PaVayevha weGore Nyowani, itsika kuvaka hurongwa hwemwedzi gumi nemaviri inotevera. Nhasi, pamwe chete nemuongorori QBF, oleg bogdanov, isu tinopa kugovera zvakakosha, zvakakosha maitiro epasi uye rurnational musika we2021 uye fungisisa pane izvo zvinobatsira kubheja izvozvi.
Kugadzirira kwekufanorongerwa inyaya yakaoma uye isingaongi. Rangarira nezvazvo, munaDecember wokupedzisira 2019, hapana munhu aigona kufunga kuti nyika yaizoenderana nezvinhu zvechizi. Nekudaro, isu tinogona kufonera zviitiko izvozvo izvo zvinoona masimba emusika wemasheya munguva pfupi iri kutevera.
Tiri kutaura nezvezvinhu zvepadenga remamiriro ezvinhu uye zvisarudzo zveJoe Bayden seMutungamiri weUnited States, izvo zvinoenderana nemufananidzo wemaopolitical
PANEMIC uye PASI PASI Ehupfumi Kukura mitengo
Musi waZvita 27, 2020, zviuru makumi manomwe nezvinorehwa zveCoronavirus zvakanyoreswa munyika. Zviripachena, kuwanda-19 kucharamba kuchikomberedza makondinendi mashanu epasi redu uye muna 2021. Vamiriri veEuropean Commission vanoratidza kuti kupararira kwechirwere kuchatorwa mukutonga chete pakupera kwegore rinotevera.MunaDecember 2020, masheya emasheya akatenderwa akapindura nhau dzeiyo "Britain" Strongvirus, iyo inotambanudza nekukurumidza kupfuura zvaimbozivikanwa maAnalogs. Iye zvino muLondon inounzwa rakaoma kukiya. Nhamba dzinoverengeka dzeEurope, Russia uye China yakafunga kusimuka kwenguva pfupi vimbiso neGreat Britain.
Zvakangodaro, chivakwa chegore rinobuda rwakaratidza kuti musika wekudyara unogara ramangwana: Pakati peiyo yechipiri mafungu eCotonavirus, kuchengetedzwa index yakamhanyisa kuSalimita
Maitiro ekudzoreredza hupfumi hwenyika harizoshanduka. Zvakaringana kutaura kuti mumusangano waDecember weDen, iyo USA yakavandudza kufanotaura kweGDP Dynamics ye2020: Inotarisirwa kuti mwedzi gumi nembiri yapfuura ne2,4%, kunyangwe munaGunyana yakafungidzirwa kuti Kuderera kweGDP kwe2020 ichave 3.6%. Zvemakumi maviri nemakumi maviri nenomwe, iyo yeAmerican Regulator inofanotaura kukura kwehupfumi hweAmerican mu42% (yaimbova yakanaka masimba akafungidzirwa pa4%).
Vamiriri veEuropean Central Bank inotarisirwa kudzoreredza hupfumi mugore rinouya. Sachigaro weECB christine Lagerde akataura kuti kuderera kweEurozone GDP muna 2020 kunogona kusvika pa2021 iyo Inonditoring yaizowedzera na 5.2%, uye muna 2022 kumhanya kweEurozone Economy kuchave 3.3%.
Mukubudiswa kwebhangi reRussia, rakaburitswa pamhedzisiro yegore rekupedzisira mugore rinobuda mumusangano musi waDecember 18, rinoti muna 2020, kuderera kweGDP yenyika yedu kuchasvika 4%. Vamiriri veMutungamiriri vanotarisira kukura kwakasimba muchirimo che2021.
Chii chichava chirongwa chemabhangi epakati?
Vatungamiriri venzvimbo dzekutanga kwenyika dzinotungamira vanoziva kuti kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi hakugone kunyatsoziva, saka vanoparidza kukosha kwekuchengetedza musangano wakapfava uye chirongwa chehuwandu hwemakore ekutanga kwemakore anouya.
Iyo US Federal Reserve haina kuronga kusimudza chiyero chakakosha kusvika pakupera kwe2023. Mwedzi wekutenga midziyo mune huwandu hwemadhora mazana masere emadhora uye madhora makumi mana emabhiriyoni emapepa emapuranga akagadzirirwa kuenderera mberi asati adzikamisa mamiriro ehupfumi.
Pamusangano wekupedzisira, iyo European Central Bank inowedzera iyo EU's Scurity Ruregerero Ruregerero ne 500 Billion Euro - ikozvino yakazara vhoriyamu yakasvika 1.85 trillion ma ecos. Chirongwa ichi chichava chinoshanda kusvika pakupera kwaMarch 2022, kunyangwe zvaiitirwa pakutanga kuchidonha pakupera kwaJune 2021
Iyo bhangi reRussia yave mune yakaoma mamiriro ezvinhu - mikana yayo yekuderedza chikwereti uye mari yemari yakanyanya kuganhurirwa nekuda kweiyo chiitiko chechiitiko. Maererano nekufungidzira kwekutanga kweiyo central bank, iyo nhanho yekukura kwemitengo yemutengi muna 2020 ichasvika 4.6-4.9%. Kana mugore rinouya, zvinhu zvekungwarira zvicharamba zviripo pamusoro pekuvhunduka, zvinokwanisika kuti mutungamiriri weinenge kwenguva yakati rebei anofanira kurera kiyi.
Zvisungo uye Currency Musika
MunaDecember, kubereka pane gumi-gore chikwereti zvikwereti kwaswedera 1%. Parizvino, iyo Fomc haizogadzirisike purogiramu yeQE, iyo nzira yekuderedza zvisungo zvakareba zvatanga kuita, uye kubatsira kwavo kune mukana wese wekushandura pa1%.Iko kushanda kweRussia yeRussia kunoenderana nemweya weiyo yakakosha mwero. Zvino mararamiro ehutachiona anotarisirwa kuti bhangi reRussia richakurumidza kuenderera mberi nekusimbisa kwechikwereti uye mari yemari. Kurera mitengo pa25-50 yezvinhu zvinhu hazvigone kukanganisa mari yekuzvisunga kwenguva refu, asi kushanda kwekuchengetedza kwenguva pfupi yekuita kunogona kukura.
Simba remari dzegore rinouya richaona zvinhu zvegadziriro yemamiriro epadenga, maitiro emafuta emusika, pamwe nekurongeka kweiyo sanction mutemo wekurwisa Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation Federation
Kudzoreredzwa kwemitengo yemafuta kunogona kutungamira mukusimbiswa kwemwedzi - kwemwedzi yakati wandei, mari yemumba inogona kusimuka mumutengo kusvika pamakumi manomwe emadhora. Kana, muhafu yekutanga yegore rinouya, huwandu hwekuwedzera kwehutachiona hwehutachiona huchave hwakakwira, uye iyo US SANGANO YEMAHARA YAKAITWA YEJEE Bayide Zone pamusoro makumi masere runguzi yeAmerican Dollar.
Mukureba kwenguva yakareba, mitezo yepasi rose inoongororwa seyakazvidzivirira icharamba ichisimbisa hurongwa, saka investment yakaverengerwa kwemakore akati wandei, zvinokurudzirwa kuisa mumadhora kana ma euros. Pfupi-inzvimbo dzekudyara mumari idzi dzine njodzi, sezvazviri, zvakanyanya, muna 2021, kuwedzera kujairika kuchapfuurira mumisika.
Trends Stock Musika
Pakati pevashandi vepamoyo, kufarira muRussia kugoverwa uye kuchengetedzwa kuchingokura kunongopesana nemamiriro ekudzora mari yekudzikisira kwemabhangi. Muna 2020, kuhukura muchiitiko kwakaonekwa mumusika wedu - kubva muna Ndira kusvika kuZuva reGore rinobuda, Mamiriyoni emamiriyoni emamiriyoni aripo kubva muzana Mugore rinouya, kuhukura kwevanoita mari pamusika wemasheya kunowedzera chete.
Iyo yekumhanyisa kosi muna 2021 ichatsanangurwa zvakare nezvimiro zvepadenga remamiriro ezvinhu. Kana chiyero chekuparadzirwa kwehutachiona hachiregere, zvichikura misika, kusanganisira Russian, ichakurumidza kupfuura kukudziridzwa. Iyo inokurumidza stock yeaya mabhizinesi anokanganisika munguva yeLokdanun inogona kuwedzera iyo SUPID SEMID. Patova munaNovember-Zvita 2020, kudzoreredzwa kwematare ekuchengetedzwa kwemabhizimusi emasisitiri kwakatanga, pamwe nemakambani anodzika uye makambani emigodhi.
Quotes of the main Bellofiaries yePanemic - World Commical - Nyika Yemisheni Mucherechedzo - Inosangana muna 2021 padanho rakakwirira
Kuzvininipisa zvakakwana mugore rinouya kuchave nemasimba emigove, ayo anofungidzirwa kunge anodzivirira, senge simba emagetsi emagetsi nemakambani emafrembociyations. Ivo vachachengeta kutsigirwa kwekudyara kwekudyara portfolio nekuda kwekugovera migove, asi havazokwanisi kuve nechokwadi chekubereka zvakakwirira.
Nenjodzi, iwe unofanirwa kuita kubheja pane vatori vechikamu veganho rekufambisa - mhedzisiro yeRussia Varidzi veRussia havazopfuedzane muna 2021: Ivo vachauya kudenderedzwa risati rasvika mumakore mashoma.
World Energy Market uye Simbi Inokosha
Iwo masimba emisika yemidziyo inozoona kukura kweiyo nzira dzepadenga. Kana mumwedzi unouya kushandira kwemwedzi uchakubvumidza iwe kuti utore huwandu hwekukura uye indasitiri ichatanga kupora, inogona kutarisirwa kuti musika unomuka kushomeka kwezvinhu zveimba. Zvingangoitika kuti pakupera kwegore rinouya, iyo vhoriyamu yemafuta ichadzoserwa kune iyo nhanho yemamiriyoni gumi emamirioni pazuva (iyi ndiyo data yekare 2019).
Kudzoreredzwa kwechikumbiro kuchave iko kwekuwedzera kwekuwedzera kwemafuta quotes uye, dzokorora mamiriro echibvumirano che odec + munzira yekuwedzera kumhanya kwemafuta kugadzirwa kwemafuta
Maererano nenyanzvi dzakawanda, muna 2021, mutengo we "Goridhe" ichave iri muhari yakafara kubva pamadhora makumi mana kusvika makumi matanhatu pamubhedha. Muchikamu chekutanga che2021, mune chiitiko chekuchengetedza chirwere chakaomarara mamiriro ezvinhu, mitengo yesimba inogona kururamisa kwenguva pfupi, asi oscillation yakakosha, sechitubu chegore rinobuda, tinogona kudzivisa.
Goridhe isimbi inodzivirira, saka mutengo waro uri kukura panguva dzekusimba kwakanyanya. Iyo nhoroondo yenhoroondo yakawanda yeiyo joemless yesimbi remangwana yakasvika zhizha regore rinobuda - Nyamavhuvhu 7, 2.068 madhora akapihwa. Zvino kusvika pakupera kwaNovember, iyo mutengo wegoridhe yakadzikira - Mbudzi 30, kutengesa kwakavharwa nemhedzisiro iri pasi pemadhora 1.780 pa ounce. MunaDecember 2020, musimba akanaka aimbova humwe hunhu - musi wa25 Zvita, mutengo wakadarika madhora 1,880 per ounce.
Kana muna 2021 tichazotarisa kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi, vanoisa mari vachadzikisa zvishoma nezvishoma chikamu chekuremedza zvishandiso mumapfupi, zvichiteerana, kudikanwa kwemasimbi anokosha uye mutengo wavo kunogona kukwanisa kusimba zvine mwero. Nekudaro, panguva yekusagadzikana kwegoridhe yegoridhe, nhoroondo maximiya inogona zvakare kugadzirisa.
Mukufamba kwenguva, ndarama ichakura. Izvo zvinokwanisika kuti muganho wa2000 madhora paOunce muna 2021 zvichasara zvakare kumashure: Quotes dzinogona kutsauka muCorridor kubva 2000 kusvika kumadhora mazana maviri nemakumi maviri nemashanu
Kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi kubva pamhedzisiro yechiitiko chakatotanga, asi hazvizomboitika, zvakanyimwa nguva yechokwadi yekukura. Mugore rinouya, hazviiti kudzivirira nguva dzekuderera uye kusagadzikana, asi zvichiratidza zvinhu zvakaoma, ini ndinopa zano vanoisa mari kuti ndirangarire kuti chero dambudziko mumusika wemasheya unounza nemikana mitsva. Zviitiko zvichatanga sei munyika uye indasitiri yekudyara mudzimba icharatidza nguva.
Oleg Bogdanov,
Inotungamira muAngororo QBF.