I-S & P: Kazakhstan ngo-2021 izothatha phesheya futhi ingahle ibuyele emakethe yemalimboleko yaseRussia

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I-S & P: Kazakhstan ngo-2021 izothatha phesheya futhi ingahle ibuyele emakethe yemalimboleko yaseRussia

I-S & P: Kazakhstan ngo-2021 izothatha phesheya futhi ingahle ibuyele emakethe yemalimboleko yaseRussia

I-Almaty. 9 kaMashi. Kaztag - Valentina vladimirskaya. Izilinganiso ze-International agency Sc & P Global Racings zikuqinisekisile izilinganiso ze-BBB- "Kazakhstan ngesibikezelo" esizinzile ", imibiko ye-ejensi.

Izilinganiso ze- "P & P Global Racings ziqinisekisile izilinganiso zesikhathi eside zesikhathi esidala nezesikhashana seRiphabhlikhi yaseKazakhstan ezibophweni ezenziwa ngemali yakwamanye amazwe nezobuzwe e-BBBB-. Izilinganiso Zobikezela - "Ezinzile", emyalezweni.

Isilinganiso seKazakhstan esikalini Sizwe - "Kzaaa".

Izinga lokukhula komnotho waseKazakhstan, ngokusho kwezibikezelo zabahlaziyi be-ejensi, kuzoba ama-3.2% ngo-2021 futhi bazosekelwa ngokuncipha kwemikhawulo emnothweni, ukukhula kwamanani kanye nokukhiqizwa kwezomnotho, ukukhiqizwa kwezomnotho Emazweni - abalingani abaphambili bokuhweba.

Umkhakha kawoyela wama-akhawunti weKazakhstan acishe abe ngu-15% we-GDP, ngaphezu kwama-50% wokuthumela ngaphandle kanye nama-40% wezimali zikahulumeni. I-GDP yangempela yehle ngo-2.6% ngo-2020. Umnotho ubuyiselwe ngokulinganayo ngo-2021 ngokwanda kokukhiqizwa kwamafutha kanye namanani entengo kawoyela, ukwanda komkhakha okungewona owoyela futhi kuzoqhubeka ukubuyisela amavolumu okukhiqiza uwoyela ngo-2022 kanye nokwanda kokukhiqizwa ku-2023 , ilindele i-S & P.

Ukushoda kwesabelomali sikahulumeni esihlanganisiwe kuzobalelwa ku-4% we-GDP ngo-2021 ngokumelene no-7% we-GDP ngo-2020. Isabelomali sizokwenziwa ngokusilela ngo-2021-2022, futhi ngo-2023-2024 kuzoba isikhathi esisha sentengo yamafutha angama- $ 50 / Barr ngo-2021 / Barr, kusukela ngo-2023.

Ukusetshenziswa kukahulumeni kukhuphuke ngo-2020 ngokumelene ngo-209 ngonyaka ka-23% futhi kukhona ubungozi bokuhlanganiswa kancane kwesabelomali.

Uhulumeni waseKazakhstan uzohlala umbolekisi onetha, kanye nesilinganiso somehluko wevolumu yezimpahla eziwuketshezi zangaphandle zohulumeni kanye nezibopho zesikweletu zakwamanye amazwe zizoba isilinganiso se-321-2024, esiphansi kunenkomba yeminyaka edlule. Izimpahla zikahulumeni ikakhulukazi zezimpahla zesikhwama sikazwelonke, zitshalwa kakhulu phesheya. Ivolumu yabo yehle kusuka ku- $ 73 billion kusukela ngasekupheleni kuka-2014 kuya ku- $ 59 billion ekuqaleni kuka-2020. Ukuhlanganiswa kwesabelomali, ukukhawulwa kwezinguqulo ezivela esikhwameni sikazwelonke kuya kwisabelomali, futhi ukunyuka kwamanani kanye namanani okukhiqizwa kawoyela kuzoqinisa isikhundla seKazakhstan kuya ku-30% wobudlelwano "ngo-2021-2024, Ubikezela u-S & P.

Inani lezikweletu zomphakathi likhuphuke lisuka ku-22% le-GDP ekupheleni kuka-2019 kuya ku-29% we-GDP ngasekupheleni kuka-2020. Isimo sengqondo esithi "Isikweletu esisebenzayo / i-GDP" sizoba ngu-30% ngo-2021-2024, abahlaziyi babikezela.

Ngo-2021, uhulumeni uzokwandisa inani lemalimboleko ezinhlanganweni zezimali zomhlaba wonke futhi angabuya emakethe yokuboleka yaseRussia ngemuva kokukhishwa kwezibopho zesikweletu ngoSepthemba 2020. Ivolumu enkulu yezinkinga zizoba emakethe yasekhaya. Izindleko zokuhlinzeka ngezikweletu zikahulumeni zizoba cishe ama-7% wesabelomali, abahlaziyi balindele.

Ivolumu yezindawo ezigciniwe ebhange likazwelonke ikhuphuke ibe ngama- $ 35 billion ngo-2020 ngenxa yokwanda kwezintengo zegolide, ezithinta izingxenye ezimbili kwezintathu zokugcina. I-inflation izoba cishe ngo-6.5% ngo-2021 - ephansi kune-6.8% ngo-2020 kanti izinga lawo lizoba ngo-5% ngo-2024 ngo-2024. Ukuhunyushwa kwenani elikhulu lemali evela esikhwameni sikazwelonke kuya kwisabelomali kanye namanani entengo ekhulayo kufanele anqande ukwehla kwe-tenge izifundo ngo-2021, alindele i-S & P.

Izinga le-Drarization le-Deposit linciphile laya kuma-37% ekugcineni kuka-2020 futhi lizoba ngama-35- 40% kuya ku-2024, S & P lilindele.

Abahlaziyi bafaka phakathi ubungozi emkhakheni wasebhange weKazakhstan ukuya eqenjini 9 esikalini se-Bicra, lapho ama-10 abuthakathaka kakhulu, ivolumu ye-GDP kuphela ngasekupheleni kuka-2020, ukulahleka kwemali mboleko Ngo-2021-2022 ukuphakama-3, 5% futhi kulindeleke ukuthi amabhange abuthakathaka ashiye imakethe noma ahlangane.

Izilinganiso zeKazakhstan zingancishiswa uma kuchithwa izinkomba zezomnotho zakwamanye amazwe zezwe kanye nokuhlanganiswa kancane kwesabelomali futhi kungandiswa uma kwenzeka kukhuphuka ngokusebenza kohlelo lwesikhungo nokubikezela kwenqubomgomo, njengokuthuthuka kokuhlukahluka Umnotho nezinyathelo zokuthuthukisa izinkomba zezezimali zomkhakha wangasese kanye nokukhula kwekhwalithi yokuqondisa okulawulwayo noma ukuphathwa kwebhange lezinkampani.

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