Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan after consultation with the leaders of opposition parties "Enlightened Armenia" and "prosperous Armenia" (these are different parties) Edmon Mauganyan and Gagik Troharoyan announced that extraordinary parliamentary elections will be held in the country on June 20. The theme of the election was the main and at the meeting of the premiere with the President of the country by Armen Sargsyan.
If these agreements manage to preserve, then we can assume that the passage has reached a deep political crisis, which has broken down in the country on November 10 last year, the same day after a truce who stopped the 44-day war with Azerbaijan lost by Armenia.
If these agreements succeed in preserved, it will be necessary to recognize that the leader of the peaceful velvet revolution of 2018, which raised the Armenian "Street" against the oligarchic clans, headed by Armenia for the last 20 years, and who managed them then to win, close to win them again. Already in new elections. And with the support of the same "street", even if not so stunning - I mean support - as almost three years ago.
If these agreements succeed, we will find that democratic institutions and procedures, although extremely weak and ineffective (and where in the CIS, these institutions are still realistic, and do not decoratively exist and can be considered effective?), In Armenia continue to act even in There are still uneven martial law.
I resort to these unaccompired rhetorical exercises to partly hide my, an outsider observer, the amazement of how the Nikola Pashinyan manage to turn out of, it would seem that Zugpsvang, in which he himself drove himself, awkward and ill-faced arguing about the effectiveness of Russian "Iskander." The powerful stonepad of the response to the generals, politicians and other media characters, both Armenian and Russian, who have entered behind the beauty and the pride of the Russian military-industrial complex and simply represented the Armenian premiere in criminal incompetence, eventually forced, it would seem veryly tortured by all this Pashinian apologize.
However, only after a telephone conversation with Putin ...
Yes, he did it. But it would seem too late ... After all, almost all Armenian elites, as mentioned above - enlightened and prosperous, - the army, the church, creative and artistic bohemia demanded from Pashinyan to resign immediately and allow opposition to create a transitional government headed by the hero of the past Times, hero of the first Karabakh war of the early 1990s, Ex-Prime Minister and Ex-Minister of Defense 74-year-old Vazgen Manukyan.
Did not come out.
Even after the other day, for the first time in many months, with unexpected expression - with a request to Pashinyan, leave power and at least some time leave the country (!) The first President of Armenia Levon Ter-Petrosyan spoke. His call, the call of an outstanding charismatics, which has long been departed from an active policy, but still revered almost as an icon among the Armenian intelligentsia, could not impress. And dual.
After all, ascertaining Pashinyan at least to leave the country for a while - it means to recognize its influence on compatriots very seriously.
And apparently, so it is. Despite the powerful elite protest, with whom the leader of the velvet revolution was faced, the "deep" Armenian people still remains a very significant base of his support. Anyway, let him not without the subject of the Prime Minister of the administrative resource, Pashinyan managed to demonstrate on Yerevan squares in recent weeks.
Here it is time to remember the raised billboards on all Cuban cities with the slogan of the late Fidel - "the revolution continues!", That I had to see on the island of freedom and after half a century after the fall of the bad dictator Batista.
In a word, correspondents of world media, rushing in Armenia last month, to become a witnesses of counterpersion, it remained only to paint the triumph of another wave of revolutionary populism, which is a real grandmaster of Nikol Pashinyan. A brilliant partner, his wife is here and generally a family.
I should notice that nowhere else in the post-Soviet space - the Baltic countries are not counting, - except in Armenia and Azerbaijan, leaders so confidently do not use family values as a powerful political resource in their claims on the right to be also "fathers of the nation."
People in the Armenian depth truly do not really understand why Pashinian needs to be overthrown. Yes, with him lost the war for Karabakh. Yes, he is definitely responsible for defeat. Tell me, they say, and those who will replace him, those stolen clans, which revolution in 2018 moved away, will make us better? And what, is there any other clans that will save now the country fruitating after defeat?
And the truth is, other Armenians, which will bring all happiness until they were delivered to the country. And somewhere there, in the developed democracy, the leader's loser would accurately relieve immediately retired. Well, then in a developed, Armenia is still undeveloped democracy ...
So Pashinyan waited that his enemy's energy exhaled - "Street" it is not necessary, - and agreed to extraordinary elections. According to the Constitution, they must be appointed no earlier than when Parliament will not twice the resignation of the current government and will not appoint a new one. And the parliament will not accept it, because the party of Pashinian "my step" is an absolute majority in parliament.
Thus, if nothing "on the new" does not happen, Pashinyan will cancel a martial law in which the elections cannot be conducted, but before they are held at the head of the government, providing all the priority of the procedure.
Of course, the crisis will not be overcome this, but its development may (but not necessarily), according to the election, it can take a possible-political nature. The parliamentary system of power will be reconclicated at the time, an attempt to move to a semi-presidential system, annexed earlier, will move for later, and the premiere itself will appear a systemic political opposition. It is possible that the main oppositionist will be the second president of Armenia, re-gaining the popularity of Robert Kocharyan, if he can "rent" any party and enter the parliament on it.
The fact that Kocharyan is a personal friend of Putin may become a bonus to him in elections, and may also harm, Russia and Putin today are not the most popular brands in Armenia.
It is possible that, understanding this kind of toxicity, in Moscow will try to distance themselves from any demonstrations of their sympathies to one or another Armenian policy before the elections.
In any case, Armenia becomes a rare example of the Allied Russia of the state in which even fierce military and political shocks can be overcome by an attempt to honest democratic will.
In our Palesties now it is not fashionable.
The author's opinion may not coincide with the position of the VTIMES edition.