According to TeleTrade's chief, Peter Pushkareva, the worst period for the monetary unit of the Russian Federation will be completed by the autumn of the current year. The specialist also made an assessment of the behavior of the ruble after the festive days.
As noted, the American dollar rate has completed the pre-holiday week at the level of 74 rubles. 78 kopecks, euro - at 90 rubles. 61 kopecks. "A sufficiently powerful wave of weakening the US monetary unit in the world market would be quite closer to the Russian Dollar to the mark at least 72 rubles. 50 kopecks It could happen on 24 or 25 February. Especially on the background of waiting in the near future of the peak values of tax payments for exporters. Such companies may immediately need to be transferred to a certain share of currency profits in rubles. It may also be needed by financial and credit institutions to invest in OFZ as part of the nearest bidding - they are scheduled for the 24th day of the current month, "said Peter Pushkarev in a conversation with journalists of the Russian Newspaper.
The expert continued: in the meter of exporters, various funds and banks in the Russian state for some period, the expectancy position is occupied. They are aware of the fall of the American dollar in the world market, but they preferred not to rush with the mirroring of the Russian trends on the eve of holidays. "Maybe many investors simply want to make sure of Monday and Tuesday, that is, on February 22 and 23, noticeable adjustments on the US monetary unit in the global foreign exchange market will not happen," the interlocutor expressed its position on this issue. Edition.
Will sanctions be sanctions
Does not see Peter Pushkarev and Prerequisites for the introduction of radical sanctions. The specialist does not see the reasons for the concern of the Russian Federation in the economic and financial plan. Any personal restrictions on visas and travel, the ownership of Russians real estate and accounts in European states will not be able to influence the ruble exchange rate. "Unless sectoral sanctions against companies from significant export sectors of the domestic economy," the expert reservation did, still adding: such measures are not taken by most European national politicians, including the Angel Merkel, because it is clear to everyone that any strong limit Immediately will become mutual, negatively displayed on mutual trade, and consequently, in workplaces and income in the same European Union, and without that very victim because of the Cake Pandemic.What to expect from the ruble after the holiday
During this period, Peter Pushkarev sees the renewal of trading after the weekend from cautious attempts to strengthen the Russian National Nationalities - if any unexpected situations arise.
Live to autumn
Representatives of the US Regulator the other day was confirmed by the long-term commitment to the so-called stimulating policy. Connected sentiment in the international foreign exchange market and will be at the end of the current month defining for the ruble. And by the autumn, there will be only a dollar market rate to the basket from the euro, yuan and other reserve currencies, however, against the background of the likely surplus of the export income of the Russian Federation and the growing level of trade turnover with foreign affairs companies, the interlocutor of the publication was predicted.
After the end of the coronavirus pandemic becomes becomes the impulse will receive a new procurement acceleration, even greater activation of business cycles on various continents. In these conditions, part of financial flows, as a rule, looks at the developing BRICS economies, including the activation of investments in the OFZ and in the shares of blue chips of Russia.
"Thus, it is likely that the worst time for the Russian national currency will be left behind by the fall of this year," the TeleTrade chef summarized.