Any major political events lead to changes in the economy, but so far the protests, detentions and arrest of the oppositionist Alexei Navalny did not have a significant impact, the negative effect for Russians will be delayed, the experts respondents noted by the surveyed Novostroy.ru.
"The main indicator of disadvantaged and tensions in the economy is the incessant outflow of citizens, especially young and educated. They do not see the prospects, they are not going to share the business with "people in the pursuit", they do not like to live under the eternal threat of the period for repost or arrest for entering the street in the "inconvible" place. This is a fundamental problem, it does not solve it with cosmetic measures. Now the real estate market employs multidirectional incentives. On the one hand, I want to invest accumulations (if any) in something reliable. On the other hand, the long-term plans "on arrangement" look funny: they can or select, or demolish, or build a rugged incinerator, "comments Dmitry Sinkin, the NSP chef.
According to the expert, the pressure on the market is determined at the moment not so much by the real need of citizens in housing, as the absence of any other accumulation and investment tools.
"There is no way to attach - so at least in concrete ... (4 million new brokerage bills in the stock market; cryptocurrency, etc. - from the same story). The volume of this excess liquidity is estimated at 3.4 trillion rubles for the next couple of years ... "- the expert notes.
The Nadezhda Kalashnikov, Director of Development of the Company L1, is also adhered to a similar point of view, noting that cash flows of investors who are not confident in the profitability and reliability of other investment instruments rushed into real estate in the current economic conjuncture.
"As well as buyers who hurried to take advantage of preferential mortgage. A slight drop in demand in January is not caused by political events, but is rather seasonal in nature: the first month of the year is traditionally not the most successful in terms of sales. Now larger damage to the welfare of the country and citizens are applied ongoing quarantine measures, reducing the real economy, an increase in unemployment, inflation growth, "the expert summarized.
