Umongameli waseRussia noBelarus babuyela kwi-ajenda yokuqeqeshwa "kwamamephu omgwaqo" ukujulisa ukuhlanganiswa kwe-Union State. Kepha ngemuva kwemiphumela yezingxoxo, uMongameli waseBelarus Alexander Lukashenko, ukuthi "bekuzoba ubuwula" ukusebenza ekwakheni izinhlaka zokuphathwa okufanayo kwamazwe amabili. I-Russian Ambassador eBelarus Dmitry Mezentdeva, "ukuhlanganiswa kwezepolitiki, ukuhwebelana kweBelarus neRussia kuyinto ebaluleke kakhulu abangavumelani eNtshonalanga." Esikhathini esihlokweni se-eurasia.Expert, umqondisi wesikhungo senhlangano yomphakathi yokufunda inqubomgomo yakwamanye amazwe kanye nokuphepha, umcwaningi weSikhungo Somlando weScarumy of Science of Belarus Denis Bonkonking wahlola izithiyo zokuhlanganiswa futhi wahlola The amathemba okunqoba kwawo.
Ukuhlanganiswa ngokumisa isikhashana
Okwamanje, kungashiwo ukuthi ngokumelene nesizinda sezinkinga zezepolitiki eBelarus, ubhubhane oluqhubekayo emhlabeni kanye nesifunda, ukwehla kwentuthuko kwezomnotho cishe kuwo wonke amazwe okuhlanganiswa koHlelo Lombuso Oluhlanganyelwe wasuka waya esivumelwaneni eRussia naseBelarus. Futhi uma i-Autumn 2019 iye engxoxweni esebenzayo nokuxhumana kwalokhu okubizwa ngokuthi "Amamephu omgwaqo" wokuhlanganiswa (ekuqaleni amemezele 15, lapho sekuphele izingxoxo sezivele zingu-31), kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2020, zonke izingxoxo empeleni zema ngokuhamba isikhashana ngoFebhuwari 2021Kodwa-ke, akucaci okusobala ukuthi iyiphi ifomethi futhi lapho ukuhlanganiswa okujulile ngaphakathi kohlaka lwesimo se-Allied kuzobuyela ku-ajenda yobudlelwano bezinhlanga. Kungenzeka ukuthi amazwe abuyele kulolu daba kuphela ngemuva kokuguqulwa komthethosisekelo eBelarus nasekhekheni olungashintsha isimo sezombusazwe sezwe futhi kubandakanya nalabo ezingxoxo ezizoqhutshwa ngazo.
Ngasikhathi sinye, eRussia, kunengqondo ngempela ukulinda ukuphela kwenhlekelele yezepolitiki yasekhaya ezweni elingumakhelwane, ngoba isiphetho sanoma yiziphi izivumelwano kuzolindeleka ukuthi zivumelane nemibuzo mayelana nokuba semthethweni kwezinqumo nemizamo Ukusizakala ngesikhundla esibuthakathaka sabangenelisi kusuka emazweni amaningi afaka isicelo sesikhundla sabaqhubi bentando yeningi namalungelo abantu. "
Kepha ngaphandle kwezinkinga ezihambisana nezimo zangaphandle, ukuhlanganiswa okuhlangene kunenqwaba yezingqinamba ezingaphakathi zezinhloso nezinjongo ezisebenza njengezinkomishi ezingathi sína zokuthuthuka okuqhubekayo kokuhlanganiswa kwenyunyana. Futhi uma izimo zangaphandle zishintsha ngokushesha futhi ukungathathi hlangothi kwemiphumela yazo engemihle kungasuselwa ezenzweni ezihlanganyelwe zeBelarus naseRussia, izinkinga eziphansi ekuhlanganisweni okubangelwe yi-Adrape. amandla ezimo zangaphandle.
Izithiyo Ezihlosiwe
Abalingani bangaphakathi bokuhlanganiswa okusebenzayo yizinhlobo ezahlukene zezinto ezingahlukaniswa zaba yizinhloso. Isithiyo esibekiwe yisimo sengqondo sokuhlonipha izinkinga ezihlobene nokulondolozwa kobukhosi kanye nokuzimela kwezwe ngalinye. Lo mbuzo uhlala ufanelekile kubo bobabili iBelarus, kanye neRussia, ngoba sekudlule iminyaka engama-30 kuphela lapho ukuwa kweSoviet Union. IRiphabhulikhi yaseBelarus neRussian Federation baba izifundazwe ezingobukhosi futhi zikwazi ukulahla kuphela inqubomgomo yazo yangaphakathi neyakwamanye amazwe.
I-Union State njengeNhlangano Yokuhlanganisa ngokwemvelo ibeka umkhawulo wobukhosi bamazwe ngamunye, ngoba kudinga ukudluliselwa kwengxenye yayo kuya ezingeni elifanele. Le nkinga ibaluleke kakhulu eBelarus
Esinye isithiyo kumyalelo wokuhlonza sikhangwa ekuthuthukisweni kokuhlanganiswa njengendaba yokuxoxisana ngenqubomgomo yakwamanye amazwe noma njengento yokuqinisekisa ukwesekwa kwezepolitiki ezweni.
Ngakho-ke, ekwindla ka-2019, lezi zindlela zabonakaliswa ikakhulukazi ngesikhathi sengxoxo yamakhadi okuhlanganisa, lapho iqembu ngalinye liphishekela khona izintshisekelo zalo. Isithiyo ekuhleleni okubonakalayo sihlala siyindlela yobuholi bawo womabili amazwe akhetha ukunquma izingqinamba ezinzima ezingeni lezwe ngaphandle kokuzibandakanya kwezikhungo ze-Union State.
Izithiyo Zenhloso
Isithiyo senhloso sokuhlanganiswa yizinhlelo ezihlukile zezepolitiki nakwezomnotho, okuyi-Russian Federation neRiphabhulikhi yaseBelarus.Maqondana nobukhona bemithetho ehlukahlukene, isabelo sebhizinisi langasese nelombuso kanye nokwakheka okuphelele kwemodeli yezomnotho nezepolitiki kuzoqakala ngokuhambisana nalokhu kuvumelana nezinyathelo zokuvumelanisa umehluko phakathi Amazwe.
Iyatholakala kuwo womabili la mazwe ilungelo leVETO liphenduka isithiyo esidwetshwe kabili ekuhlanganiseni. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuba khona kwamazwe ngamunye walelilungelo kuqinisekisa i-Belarus amandla okulawula iRussia ngokuhlanganiswa okuminyene. Ngaphandle kwaleli lungelo, iRussia izobusa kwezepolitiki (njengesibonelo, amacebo okudalwa kwePhalamende le-Union anikezwe izindawo ezingama-75 zeRussia Federation futhi kuphela ama-Belarusian). Ezimweni ezinjalo, izidumbu zephalamende ezilandelanayo ngeke zibe yithuluzi eliphumelelayo lokuthuthukiswa kokuhlanganiswa futhi ngeke zithole amandla amakhulu kanye nesibopho sokuhola kwawo womabili la mazwe. Ukuntuleka kwesisekelo sesikhungo kanye namanani ajwayelekile ajwayelekile, okuthi e-EU ebelokhu echaza izinto ezihlanganisiwe, angasebenza njengabalingani abangathi sína ngokuthuthuka kwesimo senyunyana.
iziphetho
Ngazo zonke izici ezisohlwini ekuthuthukisweni kokuhlanganiswa kwe-maphakathi, kuzodingeka ukubhekana nokubheka amafomula ahlangana nawo womabili amazwe. Ngasikhathi sinye, uma ukunqoba izingqinamba ezihlaselayo zilele endizeni yokuvuselelwa kwezindlela namasu okusolwa kabusha, khona-ke izici zenhloso kungadinga ukubuyekezwa kwesakhiwo sokuhlanganiswa kanye nezinhloso zayo eziphelile.
Ngasikhathi sinye, umlando ojwayelekile, izintshisekelo ezifanayo zezwe, isimo sendawo, kanye nokuba khona kwamabhondi ajulile asezingeni lokubandakanya, kungaba yinto esetshenziselwa amanani esikhathi senyunyana isikhathi sokuthola ifomula ephumelelayo ye ukuthuthuka kwayo okwengeziwe.
UDenis Bonkin, umcwaningi weSikhungo Somlando weNational Academy of Science of Belarus, isikhungo seNhlangano Yomphakathi Yomphakathi "ngenqubomgomo yangaphandle nokuvikeleka"