Iseshini yeBhange laseRussia - umcimbi ohambisana nomlando

Anonim

Ngaphandle kokusheshisa ukwehla kwamandla emali, ochwepheshe abaningi abalindeli izinguquko ezivela ebhange eliphakathi. Noma kunjalo, uma kwenzeka kulondolozwa amapharamitha wenqubomgomo yezimali endaweni efanayo, amathuba aphezulu kangangokuba u-Elvira Nabiullina azonikeza imakethe isibonakaliso sokukhulisa isilinganiso ngokuzayo.

Kuleli sonto, amasiginali anjalo aseqalile ukuvuza kwabezindaba. I-Agency yeBloomberg ebhekisele emthonjeni ibike ukuthi ibhange leRussia libonisa izinga lokuphakamisa elifinyelela ku-5.5% asevele likhona kumanje 2021. Phakathi kwezizathu - ukusheshisa ukwehla kwamandla emali kanye nokukhathazeka ngokukhula kwezindleko zesabelomali

Imiyalezo enjalo ingavame ukuvela ku-Regulator uqobo ukuze ifunde ukusabela kwemakethe. Kungekudala ngemuva kwalokhu umhlaziyi we-Sbercib wathi babelinde ukukhulisa manje - emhlanganweni kaMashi 19. Ukwanda kungaba yikota yephuzu lephesenti - kusuka ku-4.25% kuya ku-4.5%.

Kuyaqapheleka ukuthi i-Central Bank bekuyisikhathi sokugcina esidlulayo ukubheja emuva ngo-2018. Esikhathini esedlule, ngemuva kweLokdaunov kanye nenhlekelele emnothweni wonke wezwe, uMlawuli wanciphisa kakhulu ukubheja - ngamaphesenti ama-2.

Emhlanganweni wokugcina ngoFebhuwari, i-Central Bank yakwenza ngokusobala kwacaca ukuthi umjikelezo wokuthambisa uqede.

"Sikholwa ukuthi umjikelezo wokuthambisa waphela esimweni sethu esiyisisekelo. Sizoxoxa ngezinsuku zokugcina kanye nejubane lokuguqukela kwenqubomgomo yokungathathi hlangothi njengoba isimo sizokhula, "kusho u-Elvira Nabiullina engqungqutheleni yezindaba.

Imakethe isivele ilungiselelwe iqiniso lokuthi amanani asekusasa aseduze angakhula kuphela. Umbuzo ungakhona noma nini lapho le nqubo iqala, nokuthi izophuma isikhathi esingakanani.

Futhi lapha okuqala okuthakazelisa kakhulu - kufanelekile ukunaka umlando owodwa obaluleke kakhulu futhi onelukuluku kakhulu.

Ama-Dynamics weBond abuya emakethe yezikweletu zezwe, njengoba wazi, empeleni uphinda ama-Dynamics woshintsho kumanani asemqoka webhange eliphakathi nendawo kanye nokulindelwe kwemakethe ngekusasa. Okungukuthi, kuyabonakala.

Iqiniso ngukuthi kulo lonke umlando wanamuhla, lapho isivuno sezibopho zikahulumeni waseRussia zehlela phansi kangaka - esifundeni esingu-6.5%, khona-ke okuthile kwaqala ukwenzeka, futhi kumnandi kakhulu.

Iseshini yeBhange laseRussia - umcimbi ohambisana nomlando 21534_1

Isibonelo, kuvulwa izivuno kule ndawo kusukela ngo-2006 kuya ku-2008, kwathi ngo-2013 nakwamuva kwakamuva. Ngasikhathi sinye, ubuncane obusha bomlando bubekwe ngonyaka owedlule, okwathi ngemuva kwalokho kwaqala ukuhamba kancane kancane. Kepha kwakungukuthi kube nkulu, ngoba i-Central Bank yaphoqeleka ukuba iphendule ezenzweni zenhlekelele. By the way, kusukela lapho i-Central Bank ayizange iguqule izinga, kepha ukubuya kwe-at sekuvele kudlale ukwehla kwabuya kulokho obekukhona ekuqaleni kuka-2020

Uma uthembela kwimininingwane yomlando, kungacatshangelwa ukuthi manje ibhange eliphakathi liseduze komjikelezo omude wokuphakamisa amanani. Futhi lezo zimpawu ezinikeza ibhange eliphakathi, ziqinisekisa ngokungaqondile le mbono.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, akunakwenzeka ukuthi ungaphawuli ukuthi inkambiso eyinhloko emhlabeni manje sekuwukukhula kokulindelwa kwe-inflation kanye nokwehla kwamanani entengo uqobo. Konke lokhu kuholela ekwandeni kwamanani emakethe yezikweletu naseMelika naseYurophu, nakwamanye amazwe.

Kungenzeka ukuthi ezinyangeni ezimbalwa ezizayo, izibonakaliso ezikhulayo zizoqala ukunikeza amabhange amakhulu omhlaba amakhulu, futhi lokhu kuzosho ushintsho olujwayelekile ekuqondisweni kwenqubomgomo yezimali emhlabeni wonke.

Futhi njengoba umnotho waseRussia uyingxenye yomhlaba, isimo ezweni lethu sizokhula ngaphansi kohlaka lwale nkambiso. Ngakho-ke, uma amaphethini omlando eqhubeka, khona-ke, acabangele okuhlanganisiwe kwezici, iminyaka ezayo kungenzeka ibe yinkathi yokukhula ngenzuzo kahulumeni, kanye nokukhulisa amanani emalimboleko kanye nama-deposits.

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