP, ainihin ƙasa ya faɗi a cikin kowane ƙasashe masu tasowa. Yawancin dukiyar babban birnin kuma ba su fada cikin farashi ba.

Dukiya da daraja

Sakamakon wani takamaiman yanayi ne na girma na bashin jama'a da dukiyar jama'a. Idan ka kimanta misalin Amurka, ya zama bashin jama'a ya karu da $ 4.,6 tiriliyan $ 6.55 tiriliyan ne ya fi $ 7.8 tiriliyan. Kwarewar Biyayya ta Jiha ta nuna ci gaban kaya na bashi a tsakiyar Amurka - amma halayen bashin 'yan gida zuwa GDP sama da shekara 12 da suka gabata. Kodayake a halin yanzu jinginar gida a yau, rabon masu karbar bashi tare da mafi girman daraja a cikin shekaru 20 - kuma hanyar da za'a iya amfani da shi, ya ragu sau biyu kuma ya ragu sau biyu An samo shi a farkon farkon 1970. г.), da bashi akan katunan bashi ya ragu sama da kashi 14%. Idan har yanzu kuna yin la'akari da faɗuwa a cikin farashin mai bada kuɗi, sai ya juya cewa kasafin kuɗi don kula da wajibai, kuma a cikin 1999000, lokacin da Budetal Budewar arzikin Amurka ya sauko tare da ragi, shi ya kasance 11.2.21.0%.

Duk ya ce da aka ce wajan sanya wata tambaya bayyananne: Nawa ne hanyoyin da suka gabata na kimanta hatsarori na rashin isasshen yau? Duk banki, yana yanke shawara kan batun aro ga mai ba da bashi mai zaman kansa wanda babu makawa a cikin asusun da aka samu na yanzu, amma muna magana ne game da ƙimar kasuwa ana iya canja wurin zuwa tanadin (ta wata hanya kama da arzikin ƙasa). Shin ba wanda aka katarwa ne don kwatanta bashi da rashi tare da GDP? Shin yana da tunani a yau muhimmancin tattalin arziki ko kuma haraji ne ga cringvatism na sanin namu?

Ba dadi sosai

An tilasta wa abubuwan da suka faru na shekaru 10 da suka gabata ana tilasta su da matukar tunani game da mahimmancin alamomin tattalin arziƙin tattalin arzikin mutane. Don haka, alal misali, a cikin GDP, China, duniya mafi ci gaba a duniya, ta rage rata tare da Amurka - sannan daga $ 9.1 tiriliyan zuwa $ 5.9 tiriliyan, kuma idan Dauki cikin asusun ajiya na siyan ikon, Sin ma har ma ta zo gaba, ta mamaye Amurka don $ 3.5 tiriliyan. Amma rata a cikin dukiyar ƙasa (tenery trealway na ƙasa) har ma da tiron $ 42.8 a cikin shekaru 220 a cikin shekaru 220 a cikin shekaru 2000 ", tun shekara ta 2015, rata tsakanin Amurka da Sin a kan wannan mai nuna alama girma da sauri.

Idan ka koma cikin batun kai tsaye - musamman, ga bashin jama'a, sai ya juya cewa sama da shekaru 10 da suka gabata (kuma tsawon shekaru 10 da suka gabata (kuma tsawon shekaru 10 na "Ruwan sama da yawa" da yawa. Girman sa dangane da dukiyar da Amurka ta Amurka ba ta girma (25.4% a cikin 2020 da kashi 20.20 a shekara ta 2010). Wataƙila yana da wuri sosai don ya yanke hukunci mai nisa daga wannan, amma a bayyane yake yana nuna cewa halin da ke cikin ƙasashe, wanda zasu iya yin watsi da kuɗin da suka zama dole su rinjayi rikicin, A cikin 'yan shekarun nan ba mummunar yadda wannan wani lokacin yake ba.

Yadda za a kwatanta yanzu

Waliyar ta ƙasa (kuma a ƙarƙashin an fahimci shi azaman adadin kadarorin da ke cikin 'yan abubuwan da suka dace na mahimmin su a bayyane a yau. Anyi la'akari da ku a cikin tsaurara, yana nuna yawancin abubuwa masu mahimmanci, ba tare da la'akari da yanayin tattalin arziƙin duniya suna kallon ƙalla ba.

• Da farko, kuma mun fara, wannan mai alama yana yin shakku cewa yawan kasawa da kudaden jama'a a cikin ƙananan arzikin ba su da hauhawar ƙasa .
• Abu na biyu, ya ce abu da yawa game da ingancin ci gaban: tun 2000, Changesan majalisa "a cikin ƙimar ƙasa: Taiwan ta Kudu, Hong Kong, Taiwan , Singapore - ko ya riƙe matsayinsu, ko sauko idan aka kwatanta da wasu ƙasashe (Jamus, Faransa, Italiya da Spain sun riƙe matsayinsu akan sakamakon waɗannan shekaru 20).
• Abu na uku, ana tantance Rasha daga wannan ra'ayi, sai ya juya ya zama mafi muni da tsarin aikace-aikacen GDP don kawai 3.08% na duniya kawai 3.08% na GDP na duniya a kan PPP da 1.74% na darussan kudin na yanzu; Haka kuma, bisa ga wannan sharuddan kasashen duniya mai dadewa na nau'in Italiya da Japan, wanda ya fi cin nasara a cikin shari'ar mu) 2013 , - Daidai tare da shi, kamar ni da tsawo annabta, dole ne mu gwada tattalin arzikinmu muddin bolsheviks tun 1913

Rikicin, wanda yanzu ya fusata da tattalin arzikin duniya, kodayake ya tsokane shi nan da kai tsaye, a lokaci guda yana nuna dukkanin matsalolin da ba su da sababbin matsalolin da aka kafa a cikin shekaru 10-15 da suka kafa a cikin shekaru 10-15 na ƙarshe (kuma sun yawaita akan A karshe 50 - More, duba Inomertsev, Vladislav. Tattalin Arewa Ba tare da ayma ba: Kamar yadda Amurka ta kirkiro sabon tsarin tattalin arziki, da Amurka: 2021). Kuma za mu aikata kuskure da ba a gafarta ba idan muka ci gaba cikin sababbin yanayi don kimanta matsalolin tattalin arziki da kuma cimma sakamako a kan data, ta hanyar hadadden su da hanyoyinsu na Dokarsu gaba daya dissimilar zuwa na yanzu.

Ra'ayoyin marubucin ba na iya yin daidai da matsayin fitowar VTIMS.