Iphathelene nalawa mandla, izinsimbi noma imikhiqizo yokudla, umhlangano wezimpahla ezingama-2021 uhlukile ebuhlakani babo namandla futhi bathinta cishe zonke izindawo. Ngasikhathi sinye, amanani entengo yemikhiqizo eminingi akhuphuke ngamanani anamadijithi amabili (ngamaphesenti).
Mayelana nokotini Bhala okuncane, kepha ukukhuphuka kwamanani ale nto eluhlaza, esetshenziswa kabanzi embonini ekhanyayo, kungenye yezinto ezihlaba umxhwele kakhulu.
Amanani entengo yenkonzo yaseNew York Chamber of Commerce (I-US Icetures Futures) kwalamanje ngoFebhuwari wakhombisa ukukhula okuhle ngo-12%. Lesi yisilinganiso sokukhula esikhulu kunazo zonke enyangeni kusuka ngoJulayi 2016, lapho izimpahla zivukile ngentengo ngo-15%. Amanani aphezulu kakotini wale nyanga, aqoshwe ku- $ 0.9077 ngephawundi ngalinye, aphenduka abe yincazelo enkulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2018.
Ubhubhane lucishe lwalungenazo izintengo zokotini
Ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo kakotini kwaqala cishe unyaka kusukela ukuphela kukaMashi 2020, lapho lokhu okuluhlaza kubiza ama- $ 0,5115 ngephawundi ngalinye. Kusukela ngaleso sikhathi, ikhuphuke kakhulu ngentengo ngamaphesenti angama-77 kuya ezingeni eliqoshwe ngoLwesihlanu, $ 0.9065. Ngale ndlela, ngalesi sikhathi, amanani ekotini enyangeni ancipha kanye kuphela - ngoMeyi 2020 - bese kuthi lapho e-0.3% ka-20.Eqinisweni, kusho ukuthi ubhubhane lweCoronavirus luqhubeke cishe unyaka olungazange luphazamise izindleko zikakotini, isidingo esingasetshenziswa njengenkomba yesimo sezomnotho, njengesidingo sethusi.
Ikusasa leCopper ekuhlukaniseni kwe-New York Commodity Exchange Exchange Exchange likhombise kakhulu ukukhula okuthe xaxa: naphezu kokuqubuka kwe-covion-19 kusuka ezinyangeni eziyi-18 ezedlule, kunezinyanga ezintathu kuphela ezingemuva.
Uma kuqhathaniswa no-Agasti 2019, lapho ithusi libiza u- $ 2.60 ngephawundi ngalinye ngolwesihlanu amanani akhuphuke aze afike ku- $ 3.92. Ngakho-ke, abatshalizimali abagcine izikhundla ezinde kulo mkhiqizo wezimpahla njengamanje enzuzo kwenye indawo nge-50%. Njengokotini, ngonyaka owedlule, ithusi libonise izinga lokubuya kwemali okungu-75%.
Zihluke ngani lezi ezimbili izimpahla ezimbili? I-Copper, esetshenziswa kuwo wonke ama-turbine amakhulu ezitshalo zamandla kuma-chips weselula, ayikaze inyamalale ezihedeni zezindaba. Lokhu yinsimbi uNo. 1 emhlabeni wonke, futhi ikakhulukazi iChina.
Umkhakha Wokukhanya Okunesizotha Wokusebenza Kwehhashi
Ukuba yinto ebaluleke kakhulu ekukhiqizweni kwezingubo, ilineni lokulala ne-upholithi, ukotini kuhlala kuwukuwohloka okunesizotha emhlabeni wemikhiqizo yezimboni, futhi babhala okuncane ngakho, naphezu kwenzuzo yama-epic ngonyaka owedlule.
U-Andy Heht, umhlaziyi wezimakethe zokwakha ama-
Umhlaziyi ezimakethe zezitshalo zenkampani ye-Chicago Price Future Group Troup Jack Skoville ayilindeli ukuthi imboni "izokwenziwa" ukotini esikhathini esiseduze:
"Isidingo (kukotini) saqhubeka siphezulu, noma ngabe iCoronavirus ibilokhu igcwele futhi ubhubhane lwalubi kakhulu. Ubuthakathaka bedola laseMelika ubuye waba nomthelela ekwandeni kokufunwa, yize idola liqala ukuqinisa. Isimo ezimakethe zesitoko sase-US sisonke saqhubeka sithandwa, sisekela umbono wokuthuthukisa umnotho wase-US kanye nokukhula okungenzeka kwesidingo sezimpahla ukotini. "
Ukotini ukhule emazweni angaphezu kwe-100, futhi amazwe angaphezu kwe-150 omhlaba enza ukungenisa kanye nokuthumela ngaphandle. Ngakho-ke, lokhu okubonakalayo okuluhlaza kubalulekile emnothweni womhlaba. Amazwe ayisithupha abathengi bekotini amakhulu kakhulu ngasikhathi sinye baphakathi kwabakhiqizi abakhulu abakhulu. Lokhu cishe yi-30% yekotini yekotini emhlabeni.
I-Skoville ibike ukuthi, yahlulela ngombiko wakamuva woMnyango Wezolimo wase-US, ukwehla okukukotini ukukhiqizwa ngenxa yokuncintisana okuvela kwesinye isitshalo samanje - sorghum. Ngakho-ke, isimo ngokuhlinzekwa kwekotoni singandisa uma kufunwa kuhlale kuphezulu:
"Umbuzo ngosayizi wezindawo ezihlwanyelwe ezabelwe isivuno esilandelayo sekotini. Abalimi Texas bangenza ukukhetha kwabo kuthathwe ngosokisi esikhundleni sekotini ngenxa yamanani aphezulu aphezulu we-sorghum. Futhi amanani entengo ye-sorghum akhula ngenxa yesidingo esiphakeme kakhulu salesi siko eChina. "
Ukukhula Kwezohwebo Zomhlaba Wonke Nokuthekelisa kusuka e-USA
Ibhodi likakotini likazwelonke libikezele ukuthi ngo-2021, izilimo zekotini zehliswa ngamahektare ayi-11,5 kuye kwayi-11.5. IPhika-UMongameli wale nhlangano uJodi Khampic Quons:
"Ngokwesibikezelo, umthamo wevolumu emhlabeni ngonyaka webhizinisi lama-2020 uzokwanda ngenxa yokukhula kokusetshenziswa kwegagasi lokutakula lokutakula. Ngokusekelwe ekuthengisweni kwamanje kanye nokuhlinzekwa kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, kubikezelwa ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwekotini kwe-US ngonyaka webhizinisi angama-2020 kuzofika amabhande ayi-15,8 wezigidi ezingama-15,8.
Ngenxa yokuthengiswa okukhulu kwezinsalela eziqhubekayo kusuka ku-2019 kusuka ngonyaka kanye nokuthengwa okwengeziwe okuvela eChina, ngo-2020 k / x unyaka, ukunikezwa kokotini waseMelika kwakuphezulu kakhulu. Okwamanje, izikweletu zethu zokuthumela ngaphandle zinezibalo eziphakeme kakhulu kusukela ngo-2010. "
ICampich ibuye futhi ibike ukuthi yize kuqhubeka umncintiswano ophakeme ovela eBrazil, i-United States yakwazi ukugcina isabelo sayo eMakethe yaseChina ngo-2020 ngenxa yesivumelwano sokuhweba esisayiniwe naleli lizwe.
Ngonyaka wezolimo ongama-2020, i-United States yandisa nethuba lokukhulisa ukuthunyelwa kwalo kokotini kwezinye izimakethe ngenxa yokunciphisa izitshalo e-Australia, naphezu kokwehla kweCampich, ngo-2021, ukwehla okuncane kwamavolumu KWAMANDLA E-US EXExURET TO 15 Kubikezelwe. Amabhalisi ayi-4 million.
Amagrafu anikezela nge-SK Dixit Charting
Ukuhlaziywa kwezobuchwepheshe kukhombisa ukuthi ikusasa lokuhlinzekwa kokotini ngoMeyi ku-Ice (NYSE: Ice) liyakwazi ukugcina umkhuba wabo "we-bullish" bafinyelele kumaphayile angenhla kwe- $ 0.97 nge-Indian Company, umhlaziyi wenkampani yaseNdiya Sk dixit charing.
Kodwa-ke, ukholelwa ukuthi lokhu kungenzeka ngemuva kokuhlanganiswa okuthile.
"Amashadi wosuku lwezinkontileka zesikhathi esizayo ukotini ukotini ngokotini ngokwanele, zihle zinikeze igebe, likhulu ngokwanele ukunikeza isisekelo se-rollback kanye nokugcwala le khefu ebangeni lama- $ 0.8732-0,8888.
Ngemuva kokuthi ophahleni ophahleni kulindeleke ukuthi kwandise, futhi ukuhlanganisa ngaphezulu kwamazinga angu-0.86 kungahle kuholele esigabeni esilandelayo sokukhula kuya kuJuni 2018, kusondele ku- $ 0,9309 kanye nemali ephakeme engama- $ 0.9649. "
UDixIT ukholelwa futhi ukuthi noma yikuphi ukuwa ngamanani angezansi kwama- $ 0,85 kungadala ukulungiswa kwezinzuzo, bese kuthi ikusasa lekotini lingawela ku- $ 0,8309 ngisho nama- $ 0,7989.
Ugcizelela:
"Ngamafuphi, nakumbono wesikhathi esiphakathi, izinkomba zobuchwepheshe zibonisa izimo" ze-bullish ". Kodwa-ke, igebe elikhona lidinga ukuqaphela. "
Ukuzikhulula. UBararan Krisnan unikeza imibono yabanye abahlaziyi ukuhambisa ukuhlaziywa kwemakethe okuhlukahlukene. Ukumela isithombe esiphelele ku-Cwatise.com, kuholela izinkomba zezomnotho nemibono yabanye abahlaziyi bemakethe.
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