"Into esemqoka akuyona ukweqa ngokweqile": Ngabe izinqumo zikaCharlie Mangagai zinjani

Amamodeli engqondo womtshalizimali odumile kanye nomngane omuhle kakhulu uWarren Buffett ezintweni ezibonakalayo zohlobo lwesikhumbuzi.

Eminyakeni yayo engama-97, umtshalizimali odumile waseMelika uCharlie Manbon ubanjelwe yiPhini likaSihlalo weBhodi Yabaqondisi beWarren Buffetta Berkshire Daily Hatawaway, ungena eBhodi yabaqondisi benethiwekhi enkulu ye-Costco izitolo ezithengiswayo. Kanye nesimo somuntu siqu se-manga, ngokuya nge-Forbes, kudlula ama- $ 2 billion.

Wakwazi kanjani ukufeza impumelelo enjalo? Unendlela yakhe: UManbon wenza iziphetho futhi wenza izinqumo ngokusekelwe kuhlobo lwamamodeli engqondo ahlukahlukene, noma "imibono emikhulu" ethathwe ezinhlamfeni ezahlukahlukene: I-Physics, i-Biology, amalungelo we-Psychology, ezomnotho, amalungelo, amafilosofi nabanye.

"Kubukeka kimi isitatimende esingenakuphikwa esisebenza ngobuchopho ngosizo lwamamodeli - kuchaza umkhombe. "Ngakho-ke, uma ufuna ubuchopho bakho busebenze kangcono kunabanye, udinga ukufunda amamodeli engqondo ayisisekelo - uzokwenza umsebenzi oyinhloko."

Ukuze usebenzise "imibono emikhulu" ngempumelelo, udinga ukwakha kubo, ku-terminology kaManga, "i-Menantal Model Network". Uthi: "Ngosizo lwalesi simiso, umhlaba uzosebenza kancane kancane esithombeni esifanele.

Futhi ngenxa yalokho, uzothola ama-Superpower - uzoqala ukucabanga ngokushesha nangokunemba. Okungenani, iWarren Buffet iqinisekisa ukuthi i-manbon kungenzeka: "UCharlie wanele imizuzwana engama-30 ukudlula indlela ukusuka ku-I kimi [kusuka ngemuva ngaphambi kokuphuma]. Uyakuqonda ukuthi ukhuluma naye, ngisho nangaphambi kokuba uqede ibinzana. "

Amamodeli amathathu engqondo uCharlie Manbon

I-Manger ayikaze ihole uhlu oluphelele lwamamodeli wezengqondo akha inethiwekhi yakhe. Kepha kuvame ukujezisa abanye babo.I-Occumis's Razor

Lesi yisimiso esibizwa ngokuthi ukuhlonipha isazi sefilosofi saseJalimane saseJalimane uWilliam Okkam, owabhala kwenye yemisebenzi yakhe: "Yini engenziwa ngesisekelo senani elincane le [ukucatshangelwa], akufanele kwenziwe ngokusekelwe kokuningi."

Kwenziwe lula thesis kuhunyushwa njengokulandelayo: "Uma kunezindlela eziningi eziningana eziguqukayo nangokulinganayo kwanoma isiphi isimo, kufanele ukhethe okulula kwazo." Umkhondo ubheka kubona isibonelo esihle kakhulu semodeli ebalulekile yengqondo.

"[Sebenzisa i-Okkam Razor] Kufana nokunikela ngokudoba kwabadobi lapho izinhlanzi zitholakala khona," kusho yena. Ukuthatha indawo nanoma yimuphi umsebenzi, noma iyiphi inkinga, udinga ukubheka impendulo elula - lokhu kuzogwema amaphutha angenasidingo bese ugcine amabutho. "Silwela ukwenza lula. Uma okuthile kuyinkimbinkimbi kakhulu, siya kokunye okuthile. Yini engaba lula? " - Kusho umhlangano.

Ukujikiswa

Manang - Fan of Mathematics. Waze wamfunda ngisho naseyunivesithi. Akumangazi ukuthi elinye lamamodeli akhe ayizintandokazi zengqondo indlela yezibalo yokungenisa.

Esikhathini esijwayelekile - hhayi i-mathematical - impilo kaManther inikela ukuyisebenzisa kanjena: Ukubhekana nomsebenzi othile, zama ukuyisebenzisa, uyibheke kusukela ekugcineni. Ake sithi uma ufuna ukufeza okuthile, funa akuyona indlela enobuntu yokwenza lokhu, kepha yini engakuvimbela wena futhi wenze umzamo omkhulu wokukugwema.

"Ngesikhathi seMpi Yezwe II, ngangisebenza njengodokotela wezulu, ngenza amamephu we-synompic ukubikezela izinguquko zawo, isibonelo sesandla sawo. - Lawa makhadi adingekayo ukuqonda: Kungenzeka yini ukuthi unikeze imvume yokushayela umshayeli ukuze uthathe [noma ngenxa yesimo sezulu kuyingozi kakhulu].

Kepha ngaphenduka umsebenzi njengembongolo kusengaphambili. Ngazibuza umbuzo: "Futhi ngingaliphatha kanjani ukuthi ngingabaphatha kanjani abashayeli bezindiza abaningi ngangokunokwenzeka?" Futhi inqunywe ngokushesha: indlela engcono kakhulu ukwenza indiza ishaye imibandela lapho i-icing futhi ingatholakali. Enye indlela ukuthumela indiza endaweni enjalo lapho engeke akwazi ukwenza ukuphepha okuphephile lapho ezophela uphethiloli.

Ngakho-ke ngangiqonda: Uma ngifuna ukugcina abashayeli bezindiza bempilo [ okungukuthi, amamephu wesinakazi ekugcineni adingeka ukudingeka, umuntu akufanele avumele owokuqala noma wesibili. Ngicabanga, ngenxa yalokhu, ngaqala ukubhekana nemisebenzi ye-meteorologist ibe ngcono kakhulu. Ngendlela efanayo, uma othile angishayele ukuxazulula izinkinga zeNdiya, ngizoqala ngicabanga ngakho, nokuthi yini engifanele ngiyenze ukwenza okuningi ngangokunokwenzeka - futhi ngisheshe ngilimaze leli lizwe - futhi ngizozama ukuvimba leli lizwe lezi zingozi. "

Kokelezela ikhono

Ngokokuqala ngqa, le modeli yengqondo yakhiwa nguWarren Buffett, ekhuluma nabatshalizimali ngo-1996. Uthe ngalesosikhathi: "[Ukuze ube ngumtshalizimali omuhle], akudingekile ukuba ube uchwepheshe kulokho izinkampani ezihlanganyela emhlabeni wonke. Into esemqoka ukukwazi ukuhlola lezo zinkampani ezifaka imigomo yakho yamakhono. Ubanzi kangakanani lo mbuthano, akunandaba. Kepha kubalulekile ukwazi ukuthi kudlula kuphi imingcele yakhe. "

Umkhombe kanye nomlingani ovumelana nalokhu: Enye yezinto eziphambili zempumelelo yazo iyindlela ecacile yokuqonda okucacile kwalokho abakuqonda ngempela abakwaziyo nalokho abakuhle kakhulu. Esebenza embuthanweni wamakhono abo, ufufuna imiphumela emihle futhi wenze amaphutha amancane.

Yazi imingcele yamathuba ethu - umsebenzi akulula: abantu bathambekele ekuzileni ngokweqile. Kepha umdonnom weluleka ngokuqinile ukukwenza. "Uzonikelwa kulabo abaseduze kwenkinga enkulu kuze kube yilapho uthola ukuthi amandla akho aphela kuphi. Futhi ungayemukeli, "kusho yena. Kepha sesiphothulile, uzokwandisa kakhulu amathuba akho empumelelo.

Ungayakha kanjani inethiwekhi yamamodeli engqondo?

Bazibandakanye ekuzifundisweni

Ayikho i-University emhlabeni ezokunikeza isethi egcwele enamamodeli engqondo adingekayo. Uzobe ukhawulelwe ohlakeni lwesiyalo esisodwa, futhi lokhu kudambisa umbono wethu wezinkinga.

"Iningi labantu liqeqeshwa kwimodeli eyodwa - ngokwesibonelo, umnotho - bese uzama ukuxazulula zonke izinkinga ngandlela thile. Uyasazi isisho sakudala: Indoda enesando ibona isikhonkwane kukho konke. Le yindlela engalungile yokucabanga nendlela engalungile yokuthatha isinyathelo, "kusho umlingiswa.

Okukhiphayo: Udinga ukuqoqa isethi yakho yezindlela zengqondo ngokwakho - kusuka emibonweni eyisisekelo, imithetho kanye nezimiso ezihlelwe ezindaweni eziphambili zolwazi oluphambili (uCharlie ubiza ngokuthi "izigwebo ezinkulu"). Ngakho-ke umbono wakho wanoma iyiphi inkinga uzoba yi-volumetric, futhi uzokwandisa kakhulu uhla lwezindlela ezitholakalayo zokuyixazulula.

Ngokuthuthukisa ukungaphumeleli kukaManbon, kungashiwo ukuthi ngaphezu kwesando, uzoba nezinsimbi ezahlukahlukene, ama-pliers, ama-chisels, upelepele, futhi, mhlawumbe, mhlawumbe ne-perforator ephakeme.

Sebenza ngempumelelo

Awudingi ukuzama ukukwazi kahle wonke amamodeli engqondo akhona. Okokuqala, akunakwenzeka, charlie uyabona, kanti okwesibili, hhayi kangako. Umhlahlandlela Wezomthetho we-Pareto: "Amaphesenti angama-20% wemizamo anika ama-80% omphumela, futhi umzamo osele angama-80% uneminyaka engama-20% kuphela."

Ekusebenzeni, lokhu kusho ukuthi uma ufuna, ake sithi ukuthi ungakuqedela kanjani uhlobo lomsebenzi ngokushesha okukhulu, udinga ukuthola ubuncane bezenzo ezisebenzayo ezizokuvumela ukuthi wenze imali ephezulu - bese ugxila ku zona. Ngakho-ke, ngokoMthetho, i-Pareto, enqubweni yokwakha isethi yakho yamamodeli engqondo, umsebenzi wakho oyinhloko ukukhomba i-Universal yabo yonke.

Noma ngabe amamodeli anjalo okokuqala unakho okuncane, kepha uzohlala uwasebenzisa, kuzobe kukhulisa kakhulu isivinini sakho nokunemba kokuxazulula izinkinga.

Thola izixhumanisi phakathi kwamamodeli engqondo

Uma nje ufunda amaqiniso ngamanye futhi uzozama ukuwakhipha ekhanda lakho ngaso sonke isikhathi, akunakwenzeka ukuthi ukukusiza kokuthile, kusho umkhombe. Udinga ukudala uhlelo oluzoxhuma la maqiniso, khona-ke ungawasebenzisa kuze kube sekupheleni.

Uhlelo olunjalo ukuthi i-Manganforder ibiza inethiwekhi yamamodeli engqondo. Kungenziwa, ngokwesibonelo, ukunqoba imingcele phakathi kwezigwebo: Ukusungula ukuthi amamodeli avelaphi olwazi angachaza kanjani izinqubo ezenzeka kwelinye. Lesi simiso singasiza abatshalizimali ukuthi basebenzise ama-analogies ukuxazulula izinkinga futhi babheke amathuba amasha okutshala imali.

Okufanele ufunde, ulalele, bheka

Uhlu luhlanganiswe nge-athikili ngoCharlie Manbon, kuphrofayili.

• Incwadi kaPeter Bevelin ethi "Funa Iqiniso: Ukusuka eDarwin kuya eManbon."

Umbhali wephrofayili Polina Puspano ubiza amamodeli akhe engqondo, ngosizo lwawo ungakhulisa khona ubuzwe bakho. Izingxenye zale ncwadi zihlakazekile futhi zihlaziye izici ezinquma indlela yokucabanga, amaphethini ezengqondo asenza senze iziphetho eziyiphutha, nezindlela zokwenza ingqondo ecace.

• Inkulumo Yezinkulumo Zokukhomba "Ukwenza Kanjani Ukuphila Kwakho Kube Kubi" 1986.

Uthathwa njengo- "enye yezinkulumo ezinkulu kakhulu ezake zavela." Ezinkulumweni, phakathi kwezinye izinto, uCharlie ohlwini - futhi wahlaziya - "Izindlela ezinhlanu zokuqinisekiswa ukuze zingajabuli": Sebenzisa amakhemikhali ukushintsha imizwa noma umbono; umona; Ukungathembeki; Vumela impilo ikucasule; Ungafundi ngamaphutha kanye nesipiliyoni sabanye.

Ukungavikeleki, ngokusho kweManbon - okuyingozi kakhulu. "Uma kungenzeki ukuthembela kumuntu, kunqamula zonke izimfanelo zakhe. Ngale ndlela, kancane kancane ube ngumare odume ngokusuka eBhisni, wona kuphela azomfica ufudu olulodwa, kepha izinkulungwane, noma ngabe zisemiculweni, "kuchaza uCharlie.

• I-Excerpt evela ku-Almanac Grovell Charlie Peter Kaufman.

Kuyo, umkhombe, isikhathi eside futhi unesifiso sezengqondo, ukuhlukaniswa kwama-psychology, ama-disteres ama-24 enza iziphetho ezingalungile: ukuphikiswa okungokwengqondo, ukugqama kwengqondo kanye nokuqhamuka kumona.

Ngokusho kwakhe, izahlulelo kanye nezenzo ezinolabo abacwazimulayo kunzima kakhulu ukuqeda: "Ingqondo yethu ibukeka njengeqanda, lapho kungekho khona i-spermatozoa izofakwa ngemuva kokuvundiswa. Ngakho-ke nangomqondo - uma nje umdele, uba ngabathumbi bakhe. "

• Uhlelo lwe-61st lwe-podcast ye-podcast yomtshalizimali noTren Griffin, umbhali wencwadi ethi "Charlie Manger: Umtshalizimali ophelele."

Kuyo ungafunda ngefilosofi yokutshalwa kwemali ye-Billionaire kanye nemibono yakhe ngobungozi, ngokuhambisana nanoma yikuphi ukusebenza ngokutshalwa kwemali kwemali. Futhi nokuthi i-manganger ilawula kanjani imizwa, ithathe izixazululo zokutshala imali, futhi yini ukuhlala ngaphakathi kohlaka lwendilinga yayo yamakhono.

• Inkulumo kaCharlie Manbon e-University of Southern California.

Ufake ohlwini lwemibono esemqoka yemibono eyamsiza ekwakheni umsebenzi. Enye yazo: "Nikeza umhlaba okuthile okungakusebenzisa nokuthi yini ongathanda ukuzithenga yona."

• Izinkulumo Manbon, funda eCalifornia University of Technology ngo-2008.

Kuyo, unika abafundi izeluleko zakhe eziphambili: Ukuqoqa nokuhlanganisa amamodeli engqondo, futhi kunikeza isibonelo sabaningi babo.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, umkhondo utshela ngalokho okubiza i- "Lollapalusus umphumela" (Lollapalusa - Umculo we-Music e-USA. - Isikhumbuzi). Kuphakama lapho kukhona ubandlululo, ukuthambekela nokwesaba kwabantu abaningi kuvela kungazelelwe ukuba kuqondiswe esiteshini esisodwa futhi kube amandla okushayela anamandla okuphoqa amaphutha.

Njengesibonelo, uCharlie uhola amaqembu e-Tuppereware - ethandwa ngemicimbi engama-60 ethengiswa ke izitsha zepulasitiki ezingejwayelekile. Emaphathini anjalo, abeluleki bahilela amasu amaningana ngasikhathi sinye: ngokwesibonelo, ukuthintana okungokomzwelo neklayenti kwasungulwa ngaphambi kokuthengisa, kumenywe imiklomelo, kumenyiwe sekuthengiwe izimpahla ukuze babelane ngemibono yabo nokunye.

Ukuhlanganiswa kwazo zonke lezi zinto eziphoqelele abantu ukwenza ngokungafanele, futhi bathenga iziqukathi eziningi kunalokho abakudingayo - futhi baletha inkampani kubakhiqizi cishe ama- $ 1 billion ngonyaka.

Le ndatshana ilungiselelwe isikhumbuzi sokushicilela esiku-inthanethi, esinikelwe ezempilo, i-psychology kanye nefilosofi esebenzayo. Imininingwane ebaluleke kakhulu ingatholakala kumakhasi ethu ku-Facebook, Telegraph noma ohlwini lwamakheli.

Ezinye izinto zokwakha esikhumbuzweni:

• Lapho ngifunda ukulwa nengcindezi yokuphefumula. Isipiliyoni somuntu siqu se-biohaker biohaker ilmo striaflesg.
• Imikhuba eyenze ubuchopho bami omncane. Kwaphela iminyaka emihlanu, uBrian penny wahlanganyela njalo emikhubeni yokuqwashisa, ngenxa yobuchopho bakhe, njengoba kufakazelwa yi-MRI Shots, waqubuka iminyaka eyisithupha.
• Ngiwuthuthukisa kanjani umsebenzi wobuchopho ngosizo lokudla nezithasiselo. Umsebenzi wenkampani yezobuchwepheshe evela eSilicon Valley Alexander Alexander Pustov - mayelana nokuhlolwa ngaphezulu kwe-mitochondria yabo.

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