Kungenzeka yini ukwenza imali kwi-WSB Pampa ngeReddit?

I-Passion mayelana nokusuka kwesikhala kwamasheya we-GME kanye ne-degure ye-Hedge Funds. Ake sithole ngemininingwane eminingi ebesebenza kulo, futhi kungani ukubamba iqhaza ezintweni ezinjengalezi akusizi ngalutho.

I-Wall Street Bets Group yadalwa eReddit, eyayiholwa ngumsebenzisi nge-Nitty's NickName kaKitty - omeluleki wezimali oneminyaka engama-34. Wayengumxhumanisi wazo zonke izenzo. Umqondo bekuwukujezisa imali yethanga, ephakamisa amasheya (Thola amasheya ngesabelo esikhulu sezikhindiwe kulo (inzalo emfushane)).

Lapho esethole intshisekelo enkulu (134%) eGamestop (NYSE: GME), i-kitty ebhongayo yaqala ukuthenga le mpahla. Abatshalizimali abathengisi abalula "benkampani" baqala ukuthenga, ngaphandle kokubheka ukuhlaziywa kwempahla.

Kwasizwa amasheya ukukhula ngenyanga izikhathi eziyi-16 ngaphandle kwanoma yikuphi okuyisisekelo, ngenxa yenani elikhulu lokuthenga kunoma yiziphi izintengo kanye nokuvalwa okuphoqelelwe kwezimali zethango. Njengoba ukukhula kwesitoko kulahlekelwe ukulahleka kwezimali, futhi ngezikhathi zokudlula kwamapharamitha engozi avumelekile ezimali aphoqelelwa ukuba avale nganoma iyiphi intengo. Futhi ukuvalwa kwama-shorts kuwukuthenga, okungukuthi, ukuvalwa kwezimo eziphuthumayo kwezifushane ngisho nezingcaphuno ezisheshisiwe.

Fig. okukodwa

I-Pump ne-Dump inika ukuzuza umhleli wePampa

I-Pump & Dump iyicebo elidume kakhulu kuma-2000s emakethe yaseMelika, ngokususelwa ekukhuphukeni okukhohlisayo ngentengo yezimpahla ngokuwohloka okulandelayo. Ngokuncono, uhlelo lusebenza ezinkampanini ezine-capitalization ephansi, ngoba azidingi imali eningi ukuze zihambisane kakhulu nentengo. Lolu hlelo lwalugcwele emakethe ye-cryptocurrency ngenxa yokuntuleka komthethonqubo kulo. Sizoqonda kabanzi ngokuthi i-Pump & Dump isebenza kanjani.

Scheme in Action:

1. Umhleli uthenga kusengaphambili impahla ezohlakazeka.
2. Izincomo ezingamanga ziyavela nezindaba zokuthenga le mpahla (esibonelweni sethu, lezi yizingcingo ezisebenzayo zeRedDIT zonakalisa imali yothango ngokuphuma kwalokhu kuphakama).
3. Isixuku siqala ukuthenga futhi ngaleyo ndlela siphoqelela intengo yonke ephezulu nangaphezulu.
4. Lapho intengo ikhula kakhulu, umgqugquzeli uqala ukuhlanganisa isikhundla sakhe esixukwini (asisoze sazi, yiba yintengo ebhekene nalena ebeka inani le-haip, kodwa thina saba nesiki sokuphakamisa ukuthi bavale izikhundla zabo ku-plus).
5. Lapho uphethiloli wokukhula usuphelile (noma ngubani owayefuna futhi angathenga futhi, kukhona ukuthengiswa okukhulu), kukhona ukuthengiswa okukhulu kwezikhundla (okokuqala balungisa inzuzo yalabo abathengile phansi, bese iqala ukunciphisa ukulahleka phezulu), okuyinto kubangela umphumela ophambene futhi kuholele ekwehlisweni okubukhali.

Labo ababambe iqhaza ePampa, okungukuthi, isebenza njengophethiloli ukuze bakhule, abatholi inzuzo eqinisekisiwe. Ngoba iningi labatshalizimali bathenga isabelo esingelonele, kepha ngentengo esevele esheshayo. Ngasikhathi sinye, isikhathi lapho ukukhula kuzophela futhi ukuwa kuzoqala, akunakwenzeka ukubikezela. Njengomthetho, ukuwa kuqala ngemuva kokuthengwa okukhulu okuvela esixukwini phezulu kakhulu kwenhlangano, ngoba yile miqulu eqala ukwethuka nokukhipha isitoko kunoma iyiphi imali ukuze ingatholi isikhathi eside.

Kumafilimu "boiler" kanye ne- "Wolf enoWall Street" avele akhombisa uhlelo lwePump ne-Dump esebenzayo. Muva nje, iNetflix (NASDAQ: Nflx) kugagasi le-hype asuswe la mafilimu avela esisekelweni sawo.

Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuthi i-robingudovtspy ikhethe izinkampani ezibuthakathaka kakhulu ngentshiseko enkulu futhi azange zamukelwe ngokumelene nomunye, kepha ziphikiswa imali yethanga. Ngaphansi kokuholwa ngumholi wabo, baqala ukuthenga amasheya we-gamestop futhi bahlela ukuvala lapho imali yethango iqala ukuvala izikhindi zayo. Enye yayo iphumelele, kepha ama-praquators amaningi aqhamuka phezulu alahlekelwe kuze kube ngu-75%. Futhi, i-Hedge Foundation (Melvin Capital), eyayihlala amavolumu amakhulu ezikhiphi ze-GME ngoJanuwari, elahlekelwe kuze kube yi-53% yokutshalwa kwemali kwawo.

Cabanga ngamacala wakamuva okulahla futhi alinganise inzuzo nokulahleka okungaba khona

Sizokwahlulela lapho iningi lafika khona esiqongweni sokuthandwa kwezicelo ku-Google Trends.

GME.

Inani eliphakeme lokudumisa lawa ngoJanuwari 24-30:

Fig. 2.

Ngokwentengo yamanani ashukumisayo kulezi zinsuku umkhankaso waqhamuka kusuka ku- $ 77 kuya ku- $ 325.

Abahleli ku-plus. Siphawula ukuthi ngaphambi kokuba iPampasi ibiza ama- $ 20 - okungukuthi, sekuvele kukhule kufinyelela inani eliphakeme lokuthandwa amahlandla amane, futhi zonke lezi zinsuku abagqugquzeli bePampa babenengqondo ukuqopha inzuzo eziningi, ukuvala isixuku esithengayo (kanye nasezimalini ukumboza izikhindi zazo).

Abathengisi abalula ku-minus. Uma sithatha inani elijwayelekile lesikhathi sokuthandwa okuphezulu phakathi kwesixuku, sizothola cishe ama- $ 200. Kuyavela, sekuvele ngesonto ngemuva kokuthenga, balahlekelwa ngaphezu kwama-50%.

Fig. 3.

Kubalulekile ukusho - hhayi yonke into futhi wonke umthengisi-novice elahlekile ePampa, izinkulungwane zabantu ngayo, eyayinenhlanhla ngesikhathi yeyakhe. Kepha iningi labantu liku-minus (uma imfuneko yethu ekulinganiselweni kwe-Google Trends emsebenzini wokuthenga isebenza). Lokhu kuphakamisa ukuthi ukubamba iqhaza kulolo verclocking ngumdlalo onobuhlakani bemidlalo engemihle, uma ungeyena ongumhumushi ochwepheshe.

Fig. okune

Intengo ngaphambi kokuqala kokuqalwa ngokweqile ibingu- $ 2.3, futhi ngesikhathi senjabulo ngokwayo yavuka cishe izikhathi eziyi-9 ($ 20.35). Ukuphromotha sekuvele kwandise izikhathi eziyi-1,75 kuye inani eliphakeme lokuthandwa. Intengo ephakathi yesikhathi esiphakeme yayicishe ibe ngama- $ 11,5. Intengo yokuphela kwenani eliphakeme lokuthandwa kwakungu- $ 13.3. Ngakho-ke, abagqugquzeli bangathola cishe ama-473%, futhi isixuku isilinganiso esingu-14%. Kodwa-ke, intengo njengamanje ilungiswa ku- $ 8,9, okuzoholela ekulahlekelweni ku--24% yentengo yemali engenayo yesixuku.

Fig. isihlanu

NOkia.

Fig. 6.

Kuze kube yi-Nokia Pampa (Nyse: Nok) kuthengiswe endaweni engama- $ 4. I-papd yokuqala yaphakamisa intengo eya ku- $ 4,5, nasendaweni ephakeme intengo yayisendaweni ye- $ 8.8 ngesabelo ngasinye. Ngakho-ke, intengo ephakathi yesixuku ifaka cishe u- $ 6. Ukuvalwa ngoJanuwari 29, abahleli bangathola cishe ngo-15%, kanti isixuku esikhulu sizolahlekelwa yisithathu kuya kwengxenye yokuqagela kwabo.

Fig. 7.

I-Blackberry.

Fig. isishiyagalombili

Intengo yamasheya iBlackBerry (NYSE: BB) kwiPampa cishe ngo- $ 7.4. Ukuqhuma kokuqala kwaphakamisa intengo ku- $ 19.5, futhi esilinganisweni senani lesinyathelo esikhule saya ku- $ 28.7. Inani lesixuku esilinganiselwe esilinganiselwe lalingama- $ 24. Ukuvala ngoJanuwari 29 (usuku lokugcina oluphezulu), ngokwesilinganiso, isixuku sizolahlekelwa cishe ngo-40%, futhi abahleli bebezokwazi ukuthola ama-90%. Isonto elizayo, amasheya aqhubeka nokuvumelanisa aze avumelanise no- $ 12.

Fig. isishiyagalolunye

Bamba iqhaza ePampakhh kusho ukukhokha inzuzo yabahleli babo ngenxa yengozi yabo

Kungenzeka ukuthi uzuze lapho ugxumela edwaleni ekuqaleni. Kodwa-ke, ngokunokwenzeka okukhulu, ungathenga amasheya ezinkampani ezichazwe ngenhla kuHaya (emcabangweni othandwa kakhulu wokusheshiswa kwezingcaphuno), lapho uphethiloli uphela, futhi uzolahlekelwa ku-60-80% kokutshalwa kwezimali kwabo.

Amagrafu akhombisa ukuthi iNokia neBlackberry icishe yawa emaphethelweni abo wangaphambilini, maduze nje izodonswa futhi i-GME nge-AMC, okungukuthi, kunomphumela ophendukayo owenziwayo (ukulahla). Ngakho-ke, asincomi ukubamba iqhaza ezindabeni ezifanayo ngenxa yengozi yokulahleka okukhulu.

I-Survide Pampus iyingozi, kepha nokho inzuzo uma ibalulekile, ngoba Intengo ayinakuphonswa unomphela, yize ukudonswa kwe-Drawdown kungafinyelela kumakhulu wokubheja.

Ngalesi sizathu, abatshalizimali badlula wonke amacala anjalo, kanye nama-shorts noma isikhathi eside kubo - njengokugembula. Ungaphinde ucindezele i-ego yakho, uma kuhlosiwe, kepha kungcono ukungazibeki imali enkulu.

Ukuthola inzuzo eminingi esitokisini, udinga ukuthembela okubaluleke kakhulu ngendlela yokukhula okusheshayo kwemakethe, esebenzisa inkampani kanye nokukhula kwenkampani emakethe yenkampani ngenxa yezindlela ezithile zokuncintisana. Ukuthola izindaba ezinjalo, umsebenzi wokuhlaziya uyadingeka - futhi uvuzwa ngesivuno esikhulu sesikhathi eside.

Le ndatshana ibhalwe ngokubambisana ne-Analyst Alexander Saiganov

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