Noma yimuphi umhlangano osezingeni eliphakeme kakhulu ngesikhathi sikabhubhane uba ngumcimbi okhethekile futhi ugcizelela ukubaluleka kwezepolitiki okwamanje ubudlelwano obuphakathi kwezobudlelwano obuphakathi. Lokhu kuyiqiniso ngokuphelele ngomhlangano wesikhathi esigcwele kaVladimir Putin no-Alexander Lukashenko, oqokwe ngasekupheleni kukaFebhuwari. Kodwa-ke, ngaphezu kweqiniso lokuxhumana okuzayo ngeso iso, hhayi ngocingo noma ngemodi ye-inthanethi, injabulo ekhethekile ezungeze umhlangano ihambisana okungenani nezimo ezine.
OkomfanyanaNgobunzima bezepolitiki baseBelarusian, okwathi ngoFebhuwari 9 kwaba yingxenye eyodwa ngonyaka. Ngokungafani maphakathi no-Septhemba, lapho uPutin noLukashenko bebona okokugcina, ukushisa kwezinkanuko zezepolitiki eRiphabhulikhi kuncipha kakhulu.
Okungenani, uma wahlulela inombolo kanye nezinga lemibhikisho: Uma uqhathanisa nezinkulungwane zemibhikisho, ukuwa kwamasheya manje kuyaqabukela futhi amasheya amancane abukeka njengokunyakaza kwenhlangano yokubhikisha. Iziphathimandla zaze zamemezela ukunqoba ekuphatjhwa kwezepolitiki kwangaphakathi kwezepolitiki eMhlanganweni wabantu abasanda kubanjwa ngabakwaBelarusian (VNS). Ngakho-ke, ngokusobala, uLukashenko uzofika ezingxoxweni eSochi esimweni esiphakeme kakhulu ukwedlula ngoSepthemba. Ngaphezu kwalokho, isibikezelo esimenziwe nguye ngaleso sikhathi saba senza ukuthi igagasi lemibhikisho elandelwa yizehlakalo zaseBelarusian eRussia. Lesi simo uqobo silwa nesizinda sengcindezi yokudluliselwa eMoscow naseMinsk kusuka entshonalanga kufanele sisondele kuma-Allies kanye nezinga elinemigqa eminingi ebudlelwaneni babo.
Kepha eqinisweni, ubunzima bezepolitiki baseBelarusian kunzima ukubiza okuqediwe. Ngakho-ke, enye indlela noma enye, amasu kaLukashenko wokukhathazeka ngokuqinisekile azothakazelela uhlangothi lwaseRussia. Ngaphezu kwalokho, emibuzweni eminingi yezwe elizayo, kubandakanya nesihloko sokuguqulwa komthethosisekelo okuzayo, ama-vns awazange anikeze izimpendulo ezithile, kepha abeke ichashaza elibalulekile.
KomzuzwanaNgesihloko esivele sihlala njalo sokuhlanganiswa kwe-Union State, amaqembu aholela ezingxoxweni ezicindezelayo kusukela ngasekupheleni kuka-2018 ngokwezikhulu zaseBelarusian, amaphrojekthi ezinqumweni ezibalulekile ezingase ziboshwe ngamasiginesha amakhanda. Kodwa-ke, akunakwenzeka ukuthi umhlangano uzovula isigaba esisha esifanelekile ekuthuthukisweni kobudlelwano bemiBhalo. Kodwa-ke ukungqubuzana okuyisisekelo okwanciphisa izinqubo zokuhlanganisa eminyakeni edlule ziyagcinwa. UMinsk uyaqhubeka nokugcizelela izimo zezomnotho ezilinganayo zezinhlangano zawo zezomnotho njengesinyathelo sokuqala ekuhlanganiseni okukhulu futhi amema ukungaphoqeleli ukuhlanganiswa kwezikhungo, okuthi uLukashenko abona ukuthi amenyezelwe eVNS. IMoscow ingathanda ukuguqula inqubo: ekuqaleni ukujulisa ukuhlanganiswa kwezikhungo, bese kuthi izimo ezilinganayo.
OkwesithathuEmhlanganweni wabantu baseBelarusian, izitatimende eziningana zemibono ngekusasa lenqubomgomo yezangaphandle yaseBelarusian zenziwa. Ikakhulu, umbono wokwenqaba amalungiselelo afakwe kusizinda esikhona sokungathathi hlangothi. Kwahlongozwa futhi ukuguqula isu lokuhlukahluka kwezomnotho kwangaphandle futhi ngaleyo ndlela labona indlela evamile yokuthi iRussia ibangela isabelo sebhubesi sokuthumela ngaphandle kwaseBelarusia. Eqinisweni, akukho kulokhu okufundwa okusha okuguqukayo, ikakhulukazi emimo yenhlekelele yezepolitiki ebudlelwaneni ne-EU ne-United States. Kodwa-ke, uLukashenko ngokuqinisekile uzozama ukucacisa uPutin ngemininingwane eminingi yemibono emisha.
OkwesineAbezindaba babika ngezinga eliphakeme lesivumelwano sokwabiwa kweMinsk imalimboleko entsha. Inani libizwa ngokuthi ama- $ 3-3,5 billion. Ngokusobala, ingqungquthela izohlanganisa ngempela lesi sinqumo ngaphandle kobunzima obuningi, ngoba akuyona imali mboleko entsha yemalimboleko ekhishwe ngaphambili ekwakhiweni yesitshalo samandla enuzi. Isilinganiso sokuqamba njengoba umphumela wawuphansi kunokuba kuhlelwe, futhi ubuholi baseBelarusian bungathanda ukusebenzisa inani elikhishwe ngezinye izinhloso.
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