Abachasi baseRussia basebenzise inani lika-Alexei Navalny kwaye baqokelelekile kwi-pandemic oonontlalontle babantu ukukhuthaza izinto abanomdla kuzo, utshilo uMongameli weVladimir Spin. Ekuqaleni kukaFebruwari, abaxhasi be-blogger beqela bala ukuqhuba izabelo ezitsha ezingahambelaniyo kwiNtwasahlobo, ukuchaza oku "ukuphoxeka" kwabathathi-nxaxheba. Kwangelo xesha, intloko yenethiwekhi yekomkhulu lengingqi le-LOONID Vlkov yathi iya kuba "ziindlela zomgaqo-nkqubo wangaphandle" ukufuna ukukhutshwa kweNallaliny. Kuthetha ntoni olo tshintsho lokoqobo, kwaye zeziphi izinto ezinokulindeleka kwinkcaso kwixesha elizayo, zihlalutywe intloko yeziko lezopolitiko zoluntu olutsha Vasily Koltashov.
Ukuba kukho isicwangciso esithile se-coup ephambili "yombala" e-US kunye ne-EU kwisithuba se-USSR yangaphambili, emva koko ichaphazela iRussia. Akukho ndawo kwiiRiphabliki zangaphambili zeSoviet, i-odolo emva kweMaidan ayizinzanga, kwaye impembelelo yangaphandle-inikezelwe de kube kukho ukuzimela iRussia. Ke ngoko, ukusilela kumphambili weRussia kubaluleke kakhulu kwiinkokeli zakudala zenkqubo yehlabathi, kwaye olu tshintsho kwinkqubo ye-Eurasia.
Ukusilela kwenkcaso
Ukuma kwi-Alexey Navalny Inemijikelezo yaseNtshona ayinakuthatha isigqibo sokubuyela eRussia ukuba ukusilela nje oko kunokubona kwangaphambili. Abanakuthatha nzima ukuba ibhotwe le-fainel-taiple ukusuka kwifilimu liza kuba likhonkrithi kuphela, apho kungekho zimangalisayo. Nokuba kuncinci, kubonakala ngathi kulindelwe isicwangciso sokuhambisa iphulo lokukhusela amanqanaba aliqela liya kusonjululwa ngokuhla komgangatho ukusuka kwinqanaba ukuya kwinqanaba, kwaye endaweni yokukhwela kuya kubakho ukuncipha. Yiloo nto yenzekileyo. Kodwa kwanokususwa kwe-accents ekugqaliselweni akuzange kuncede.Ngokweziphumo zephulo eliqinileyo, nge-31 kaJanuwari, kumaza eempapasho kwi-radises yenkululeko kunye neblogger kwi-blogger yamapolisa kwaye iRosgvadird ihambile. Ukusuka apha sinokugqiba kwelokuba yonke le nto kukuzama ukutshintsha ugxininiso kwisenzo esingaphumelelanga; Akukho kunyuka kwenani labathathi-nxaxheba alibonakali, kwaye ke, kufanelekile ukuba lilindele uqhankqalazo. Ithemba elinjalo sele lingabonakali. Ke ngoko, uninzi lweendaba ezininzi zasimahla nezeNtshona ziye zaba ngamandla amabini okusebenza kwiimvakalelo, ukubeka ugxininiso kwinani labathathi-nxaxheba, hayi kumxholo wendibano yabo (engaqondakali emva kokuba ivuliwe Ikhonkrithi kuphela), nakwisihloko sobukhulu bodumo.
Ngokwenyani, ubukhali obukhethekileyo abuthethiswa kakhulu: Ngokuchasene nentshukumisa emininzi, amagosa anyanzelisa amagosa anyanzeliswa kwakhona abonakalise ukusebenza ngokuchanekileyo komsebenzi wabo. Kumapolisa afanayo athunyisa ngakumbi. Khange ndiphinde eMoscow ukuphinda impazamo yabalingane bethu baseBelaussia abaze babheja kubugwenxa bokucinezelwa. Ngapha koko, ukucinezelwa koqhanqalazo eRussia kwakungekho. Ifana nale ayisiyombono ye-navalny eluntwini, endaweni yokuba i-cartridges yakhe ingathanda.
Omnye umntu ozibhengeza
Ngenxa yokusilela kwephulo lolwazi, ibhotwe kunye neZibheno Zakhe "kumazwe aMangalisayo", apho abavoti ye-Xix ithatha inxaxheba kwiRussia, kumagqabantshintshi kawonke-wonke wafumana umfanekiso wezikhundla zesizwe. Ke ngoko, inani elikhulu labemi liqaphela luqhanqalazo oluqaliswe yinkcaso yepropati njengezamamela i-iKiaraine (kwaye ayinjalo?). Ukuthetha ngenye indlela, baqonda ukuba amapolisa kunye nogada kuzwelonke njengabakhuseli bemidla kazwelonke kwiimeko xa intshona kunye neesangqa zayo zikufuphi nelizwe zilungiselela i-coup.
Le yayingeyomeko ye-oscillations, eyabonwa eBelarus ekupheleni kwehlobo kwaye kukuwa kwe-2020. Emva koko kuthathe inxaxheba kwabasemagunyeni kunye nentsebenziswano), iphulo lokuvezwa I-Svetlana Tethanov kunye nezinye iinkokeli zePostpepe ye-propati yelizwe hlabazelwa kweNtlalontle inkcaso yabemi ifumene isoyikiso. ERussia, inkcaso yayichaswa kwangoko.
Konke oku kukwathetha ngokwahlulwa kweqela le-Russia, kodwa kuphela yinxalenye yalo ivuma i-neoliberal Propal Propal. Uninzi luhambelana nayo ngaphandle kokuvunywa, kwaye abaninzi bakuyibona ekuhleni kuyimbi kakhulu kuyo.
Ngeendlela ezininzi, isiphumo sobuchwephesha besigadi "ngesidima" kunye nokuntywiliselwa ngo-2020 ngo-2020 kwintshabalalo engaphezulu, ngelixa eRashiya kukho utshintsho oluqhubela phambili. Bayakhathalela ukuphatha kwezoqoqosho, umgaqo-nkqubo wentlalontle, kunye nokucocwa kancinci kwenkqubo yolawulo lwemeko evela kubasebenzi be-neoliberal. Okokugqibela, umda obalulekileyo wawokwamkelwa kwezilungiso kuMgaqo-siseko. Iinjongo zekomkhulu laseRussia kwinkcaso yenkululeko "" kuba iRussia ibonakala ngathi ayihlalutywanga.
Ukukhusela okungalunganga
Kule meko, iNavalny ayinakukwazi ukubala kwisigqibo esinenzuzo. Emva kokubanjwa kwakhe kwisikhululo seenqwelomoya, wayenokukholelwa kwisithembiso somzabalazo esamsithembisa, kwaye mhlawumbi ukukhululwa ngokukhawuleza. Kodwa ngoFebruwari yayilixesha lokuba iingcinga ezahlukeneyo ezahlukileyo zaphefumlelwa ngokusilela kwephulo.Ekupheleni kwenkundla, uninzi lwababukeli babenemvakalelo yokuba uAlexei Naalfalny waphulukaniswa ngokuthe ngqo ngaphambi kokulalelwa esibhedlele eRussia, imigaqo yemeko yemeko egwetyiweyo. Le yayiyinxalenye yesicwangciso esikhulu (mhlawumbi kude kuye] ngokwakhe), eguqukayo nge-fiasco. Ngenxa yoko, njengamagqwetha kwaye kuthenjiwe, kwenzeka - ngenxa yokuba waphula ixesha lokuvavanywa kwaye wenza ngokucwangcisiweyo, isigqibo senkundla ngenene sasinengqondo. U-Naalny kula mabango, i-FSIIN ayikwazanga ukuphendula ngokubonakalayo, kwaye enkundleni ayizange ikhusele esi sikhundla. Ewe, wayengabalulekanga kuye kwezopolitiko. Enye into kukuba lo mdlalo wezopolitiko uye wafumana ilize: Iziphumo zange basebenze, kwaye kuvela iingxaki.
Okubangela umdla kukuba, ipolitiki yezopolitiko yeBlogger-ikhutshelwe ngaphandle kombuzo wesizathu sokungaphumeleli ukuvela ekulaleni kwaye ukongeza kwiJamani. Kwiintetho zangaphambili, uNaalny wathi "ukwaphulwa" kwakhe kwakufanele ukuba kwimeko yokuba wayekwimo yokungazi nto eJamani. Nangona kunjalo, i-Navalny Fsin ngexesha elingahlali lenzekile. Kwakhona, kwaphuma, kukho into ethile ukubheja kumdlalo kwaye umdlalo uphilile ngokwaneleyo, ukungafihlisi okusemthethweni akunandaba. Kodwa kulo mdlalo kwakungekho luhlalutyo lwangoku, yonke into yayinamandla kwaye ngokwesiphumo - isidenge. I-Naalny iya kunyanzeleka ukuba ibonakalise kwiinyanga ezizayo. Ngokucacileyo, ipolitiki kunye neekhatriji zayo azizange ziqonde ingcinga yokuphuhliswa kwenkqubo yentlalo kwiRussia; Babengenalo olunye uluncedo lolwazi lwempumelelo, kodwa into esisiseko.
Jonga yonke into enye
Ixesha liza kuxela. Mhlawumbi, uNavalny uqikelela ukuba i-nebid yabantu abaninzi kwisibongozo sakhe esitratweni asikokuphuma phambi kokukhala, kodwa kwazi isigqibo. Isenzo. Ukuba uyayiqonda, uya kuyiqonda into ebekulilize ukudlala ikamva lakhe. Emva kwayo yonke loo nto, uyazi ukuba izizathu zokungaphumeleli, kwaye oku kukuphulwa oku-7 phambi kokunyangwa ngo-2020, wayengenaso. Uyazi ukuba le meko ye-FSIn 60 kwiminyaka engaphambili yokupheliswa ngokuvakalayo yayiyinxalenye yomdlalo. Kwaye akukho shishini litsha ngokuchasene ne-naalliny. Onke amandulo, kwaye kuphela iodolo yokufumana isohlwayo solwaphulo-mthetho kwezoqoqosho.
Nangona kunjalo, kukho into onokucinga ngayo. Ukusilela kwephulo lokuqhankqalaza kweenguqu zenkcazelo yenkululeko kwisithuba se-Eurasia. Emva kwayo yonke loo nto, ngoku zonke iinkqubo kumdlalo omkhulu wehlabathi zinokujika kwelinye icala elichaseneyo.
Oku kuya kuthetha ukuba ayikokuthi i-posise ye-maidanov, kwaye i-onsonce "yombala" ziindlela ze-nealiti ze-neoliberal. Ukusebenza kokubonisa "ukuguqula kuka-Geditions" kunokonyuka kwisampulu yaseUkraine. Kodwa apha isitshixo sisifundo, esikulungele ukuqhuba abasemagunyeni bezo okanye ezinye izihlandlo zeposi.
ISIQINISEKISO SOKUSUKA KUSUFRIA
Ebusweni bemfazwe yamakhaya eUkraine, ngo-2014, abanye abahlalutyi balumkisa: Ukuba iRussia inika i-United States kunye ne-EU ukuba ithathe eli lizwe liphantsi kolawulo lwayo, emva koko ukuthunyelwa kwe "Rhwengqwa" kwamanye amazwe azinakuphepheka. Kwakusengqiqweni ukulindela eMoscow. Idabi elingaphandle laseRussia lifanele ukuba langaphakathi, kuba enye yangaphandle yayiyindawo kuphela. Ukungathathi cala, kwakufanele ukuba sesohlwayo kunye ne-belarus, eyathi ngo-2020 ifunyenwe iqhutywa kwiKidan yangaphandle. Apha inkxaso yaseMoscow ayimvumeleli ukuba aphumelele, kodwa ayizange ikhusele iRussia kwilinge le nkululeko ye-pro-pro-pro-pro-pro-proning.
Iziganeko zenziwe ukuba imvakalomandla apho ipolitiki ibingafuni ukuqonda. Nangona kunjalo, ukuvuselelwa kwe-Navalny Campania ekuqaleni kuka-2021 eRussia kwaba nemiphumo yalo. Eyona nto iphambili kukusilela ngokupheleleyo kweMadan eRussia, apho ubunzima bexeshana balile ukuxhasa abantu abachasayo - iNtshona. Ayikho kwaphela ukufumana isibonelelo sokuqhankqalaza, iphuculwe nguMshicileli waseNtshona, kunye nokubonakala kwiNkundla "yezeMbali" kwi-Bulk Addloats ezininzi. Okokugqibela, ibutho laseRussia laliqonda le nto njengoko babethanda kakhulu entshona
I-Ril "Esona sichotho induli", inkqubo ye-American yaseMelika (U-Oligarkey, obalaseleyo kwidemokhrasi) kunye noqoqosho oluyimpumelelo (ezikhutshwe kwimodeli yemakethi yasimahla) - yonke le nto yavela ukuba ngamabhodlo. Ke ngoko, xa abaxhasi "beguquko lemibala" baye bakhuthaza ngakumbi ekuboniseni "amazwe aqhelekileyo" njengesampulu yaseRussia, isebenze ngokuchasene nabo. Abemi bebengenayo kwaye bengakwazanga ukuxhasa izabelo ezibhengezwe yikomkhulu le-AGOSHY. I-Mamadan yaphumelela. Ukuwa ngengozi. Isenzeka ngenxa yotshintsho lwentlalo-ntriotic oqale eRussia kwiminyaka yakutshanje.
Ngapha koko, isicwangciso se-Madan sangcwatywa ekugqibeleni ngexesha lokuthatha izilungiso kuMgaqo-siseko, kodwa abaququzeleli nabaququzeleli bakhe baqatshelwa. Akukho lula ukuba enze izigqibo kwaye zibuyele phambili.
Oku kunye kunokuchazwa njengentshukumo engafaniyo: kumazwe apho amandla anenkululeko yenkqubo ye-pro-pro-pro-pro-Ntshona (eyafikayo kwaye ngenxa ye-coups), baya kuphulukana namandla. Inkcaso ngokunxulumene nemigaqo-nkqubo yabo iya komeleza kwaye ithethe ngokucacileyo, ive enye indlela yezobupolitika yaseRussia kunye nokukhulisa ukudityaniswa kwe-Eurasia. Ngokungathandabuzekiyo, siza kubona intlekele yezopolitiko eUkraine, njengoko eyona gunya liphambili ingaphumelelanga yenzeka e-Eurasia - inkcaso yePro-inkcaso yaseRussia yafika kwi-bias. Oku kutshintsha ulungelelwaniso lwemikhosi, ngengqondo yokuba inkampu "ye-provons" iyaqhubeka ibeka buthathaka. Uphose izixhobo ezinkulu edabini zokulala kwemeko eRussia, kwaye azizange zifezekise nto.
I-Vasly Koltashov, intloko yeziko lezopolitiko zophando zoqoqosho lwezopolitiko zoluntu olutsha