Usamirire iyo inflation inowedzera mumamiriro ezvinhu asina kusimba ehupfumi kukura

Anonim

Investors zvakanyanya kunetseka kukura kweiyo makore gumi nematanhatu ekuzorora-kunyangwe inflation (chiratidzo chiratidzo cheInflationary tarisiro). Kwete chete kuti akakunda mucherechedzo we2%, akaisawo mazuva mashoma pane ino nhanho. Mukufananidza gohwo rekubereka kwehukama hwehurumende; Mukurukuri ane arpical, akapiwa zviwanikwa zvakawanda kuti hafu yegore rekutanga richaorema kwazvo kune hupfumi hweUS.

Nekudaro, zvese zvinoita kunge inflation inosara pasi pekutonga. Vashoma vevatori vechikamu vegore repafura yepafura yepafura yaBarron inoratidzwa nezve nyaya iyi - zvirinani mucherechedzo wegore rinouya.

Isu takamirira hafu yezana remazita akaora mwoyo?

Kana iri iyo Federal Reserve System, imwe chete "Super-hawk" inomiririrwa neMutungamiri weGondo yeKansas George inflation, iyo inochengeterwa iyo ichave yekudzoka kwevashandi vebasa rebasa kuti mabasa avo muhafu yechipiri yegore.

Presorarary purofesa weLondon Chikoro cheEconomics Meghnad desai kunyange kufanoona hafu yezana remazita ekuderera. Panguva imwecheteyo, anobvuma kuti prognosis yakadaro inosiyaniswa zvakanyanya pane imwe nyika.

Mukufunga kwake, shanduko dzehupfumi dzakadzinga zvakanyanya paradigm. Chikwereti chebasa sepesenti yeGDP (purofesa Desai enzanisa nehova zvakanyanya pane chiyero chechikwereti cheGDP) chakaderera, kunyangwe kuwedzera kwakasimba muhurumende kukwereta.

MaAmerican echikwereti emabhizimusi ari kunyanya kunetseka nezve inflation, uye zvaive pachena chimwe chezvinhu zvinopa mukukura kwesangano. Chinhu chinotonyanya kukosha muongorori vanoongorora chirongwa ichi kuti vamunde idzva US Administration ne1,9 trillion madhora. Vhiki rino, Joseph Biden ichave ichisheedzera seMutungamiri weUnited 46 yeUnited States, uye akatoisa zvirongwa zvake kukunda mhedzisiro yekubatira, 19, kusanganisira kushandisa mari yakakura.

Usamirire iyo inflation inowedzera mumamiriro ezvinhu asina kusimba ehupfumi kukura 990_1
Bhero regumi-gore US hurumende

Chikumbiro chehurumende gumi-makore chakawedzera kubva kune mashoma ekutanga kwegore ne 0.9% kune iyo peak pamusoro pemucherechedzo we1,13% (kunyangwe ikadonha pazasi 1.09% pakutengeserana kwekupedzisira). Iyo goho regumi nemakore makumi matatu dzakawedzerwa dzinenge makumi maviri zvinhu zvezvinhu uye zvave kusvika 1.84% (asi zvakare haina kubatirira pamusoro).

Vamwe vaongorori vakasimudza fungidziro yavo kwegore, vachireva kuti pakupera kwegore goho remakore gumi nemakore gumi rinosvika 1.5%.

Kuwedzera kukwereta kunodzora mutengo wezvisungo, uye kupihwa chokwadi chekuti kudzikisira kuri pachena kune mutengo, vaongorori vakataura kukura kwechiratidzo. Chimwezve chitupa chinhu chinogona kuve chinoshanda hupfumi kupesana nemamiriro ekudzivirira uye basa.

Nekudaro, panguva ino, kushandira kuri kufambira mberi zvisina kufanira, sekutarisirwa, uye kusasimba macroityatistics kunorambidza kutengeswa kwezvinhu zvepfuma (uye, zvakaringana, kukura kwekubatsira). Nekuda kweizvozvo, vamwe vaisimisa vakasarudza kutora mukana wenguva uye kusamirira kukura kwekubatsira.

Vhiki rapfuura, vagari vemari vakatevera vanhu vehurumende gumi vane makore gumi nematanhatu emadhora mazana maviri emadhora, uye vakazotarisa pane 19 mabhiriyoni emabhiriyoni emabhiriyoni emadhora. Vhiki rino, musika uchapihwa pepa remakore makumi maviri emadhora zviuru makumi maviri nemana.

Iye zvino vatori vechikamu vanotarisira kuita kwevatorwa vekunze (kunyanya kubva kuJapan). Iyo Yen yakasimbiswa yakananga kumadhora, uye mutengo wekuputika wakawa. United States inoratidza kuti zvisingawanzo kuitika munguva yedu zvakanaka zvinobatsira. Asi pane kunzwa kuti vagari veJapan vanoda kudzoka zvishoma, uye zvino vanonyadziswa.

Panguva imwecheteyo, vashandi vakadyiswa vakaramba mukana wekuti "Calibration" yemitambo yekudzora (i.e., kuderedza kudzikinha kwezvinhu) gore rino, raive nekuwedzera kudzvinyirira.

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