Ukubuka konke kwemakethe ye-FX kaFebhuwari 22, 2021
Inkulumo yonyaka kaSihlalo we-Federal Reserve System kaJerome Powell maqondana nesimo somnotho nenqubomgomo yezimali kuzoba ngenye yemicimbi esemqoka yaleli sonto. Ukwehla okugcwele kwedola kuwuphawu lokuthi abatshalizimali balindele ukuphawula okuqaphile. I-United States ithuthukile ekugomeni inani labantu: Ukugonywa okubalelwa ezigidini eziyi-1,7 ukusuka eCoronavirus kwenziwa nsuku zonke, futhi ama-13% wabantu asevele etholile umthamo wokuqala. Kwakungekhona ngaphandle kokwehluleka: izifundazwe eziningi (kufaka phakathi iNew York) zazibhekene nezinkinga zokuhlinzekwa, kepha ngezindlela eziningi zazihlotshaniswa nezimo zezulu ezimbi, ezavinjelwe imithamo eyizigidi eziyi-6 ngesonto eledlule. Emavikini azayo, udaba lokuhlinzekwa ngeke lubukhali, ngoba izinga lokukhiqizwa liyakhula, futhi ukuqondiswa kokuqukethwe kwekhwalithi yokudla nemithi kuzocubungula amathuba okusebenzisa uJohnson noJohnson umuthi wokugoma (okubandakanya kuphela ukugoma okukodwa) .
Lezi zikhathi zibalulekile ngoba ziqinisa amathuba okubuyiselwa okusheshayo komnotho wase-US. Kodwa-ke, ngisho nalesi sizinda, ibhange eliphakathi nendawo alinasizathu sokushintsha inqubomgomo, ikakhulukazi engokwesimo senzuzo ekhulayo yokuHulumeni. Ukukhula kwesivuno nokwanda kwe-angle yokuthambekela kwejika - izehlakalo ezimbili eziphambili ezenzeka ezimakethe zezimali kulo nyaka. Kusukela ngoJanuwari 1, inani lamaphepha weminyaka eyishumi lenyuke lisuka ku-0.91% libe ngu-1.39%. Le Dynamics ibangelwa ukukhula kokulindelwa kwamandla emali nokukhathazeka ngezenzo zebhange eliphakathi.
Ngakho-ke, manje umbuzo ukuthi lokhu kuzosithinta kanjani isitatimende sePowell. Esimweni esikhona njengamanje, inhloko yebhange eliphakathi nendawo inazo zonke izizathu zokuqhubeka nokulandela inqubomgomo yezimali evuselelayo, ngoba ukukhula kwemali yesikweletu somphakathi kuqinisa izimo zezezimali kanye nokubolekwa kwemali yabathengi. Njengengxenye yenkulumo yakhe ekilabhini yezomnotho yaseNew York, ebanjwe ngokusobala emasontweni amabili edlule, uPowell wakwenza kwacaca ukuthi ukuqhuma kwamanani kungokwesikhashana, futhi noma amanani akhula ezinyangeni ezizayo, "ngeke abe nokuningi." Wenze namazinga okusindisa okusindisa emazingeni aseduze aze afinyelele esimweni sokuqashwa ngokuphelele, futhi ukwehla kwamandla emali ngeke afinyelele ku-2% (okuqinisekisa ukuqina kokululama komnotho). Kusukela lapho, iMacrohotism ibilokhu igqamile kusukela ngaleso sikhathi: Ukuthengiswa kwezitolo kuyabuyiselwa, kepha amanani okukhula komsebenzi awazange ahlangabezane nokulindelwe, futhi inani lezicelo zezicelo zezinzuzo zokuntuleka zibuyiselwe kuMaxima wanyanga zonke.
Ngokumelene nalesi sizinda, silindele ukuthi i-Powell iqonde ukubaluleka kwamanani akhulayo futhi iqinisekisa ukuzibophezela kwenqubomgomo ye-Central Bank Ifuteve Cell. Kusobala ukuthi ngaphambi kokuxoxa ngokusongwa kokuhlenga kabusha kwezimpahla. I- "Pigeon" Amazwana kufanele akhuphule ingcindezi edola, ngenxa yokuthi i-USD / jpy pair ingaya ku-104.50, kanye ne-AUD / USD kuya ku-0.80.
Inkomba eqinile yokuzethemba kwemibuthano yebhizinisi laseJalimane ivumela imali eyodwa ukuze iqhubeke nokuqinisa maqondana neDollar yaseMelika ngosuku lwesithathu lilandelana. Kodwa-ke, uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye zezimali, ukukhula kwe-Euro kwakunesizotha, ngoba abatshalizimali bakhathazekile ngokuzwela kwe-ECB kuya kwemali eqinile. NgoMsombuluko, uMlawuli akazange asho lutho ngokuqondene nezimali, kodwa washo ukuthi ubheka ngokucophelela ukukhula kwenzuzo. Izinga lokugoma e-Eurozone ngokusobala alifinyeleli e-United States nase-UK. IGermany (umnotho omkhulu weSifunda) agonywe ama-4% kuphela awo, nezibalo zeFrance, iSpain ne-Italy ziphansi. Phambilini, siphakamise ukuthi lokhu kuhluleka kuzoholela ekubuyiseleni emuva kwe-euro kwezinye zezimali, esizibonile ngoMsombuluko.
I-Pound ivuselelwe iminyaka eminingi yokuphakama maqondana nedola laseMelika futhi ivaliwe ephakeme ngonyaka nge-euro. Abatshalizimali ngentshiseko basabela ohlelweni lukaNdunankulu uBoris Johnson ukuze anciphise ukuhlala ndawonye eNgilandi. Uma kucatshangelwa ukuthi ikota yabantu bezwe elingaphezu kwengxenye yezwe ithole okungenani umthamo owodwa we-coronavirus umuthi wokugoma, inani lamacala amasha okutheleleka ancishiswe kusukela ngoJanuwari 68 izinkulungwane ezingama-9,8. Izikole zizovulwa ngoMashi 8, kwathi ngoMashi 29, imicimbi yomoya evulekile izovunyelwa. Uhlelo lolu luthatha amahlathi amasonto amahlanu phakathi kwezigaba, ngakho-ke izindawo zokudlela, izitolo kanye nama-pubs kungenzeka zingavuli kuze kube sentwasahlobo. NgoLwesibili, idatha emakethe yezabasebenzi yeGreat Britain izophuma, futhi uma ukukhula kwemisebenzi kusheshise (njengoba izakhi zemisebenzi yemisebenzi yebhizinisi isho), ekugcineni sizobona ukubuya kwephawundi.
Amadola ase-Australia neNew Zealand ayaqhubeka nokuhola imakethe yemali. Isikhungo sokulinganisa i-S & P siphakamise isilinganiso sesikweletu seNew Zealand ne-AA +, sibonga lapho isilinganiso semali sikazwelonke sifinyelele esilinganisweni sezinyanga ezingama-34 maqondana nedola laseMelika. Amanothi we-S & P:
"INew Zealand ibuyiselwa ngokushesha kunamazwe amaningi anomnotho othuthukile, ngoba ibhekane ne-covid-19 engcono kunabanye amandla."
I-Australia Dollar iqinisile ngokumelene nalesi sizinda, ngoba izwe linamathemba athembisayo njengeNew Zealand. Kuleli sonto umhlangano we-Reserve Bank of New Zealand uzobanjelwa, futhi kunesizathu sonke sokulindela kuye "hawk" ngokwengeziwe.
I-USD / CAD pair ibuyekeze ubuncane beminyaka emithathu, kepha iphesenti lokukhuphuka kwemali yaseCanada kwakuyisizotha; I-macroction ebuthakathaka inxephezelwa ngamanani aphezulu kawoyela. ICanada ibuye yahlasela ngemuva kokugoma: Ama-3.8% kuphela athola inani labantu abathola umthamo wokuqala. Izinto ezitholakalayo zihlala ziyinkinga enkulu. Kungakho izwe litshalile imali emafektri aseYurophu, ngesaba ukuvinjelwa kwaseMelika okuthunyelwe ngaphandle. Kodwa-ke, amafektri awahambisani nesidingo, futhi i-EU isanda kumemezela ukulawulwa kokulungiselela ukuthekelisa, okungavimba ngokwengeziwe ukulethwa kwesidakamizwa.
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