I-Dollar njengomshuwalense ngoMashi: Kungani amaRussia ahlela kabusha imali yemali?

Anonim
I-Dollar njengomshuwalense ngoMashi: Kungani amaRussia ahlela kabusha imali yemali? 6540_1

I-Central Bank yamemezela imininingwane ngokusho kwayo izakhamizi zeRussia Federation ilethe ngaphezulu kwama- $ 28 billion kusuka kuma-akhawunti wemali ngonyaka owedlule. Inhloko yoMnyango Wezokuhlaziya "Isikole esiphakeme sokuphathwa kwezimali" UMikhail Kogan wachaza ukuthi kusho ukuthini, nokuthi kufanelekile yini ukonga ukunqwabelana kwawo.

Kungani abantu bethatha imali eminikelweni?

Isazi sachaza ukuthi izibalo zeBhange laseRussia ekuhoxisweni ngabantu abanama-akhawunti asemabhange ama-ruble angama-845 - into ejwayelekile yenyanga yokuqala yonyaka. Lokhu kwandulelwa ukwanda okuphawuleka ngokwengeziwe kwezimali nge-1,3 trillion ngoDisemba - Ukugcwala kwamaphrimiyamu atholwe yizakhamizi.

Ngasikhathi sinye, i-kogan yacacisa ukuthi ukwehla kukaJanuwari kuthinte amadiphozithi wemali - ngama- $ 0,5 billion ngemuva kokugcwaliswa kwawo kwaqashelwa ngoNovemba nangoDisemba, ngokulandelana.

"Ngokuvamile, inani labantu alihluleki ukunqotshwa okulindelwe kokuncipha kwemali kazwelonke. Ukwakheka kwemali kwama-depits asebhange akukashintshi: ngokwesilinganiso ngo-2020, ingxenye yemali ye-ruble yayicishe ibe ngu-79%, "kuchazwa uchwepheshe.

Ubuye wakuphawula lokho ngamagama aphelele, umthamo wemali emalini yakwamanye amazwe ngoJanuwari ngamagama wonyaka wehle ngo-4.7%, kufaka phakathi ama-akhawunti angu-17,5% (kuma-akhawunti wamanje ivolumu yezimali ekhuphuke ngo-37.3%).

Akukho okubonakalayo, ngokusho kwe-kogan, ukuphambuka kanye nezibalo zokuthengwa kwemali yakwamanye amazwe: I-trajectory ayihlukile eminyakeni emibili edlule.

"Lokhu yize iqiniso lokuthi i-ruble ehlangabezana nobuthakathaka obukhulu bezimali zakwamanye amazwe ngoFebhuwari-Mashi futhi kamuva yazizwa ingcindezi yengozi yesenzo. Kungakhuluma ngokuzethemba kwabantu kwimali kazwelonke, "kusho umhlaziyi. Kuzokwenzekani ngezinga lemali?

Ngokusho kukaKogan, isimo samanje ngokuya ngokuhlaziywa okuyisisekelo akuvezi ukuba khona kwezidingo ezingenakuphikiswa zokwehlisa isilinganiso sokushintshana kwe-ruble. Iqiniso ngukuthi isinqumo se-OPEC + okungewona impilo yokukhiqizwa kwamafutha kusuka ngo-Ephreli (okuhlukile kwenziwa ngeKazakhstan naseRussia) kanye nokunwetshwa kwe-Saudi Arabia imikhawulo ngokuqhubeka kokukhula kwezingcaphuno emakethe yamandla.

Isazi sachaza ukuthi okwamanje umgqomo wamafutha ulinganiselwa kuma-ruble angama-5080, okuphezulu kwisabelomali sama-ruble angama-3280.

"Lokhu kwakha isiphazamisi esibalulekile sokwandiswa okungaba khona kwamasenjethi esifundazweni saseRussia (imininingwane mayelana nalokhu kwavela ngoLwesine), kanye nalokho okungenzeka kwandise isimo e-Ukraine," kusho uMthombo I-BANSIROS.RU.

Ngokusho kwe-kogan, izinga ledola ezinyangeni ezizayo lingahlala ephaseji lama-ruble angama-72.5-76.5, izinga le-euro lingase lingabuyi ngaphezulu kwama-ruble angama-90 ngenxa yomkhuba ongemuhle.

"Kucatshangelwa amanani angaphelele ezimalini zemali yakwamanye amazwe, nezinye izinto ezilingana, kungenzeka ukuthi akwazi ukubona ukuthengwa kwemali njengohlobo oluthile lomshuwalense ukulwa nenzuzo ebalulekile yokucabanga, "UCogan waphetha.

Funda kabanzi