Kungani i-Central Bank ivuse ukubheja okubalulekile

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Kungani i-Central Bank ivuse ukubheja okubalulekile 21366_1

IBhange laseRussia labonisa imakethe ngokuzimisela kwayo futhi okokuqala ngqa kusukela ngo-2018 kuphakamise ukubheja okubalulekile - ngamaphesenti angama-0.25. kufika ku-4.5% ngonyaka. Abahlaziyi abangama-27 kwabangu-28 abaphendulayo abahlaziyi balinde ukubheja okusemqoka, kepha ukugcwala ngokweqile kwemali okungenhla okulindelwe, ukubuyiselwa okusheshayo kwesidingo kanye nokulondolozwa kwezingozi zokwahlulela kuphoqelele ebhange eliphakathi nendawo.

Ama-vtimes abuze ochwepheshe ukuthi ahlole isinqumo sebhange eliphakathi nendawo.

I-Yaroslav Lisololik, inhloko yocwaningo lwe-Sbercib Investment Research: I-Central Bank yaxwayisa

Amanani asemqoka aphambili abukeka enengqondo ezimweni zokucindezela kwamanani aphezulu kanye nokuqiniswa okuthile kwezikhulumi emkhakheni wangempela wezomnotho. I-Central Bank idlulise ngokusobala amacebo wokukhulisa inani elisemqoka kulo nyaka, futhi ukwanda kwezinga elisemqoka kwabonakala kakhulu ezicaphuno zemakethe. Sikholwa ukuthi ngenkathi sigcina ubungozi bokunyuka kwemali kanye nokuwohloka kwesendlalelo sangaphandle, uMlawuli angaqhubeka ukukhulisa isilinganiso esemqoka kwikota yesibili.

Isazi sezomnotho e-Hhayina we-Alpha Bank Natalia Orlova: Ibhange eliphakathi lasabela kulesi simo emakethe yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe

I-Central Bank yaphendula ngesinqumo ngalesi simo emakethe yokushintshaniswa kwamanye amazwe - I-Central Bank yamazwe asathuthuka (iBrazil, eTurkey) amanani aphakanyisiwe kakhulu, i-Recess Rhetoric ibuyile. Ithoni elinzima kakhulu lebhange eliphakathi lenyusa amathuba okukhuphuka kwezinga emihlanganweni eseduze. Lokhu futhi kukhuluma ngesimo sezulu sebhange eliphakathi nendawo, ukuthi kwithagethi ku-4% ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzobuyela kuphela engxenyeni yokuqala ye-2022.

USergey Roman, inhloko yokusebenza emakethe yezezimali nezezimali yeMetallinvestBank: Ukuphazamiseka bekuzokwenza kuphela lapho bekuzokwenza

Isinqumo sebhange eliphakathi nabe sineqhaza okwamanje ukuqiniswa okwengeziwe kwe-ruble, kepha akunakwenzeka ukuba ukusho ukusabela okukhulu. Isikhathi esithile, ngangiqonda ukuthi i-Central Bank kuzodingeka ukukhulise izinga, ukucasuka kwakungenza kuphela lapho kuzokwenza khona - emhlanganweni womashi noma ngo-Ephreli.

Angicabangi ukuthi ekuseni kube nokuvuza kolwazi, umuzwa wokuthi ukubheja kungakhuphuka kulolu lwangoLwesihlanu, kubonakale izolo, kulandela ukukhula kwezinga lokutholakala kwezinga lenzalo namanani e-arch. Futhi, leli sonto liphakamisa amabhange aseBrazil nama-Turkish. Futhi, ngaphezu kwalokho, iBloomberg ibike ngokwanda okungenzeka ngesilinganiso sebhange eliphakathi laseRussia ekuqaleni kwesonto, lokhu kuthonye nangomuzwa futhi kwalungisa imakethe.

Njengoba isinqumo sebhange eliphakathi selivele libekwe ngokwengxenye izingcaphuno ze-off and derivatives, ngicabanga ukuthi ngesikhathi esiphakathi lokhu kwanda akuthintekanga ngenxa yenkambo futhi ngeke kuholele ekuqiniseni okukhulu kwe-ruble.

Umhlaziyi Omkhulu weSovkombank Mikhail Vasilyev: I-Central Bank iyaqhubeka nokuvuselela isidingo nokukhuphuka kwamandla emali

IBhange laseRussia elilindelwe ekuqiniseni inqubomgomo yezimali ukuze liqukethe ama-inflation futhi linikeze isibonakaliso mayelana nokulungela ukuqhubeka nokubuyisa ukubheja okuphambili kwe-5-6%, kufaka phakathi emihlanganweni eseduze.

Sikholwa ukuthi kulo nyaka ibhange eliphakathi lizokwandisa ukubheja okusemqoka kuma-25 BP, silindele ama-5% ekupheleni konyaka. Ezimweni eziyisisekelo, silindele ukuthi ngonyaka olandelayo, ukuqiniswa kwenqubomgomo yezimali kuzoqhubeka futhi izinga elisemqoka lizofinyelela inani eliphakeme ngo-2023 ezingeni le-6%.

Emibandela yesisulu esivela kubhubhane, i-Central Bank igcina ukusekelwa kwesidingo sonke ngezindlela zezimali. Izinga elisemqoka lihlala lingaphansi kwebanga elingathathi hlangothi, elibonisa isidingo esivuselelayo kanye nokwenyuka kwamanani wenqubomgomo yezimali.

Isici esibalulekile ekungaqiniseki siseyinqubomgomo yokuphathwa kwe-US Mayelana neRussia. Esimweni esiyisisekelo, asilindeli ukwethulwa kwemithi emisha enzima, kepha ibhange eliphakathi kufanele lilungele ukuphendula ngokushesha uma kwenzeka ukonakala kobudlelwano ne-United States, kanye nesilinganiso senzalo ephezulu ye-ruble sisiza ukunciphisa ubungozi be ukuphuma kwemali enkulu.

UDmitry Dumpkin, okomnotho omkhulu eRussia naseC: Lokhu kusabela ekukhuleni kwengozi

I-Central Bank yanquma ukuphendula ekwandeni kwakamuva kwezingozi, okuhlobene kakhulu nezimakethe zomhlaba wonke, izinqubomgomo zakwamanye amazwe kanye nokuncishiswa kwenqubomgomo yenqubomgomo yenqubomgomo yokuhlanganisa. I-Tonial Coninal ifaka amathuba aphezulu aphezulu kwamanani amaningi emihlanganweni eseduze esekelwa ngu-Ephreli noJulayi. Kulokhu, ukwanda okukhulu akubonakali. Ngokusekelwe ku-inflation elindelekile, isilinganiso sangempela sokhiye manje singaba ngu-0.7%, ophakeme kunesilinganiso se-analogs futhi eduze kobubanzi be-1-2%, lapho iBhange eliphakathi nendawo elilindele ukuza.

U-Alexander Isakov, umnotho oyinhloko "I-VTB Capital" eRussia naseC: ukuqhathanisa kusukela ngo-2018

Silindele ukuthi iBhodi yabaqondisi beCentral Bank izolandela amaqhinga ka-2018 - ukwandisa ibhidi eliphambili ngezinyathelo ngo-25 BP. Ngemisa emhlanganweni ngaphambi kokubuya kokunyuka kwamandla emali ku-REGIT MONEAL MONE. Lezi zibalo zithi isinqumo ngokwenyuka kokuqala sizoba ngo-Ephreli, kepha umjikelezo wokunyusa waqala manje. Siyaqhubeka nokulindela ukwanda kwama-50 BP. Sekukonke ngo-2021, ngaphansi komcabango wokuthi amanani wamanje wokunyuka kwamandla emali ajwayelekile ekugcineni kwekota yesibili. Ingozi yalesi sibikezelo ukuthi ukwehla kwamandla emali kuzoba khona ngokwedlula ngonyaka we-2018, ubungozi obukhulu kumanani entengo yokudla emhlabeni jikelele.

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