Ukugonywa kancane kungavimbela ukululama komnotho emazweni aphansi nangaphakathi, ngakho-ke, ukufinyelela okulinganiselwe kwemithi yokugoma ngokumelene ne-kovid kuyingozi yokuqina kwezezimali emhlabeni. Lokhu kushiwo embikweni we-IMF.
"Ukusatshalaliswa okungalingani kwemijovo yokugoma kungandisa ubungozi bezimali, ikakhulukazi emazweni anezimakethe zemingcele," kusho uchwepheshe wesisekelo. Ukungeniswa kwezimali ezimpahleni ezimakethe ezingama-30 ezivelayo zamaviki amathathu okuqala kaJanuwari kwakuyirekhodi lama- $ 17 billion ngalesi sikhathi, ngokuya ngokuhlaziywa okwenziwe yizikhathi zezezimali ezisuselwa kwi-Institute of International Finance. Kodwa-ke, uTobias Adrian, inhloko yoMnyango Wezimakethe we-IMF, uyaxwayisa: "Kunobungozi bokuthi isimo esinokungcola eCoronavirus emazweni asathuthuka sizobe sibi uma umkhankaso wokugoma ngeke ahambe ngokushesha ngokwanele." Isimo esinjalo asifakiwe ngentengo yezimpahla, kepha "ukwethuka okungenzeka ukwanda kwenani lezifo, ezizoba nomphumela ongemuhle we-macroeconomic."
I-MSCI evelayo i-Markets Market Inkomba yemakethe ikhuphuke cishe ngo-8% kusukela ekuqaleni konyaka - ngaphezu kokugxuma ngo-19% kwikota yesineka ka-2020, ezinye izimakethe zanda kakhulu ngenxa yezinsizakalo ezinkulu zezimali ezivela emabhange amakhulu nahulumeni, Kanye nokufika kwabatshalizimali bezitolo, kwenziwa izimbozo ezingezinhle ngokwengeziwe ezifana nezitoko. "Uma isifiso sokudla kwengozi emhlabeni sizoshintsha," ukuthuthuka kwezimakethe kuzoba sengozini, ngixwayisa u-Adrian: "Abatshalizimali batshale imali eningi ezimpahleni eziyingozi. Kuzokwenzekani uma kwenzeka okuthile okuzokwenza uphume? "
NgoJanuwari, bekuvele kunesiqephu, kubatshalizimali abajabule. Abaholi be-Federal Reserve System (Fed) e-United States baqala ukumkisela ukuthi ibhange eliphakathi lingaqala ngasekupheleni kuka-2021 ukuguqula uhlelo lwamafa ama-60 billion ngenyanga. Ngemuva kwalokho, usihlalo weJerome Powell waphuthuma waqinisekisa abatshalizimali abaqale ukukhathazeka ukuthi lesi simo singasiphinda isimo sokwehla ngo-2013. Ngemuva kwalokho isitatimende esifanayo soFed sivuse amakethe eqinile ezimakethe ezivelayo.
Isikali sosongo lokuqina kwezezimali ekushayweni okungenzeka okushaqekile ezimakethe ezivelayo kuncike ekutheni imizwa ebilokhu isakazeka kabanzi kangakanani. "Sibona ubungozi ezindaweni ezahlukahlukene. Ngakho-ke, singalindela ukuthi kuzoba namazwe nezinhlelo zasebhange ezizobhekana nobunzima, "kusho u-Adrian. Ikakhulu, wathi, amazwe angahlushwa ama-skews amakhulu asemalini yokukhokha, kufaka phakathi eSouth Asia naseMpumalanga Ephakathi.
"Kodwa-ke, ngokuvamile, umnotho wembulunga yonke kanye nomkhakha wezezimali ubukeka emanzi kakhulu," kuvumile.
Phakathi kwezinye izingozi ezingaba khona ukuthi i-IMF ibona, ukuguqulwa kwegciwane nokuncishiswa ngaphambi kwesikhathi kwezisusa zezomnotho. Ochwepheshe besikhwama futhi bakhathazekile ukuthi ukulondolozwa kwesikhathi eside kwamanani entengo akhona emazingeni aphansi kungavimba ukukhula kwezinzuzo nokubolekwa emabhange. Amabhange abika ukuthi alungile ngenhlokodolobha, kepha abakuthandi lokho abakubonayo engcupheni yababolekisi ", kuxwayise u-Adrian.
Kuhunyushwe uMikhail Overchenko