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Ekuqaleni kuka-2021, intengo yenkomo nengulube kuhlala kuphansi. Imbangela 1. Ama-Soybeans anikezwa isiginali. Imbangela 2. Ukuqhekeka kwamaketanga okunikezela ngo-2020 kwaholela ekunciphiseni amasheya. Imbangela 3. Izitayela zabantu.
Kukota yokugcina ngo-2020, umkhakha wokuhlazimula wemakethe yezimpahla emakwe ngokukhula okulungile, ngangokunokwenzeka ngo-19%. Amanani e-soya, ummbila nokolweni kufinyelela ephakeme kakhulu eminyakeni eyisithupha. Ngokombono wezobuchwepheshe, izimpahla ezondliwa umhlaba, ezaphukile.
Okusanhlamvu kuyinto edingekayo yokudla komuntu, kepha futhi nokondla kanye nezilwane eziwela emafekthri ukuze zicubungulwe noma amatafula okudla kwakusihlwa. Ukukhiqizwa kwenyama yenkomo nengulube kuncike kokuphakelayo, okubandakanya okusanhlamvu namafutha.
Ngo-2020, izimakethe zamaprotheni ezilwane zabhekana nobunzima obungakaze bube khona. Abakhiqizi kanye nezinduku zemfuyo bahlushwa amanani aphansi atshelwe ezimakethe ezizayo. Abathengi - Abakwa-Oryathers bashayisana ngokubuyela emuva: Amanani akhule, nezimpahla seziye zaba kancane.
Ngonyaka odlule nabakhiqizi, kanye nabathengi benkomo yenkomo kanye nengulube enolwazi lwengulube. Okwamanje, imiphumela yobhubhane kungenzeka iqhubeke ithonye amanani enyama yenkomo nengulube naku-2021. Uma ugxila ekuziphatheni kwamanani ezimakethe zokusanhlamvu, singabona ukwanda okukhulu kwamanani entengo yesikhathi esizayo ezinyangeni ezizayo.
NgoLwesibili, ngoJanuwari 12, uMnyango wezoLimo e-US ukhiphe owokuqala ngo-2021 ngokubikezela kokuvunwa kokuvunwa kanye nokukhiqizwa kwemikhiqizo yezolimo ngamapulazi epulazini emhlabeni. Ngemuva kokuphuma kwakhe, amanani okusanhlamvu aphuthuma.
Ekuqaleni kuka-2021, intengo yenkomo nengulube kuhlala kuphansi
Amanani wenkomo nengulube akuzange kusinde kakhulu ukuhamba kanjena njengokusanhlamvu. UJanuwari uyisidingo senyama yenyama yenyama. Phakathi nonyaka, inani eliphakeme lesizini yisikhathi esivela kuMeyi kuya kuSepthemba - inkathi yepikiniki lapho inyama igcwele - lapho ukusetshenziswa kwamaprotheni ezilwane kukhuphuka.
Umthombo. Yonke imidwebo enikeziwe CQG
Ngemidwebo yanyanga zonke yesikhathi esizayo kwizinkomo ezijabulisayo, ukuthambekela kwe-bearish kuyabonakala, kusukela ngo-2014, ngephuzu eliphakeme kakhulu le- $ 1,71975 ngephawundi ngalinye. Ngamanani entengo yezinkomo ezibukhoma, eziphakeme kakhulu kanye nezikhuphukayo, iphuzu eliphansi lokugcina libalwe ngo-Ephreli 2020, intengo yayingu-81.45 ngephawundi ngalinye. Ukumelana kwezobuchwepheshe kuwela esiqongweni sikaJanuwari 2020 futhi kulingana ne- $ 1,2755 ngephawundi ngalinye. Ukunyakaza okungenhla kwaleli zinga kuzosho ukuqedwa komkhuba webhere oneminyaka eyisithupha emakethe yemfuyo. Ekupheleni kwesonto eledlule, izinkontileka zekusasa eziseduze zezinkomo ezibukhoma zaziphansi kune- $ 1.13.
Isheduli yesikhathi esizayo yanyanga zonke yezinkomo ezikhulumisana nayo ibonisa ukuthi sebefinyelele endaweni ephezulu kakhulu ngo- $ 2.4480 ngonyaka ka-2014. Ukuwa ngo-Ephreli 2020 kuya ku- $ 1.0395 kubangelwa ubhubhane lomhlaba jikelele. Kusukela lapho, intengo yezinkomo e-fattening iyatholakala, kepha ukuqeda umkhuba webhere obonwa kusukela ngo-2014, kuyadingeka ukuveza amazinga we- $ 1.4640 no- $ 1.4940. NgoJanuwari 15, ikusasa eliseduzane lezinkomo ezikhuluphele lalithengiswa ngaphansi kwezinga le- $ 1.35.
Njengohlelo lwentengo yanyangazonke lwemibukiso yengulube, ngentengo engaphansi kwamasenti angama-70 ngephupho ngalinye, ikusasa lengulube libuyiselwa ngemuva kwephuzu elingezansi iminyaka eyishumi nesishiyagalombili kumasenti angama-37 atholakale ngo-Ephreli. Ukuqedela isikhathi sengcindezi yezobuchwepheshe kwikusasa lengulube, kuyadingeka emazingeni aphezulu angamasenti angama-80 nama-94. NgoLwesihlanu olwedlule, ukuhweba ngengulube kuvaliwe ngaphezulu kwamasenti angama-68.
Kunezizathu ezintathu ezingenza ngikholelwe ukuthi amanani entengo yenkomo nengulube ngonyaka ka-2021 azohlukana.
1. Ama-soya anikeza isiginali
Lapho ukutshalwa kwezilwane, izindleko eziphambili ziyadla. Kusukela maphakathi no-2020, amanani okudla kwezilwane akhuphukela ezulwini.
Ishadi lenyanga le-soya libonisa ukuthi intengo yalesi siko elinamafutha ikhule kusuka ku- $ 8,0825 ye-bushel ngo-Ephreli 2020 kuya ngaphezulu kwama- $ 14 ekugcineni kweviki eledlule. Ekuqaleni kukaJanuwari, uSoya wayehweba phezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJuni 2014. Soy - isithako esiyinhloko sokudla kwezilwane.
Ikusasa likafulawa we-soya ngeledlule lakhula lisuka ku- $ 278.80 ngo-Ephreli liye ngaphezulu kwama- $ 460 ngethani ngalinye. Esinye isithako sokudla kwezilwane - ummbila.
Isheduli yehluzo yanyanga zonke ye-corn ikhombisa ukunyuka kwamanani kusuka ku- $ 3 ukuze ibhasi ngo-Ephreli kuya phezulu kakhulu kusukela ngoJulayi 2013. Amanani e-Bushel ngesonto eledlule.
Amanani entengo entengo engxenyeni azosheshisa ukunyuka kwamanani entengo yezimpahla uqobo. Abakhiqizi bamaprotheni ezilwane abhekene nokukhuphuka kwamanani okudla, okudlula esikhathini sokufunwa okuphezulu kwe-2021.
2. Ukuqhekeka kwamaketanga okunikeza ngonyaka we-2020 kwaholela ekunciphiseni amasheya
Ngo-2020, ukwehla komsebenzi kanye nokuvalwa kwamafektri acubungula ngenxa yobhubhane lomhlaba wonke kubangele amanani aphansi abafuyi bezilwane kanye namanani aphezulu abathengi. Ngokuvalwa kwamafektri okucubungula kubafuyi bezilwane, izilwane eziningi zanqwabelana. Ngemuva kobunzima bezomnotho abangama-2020 nalapho ebhekene namanani aphezulu okuphakelayo ngo-2021, izinduku zemfuyo, okungenzeka zinciphise imfuyo. Ngasikhathi sinye, amanani aphezulu okuphakelayo azoholela eqinisweni lokuthi izilwane ezisemboni zizohanjiswa kukhuluphele, okuzothinta ukunikezwa kwenyama.Ngokuqala kwenkathi yepikiniki lapho kuphela ngoMeyi nangomgodlweni wehlobo, imigomo izosiza ukudala ukungavikeleki okuhlangene ne-Covid-19. Ehlobo lika-2021, uma kuqhathaniswa ne-2020, kuzoba nemihlangano eminingi emoyeni omusha, amaqembu, ukuhambela ama-kebabs, njll., Okuzokwandisa isidingo senyama. I-Gap Supply Shoof Chains ngo-2020, ukukhuphuka kwamanani entengo yokuphakelayo nokubuyela kokujwayelekile kuye ngezinga elithile empilweni ngokuhamba kwesikhathi kulo nyaka kungadala ukuthambekela okuphelele kwe-weef kanye nengulube.
3. Izitayela zabantu
Ekugcineni, izitayela zabantu zizoqhubeka nokusekela isidingo sazo zonke izimpahla, inyama ngeke ibe yinto ehlukile. Ekuqaleni kwaleli khulu leminyaka, abantu abayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane eziyisithupha baphila emhlabeni. Eminyakeni engamashumi amabili nanye kamuva, i-US Census Bureau ibika ukuthi le nombolo inyuke ngaphezu kwama-28.9% futhi ingu-7.736 billion.
Iningi labantu beplanethi lisebenzisa inyama. I-Demography iyaqhubeka nokwandisa isidingo senyama. Futhi yize ukuthambekela kwentengo eminyakeni eyisithupha edlule kwakunguBerish, wayephikisana namashumi amabili eminyaka edlule.
Isheduli yekota ikhomba ibonisa imodeli yamanani entengo evamile emakethe yezinkomo kusuka ngo-2000 kuya ku-2014. Kusukela lapho, imakethe ibonwe ikakhulukazi ngentengo yokuhlanganiswa.
I-Quarterly ishadi lesikhathi esizayo lezinkomo ezikhuluphele libonisa imodeli efanayo ngentengo ephakeme emaphoyinti okulungiswa.
Eminyakeni eyisithupha edlule, intengo ehlanganisiwe yengulube ibonwe kule minyaka eyisithupha edlule eshadini lekota. Umphumela we-demographics ezimakethe zesikhathi esizayo enyameni eminyakeni engamashumi amabili edlule kwakungukukhanya kakhulu.
Uma ushintsho kumanani entengo yokusanhlamvu luyinkomba, kufanele silinde inani lenkomo yenkomo nengulube, kunalokho kamuva.
Ikusasa lenyama enobungozi linikezwa eChicago Commodity Exchange. Ezinyangeni ezizayo, i-Subndex IParT®® Series B Bloomberg Livestock Subindex Izinyo Lama-Return (NYSE: Cow) kumele alandele intengo yenyama.