Ezinyangeni eziyi-12 ezedlule, i-euro kanye nephawundi lesiNgisi eliqiniswe ngo-9% ngokumelene neDollar yaseMelika. I-ruble ngesikhathi esifanayo ilahlekelwe ngo-11%. Ngaphandle kokukhuphuka kwenani lamadola ngo-25% ngonyaka owedlule kanye nokubuyiselwa kwezindleko zamafutha, imali yaseRussia iyaqhubeka nokuthatha izikhundla. Manje sekuphakade?
I-Russia yizwe elisemiselwe ukuthunyelwa. Lokhu kwenza kuncike kuwo womabili amanani ezinsizakusebenza nasebudlelwaneni nabalingani bamanye amazwe. Esibonelweni se-Iran, kungabonakala ukuthi isici sokugcina sibaluleke kakhulu: Izwe ngenxa yokucekelwa phansi kwamakhasimende aseMelika alahlekelwe iningi lamaklayenti kawoyela (India, Turkey, South Korea, njll.).
Ngokwesikhundla esisemthethweni, imali engenayo evela ekuthengisweni kwamafutha negesi yakha ifomu le-45% yesabelomali seRussia Federation. Le mithombo yamandla ibuyise izindleko ngaphambi kwamazinga ka-2019, kepha i-ruble ayiphindanga ukunyakaza kwayo.
Iqiniso ukuthi akuwona amanani entengo anciphile, kodwa futhi nokuthengisa. Ngo-2020, bathengisa amathani ayizigidi ezingama-238,6 ama-oyela acwebezelayo, okungu-11.4% ongaphansi konyaka ngaphambili. Imali engenayo iwele ngo-41%. Ukusetshenziswa kawoyela womhlaba kuvimbela ukuqhubeka kukabhubhane kanye nezinga eliphansi lezindiza. Uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka ka-2019, isidingo sembulunga yonke sokuhamba komoya sabagibeli sawela ngo-66%, futhi ukugoma emhlabeni wonke kudlula ukubikezela kancane kancane. Izingozi ziyaqiniswa ngenxa yokuguqulwa kwe-coronavirus kanye nokuvela kwezinto ezintsha.
Isimo esingcono esingcono yisimo esinegesi yemvelo - Ukuwa kokusetshenziswa komhlaba kungakapheli ama-3-4%, nokuvela kwegatsha elisha legesi elinomthamo ongama-55 billion M3 ngonyaka lizonikeza izwe elinemali eyengeziwe. Kodwa-ke, ukuqedwa kokwakhiwa kwe- "Northern Flow-2" kusongelwa yingozi ngenxa yokucekelwa phansi okusha. Ukucelwa okufanayo kushintsha isimo sezulu sokutshala imali kungenjalo.
Eminyakeni emibili edlule, inani elivulelwe amafemu okwenziwa kwabezinye izizwe lincishiswe yilapha, ngokusho kwe-eglul.
Ukwehluleka kwamafemu angaphandle ukuze abambisane neRussia kuholela ekwehleni kokutshalwa kwezimali okuqondile kwangaphandle.
Ukwenda kokugcina kobudlelwano benqubomgomo yakwamanye amazwe kuhlotshaniswa nokuboshwa kuka-Alexei Navalny. Amazwe aseNtshonalanga aphambili akhuluma ukuvumela ukukhululeka kwakhe ngokushesha, futhi i-ECHR yathumela izingqinamba eziningi zodwa eRussia. Ukuntuleka kwesisombululo sokuyekethisa kuzoholela ekusonteni okusha kwamasencesi, okuzofaka ukuvinjelwa kokubambisana nabantu nezinhlangano eziningi.
Ubuhlungu obukhulu bungaba ukuvinjelwa ekuziphatheni kwepayipi legesi emazweni amaningi. Izinhloko zoMnyango Wezangaphandle zePoland ne-Ukraine zabhala incwadi eya kuJoe Bidenu ebuza noma yiziphi izindlela ukuvikela ukuphela kwephrojekthi.
Umnotho uhlala uncike kakhulu kubalingani baseNtshonalanga, futhi i-GDP nge-capita ngayinye iseduze kwezinga le-2008 ($ 12,000). Ukuwa kokukhanga kokutshalwa kwezimali kuholela ekwehleni kwemali yemali yaseRussia, futhi ngenxa yalokhu kungenzeki ukuthenga imishini enkulu ekhuthazayo (ngokwesibonelo, ukuhlinzekwa kwama-turbines e-Nokia Turbines for the Crimeach TPP). Konke lokhu kulimaza umnotho waseRussia ngokuhamba kwesikhathi futhi kubangele ukuwa kwe-ruble, naphezu kokubuyiselwa kwamanani entengo yamandla.
Futhi ucabanga kanjani, ube namathuba ama-ruble okuqiniswa? Bhala ngakho kumazwana!
I-Analytical Group Forex Club - umlingani we-Alfa Forex eRussia
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