Makore matatu chete apfuura, World Gdp Yakakura ne3% gore pagore, asi mitengo yemhangura yakadzikira neinopfuura makumi maviri muzana. Copper inowanzodaidzwa kuti "Chiremba ndarira" nekuda kwekuti mune hunhu hwekuda kwesimbi iyi iwe unogona kuongorora chero "chirwere" chehupfumi hwehupfumi. Asi ipapo pakanga paine chirwere chekusawirirana pakati pemhangura uye hupfumi.
Iye zvino mitengo yemhangura inoitwa padyo nekurekodha tsika, nepo hupfumi hwenyika hunotsvaga kuzvisunungura kubva pamhedzisiro yeCoronavirus. Kusawirirana kuchiri kuchengetedzwa.
Asi panguva ino misika iri kufara nekuda kwekufanotaura kunodzorerwa nenyika kubva kudenda nekukurumidza. Saka, "Chiremba Copper" anoruramisa kugona kwake kufanotaura kuwedzera kukura kwehupfumi.
Musi weMuvhuro, kekutanga mumakore mapfumbamwe apfuura, mitengo yemari yemhangura nemwedzi mitatu paLondon Metric Ton Kuwedzera kwazvino kwemitengo kunoenderana nechokwadi chekuti vanoisa mari vanotenda kuti matambudziko acho ane kuwanikwa kwemhangura achakurisa kubva kumashure kwekudzoreredzwa kwenyika kubva pane dengic.
Pakusiyana kweNew York Commodity exchanges Comnecese inogona kushaya ramangwana rekuwanikwa kwemhangura kusvika $ 4,22 per pound. Iyi ndiyo kukosha kwepamusoro mushure mekumusoro kweAugust 2011, apo Copper Chinoita $ 4,50. Kusimuka kwazvino mumutengo wendarira kunosanganisirwa netarisiro yeiyo phukusi yekukurudzirwa kwemari yakakodzera madhora mazana mapfumbamwe nemakumi mapfumbamwe
Kurega, inflation kana kusungunuka?
Kureurka ndeyekuita kwemari kana mari yemari yakanangana nekuwedzera kugadzirwa, kunomutsa mitengo uye kukunda mhedzisiro yekudzoreredza. Kazhinji kuramba kunoitika mushure menguva yekusagadzikana kwehupfumi kana kuderera.Dzimwe nguva, kuremekedza kunonzi zvakare chikamu chekutanga chekupora kwehupfumi mushure mekuderedzwa kwayo. Panguva dzakadai, dhora rinowanzo kuderera, richitsamwisa kuwedzera kwakapinza mumitengo yemidziyo, iyo inozivikanwa pasi pezwi rekuti "reflation kutengesa".
Vamwe vanoongorora vanofanotaura kuti kudzvanywa kwehupfumi hweAmerican hakuzove chinhu chinopfuura inflation yekare iyo ichasanganisira zvakare "muGashoni" mushure megore rekusuwa. Mamwe ezvehupfumi anotofanotaura kuti kusimuka kuchamuka - kusanganiswa kwenhoroondo dzakasimba kwazvo nehuremu hwakanyanya hwekusashanda uye kudedera simbe.
Chero zvazvingaitika, kufanotaura kwekufungidzira kunoti kudikanwa kweiyo ndirairi kuchaenda kudenga.
Copper kune madhora zviuru gumi pane London Metal Change uye $ 5 paBechix
Specialist Citigroup Max Leight
"Mumwedzi inotevera, zvakawanda zvezvinhu zvinodhaka zvichatamba zvechokwadi. Naizvozvo, isu tinofungidzira kuti munguva pfupi inotevera mitengo yemhangura ichasvika madhora zviuru gumi. "
Graphs yakapihwa sk dixit charting
Sekureva kweSunl Kumar Dixit Dixit Charts . Dixit anotenda:
"Pamitengo yechiUchefoni yeCopper akapfuura mazinga ekuramba e $ 3.30, $ 3.80 uye $ 4,10 sebanga rinopisa rinopfuudza kuburikidza nemafuta. Dynamics yazvino inoratidza kuti ndarira iri kugadzirira kukurira huwandu hwa2011, hwakatariswa pa $ 4,63. Kana izvi zvikaitika, zvinokwanisika, "nzombe" dzinogona kudzikama, uye ipapo ndarira ichave yemhangura pane zvirongwa. "
Kana ari ehunyanzvi ehunyanzvi pamhapu yemhoro paBopper, rsices indekisi yezuva, RSI) Nzombe yehando.
Nekudaro, anonyevera kuti mhepo inopfuura yerwendo inogona kuchinja, kunyange isiri kureba:
"Kune rimwe divi, zuva rekupedzisa zuva uye vhiki nevhiki vanofanirwa kutariswa pazasi pechiratidzo chekutanga kwekugoverwa kwemutengo uye kururamisa, izvo zvichaita kuti mitengo yemhangura ichadzikira nevhiki-vhiki uye makumi mashanu -wek Exponential inofambisa avhareji pamadhora matatu emadhora, 76 uye $ 3.68, zvichiteerana. "
Mafungu okuda anomutsa mitengo yezvakawanda zvigadzirwa
Asi mitengo iri kukura kwete kungori ndarira chete. Mitengo dzinenge pazvinhu zvese zvemafuta - kubva pamafuta kusvika kune goridhe, kubva sirivheri kuenda kuchibage - Rose tidal wave inokonzerwa nekuyerera kwemari yakachipa. Vagadziri vemari vari kutsvaga purofiti yakakwira apo pakati pemabhangi epasi rese ramba reter rekodhi yakaderera mari kuti udzore kupora kubva kuCavid-19.Panyaya yemhangura, rally inoenderera kwenguva yakareba.
Copper inowanzoonekwa sechiratidzo chemamiriro ezvinhu ari muhupfumi hwenyika. Uye simbi iyi iri kuramba ichingopfurwa kunge isina kumira kwegore zvakanyanya kutenda kune mukuru mutengi - China. Nyika ino yakatanga kupora kubva kuLokdunov Chand-19 Pasati pasati pasikwa nyika.
Zvisinei, mumakore gumi apfuura, musiyano pakati pemitengo yemhangura uye kukura kwehupfumi kwakazove kwakakura kwazvo zvekuti vasina mhosva vanongotaura nezve "chiremba mhangura" vanogona kudaidza mubvunzo kuti: "Chiremba uyo?"
Pasinei nedambudziko rezvemari ra2008-2009, nyika Gdp yakawedzera. Iyo cumulative gdp kukura kwenguva inosvika 2000-2009 yaive 29%, inoenderana nekuwedzera kwegore negore 2.9%.
Kana iwe ukaienzanisa nemitengo yemhangura, panguva yaJanuary 2000, yakatanga kuUmx neChiitiko che $ 0.86 paPound uye wapedza $ 3.33 munaDecember 2009. Uku kuwanda kunotyisa kwemutengo ne 287%. Zviripachena, mhangura panguva ino hazvina kuratidza mamiriro ezvinhu muhupfumi, aive kunze kwekukura kwehupfumi.
Zvakare kubva kune tsvina muMuchinda?
Chakavanzika chemhangura muna 2000-2009 haina kugadziriswa kwemakore gumi anotevera.
Kukura kweGDP mumakore gumi anotevera hakuna kuchinja chaizvo, kukurudzira kune yakakosha kukosha kwe30% yenguva kubva 2010 kusvika 2019 (avhareji ye3% gore rimwe nerimwe). Zvisinei, ndarira akaenda kune imwe nzira.
PaBeche, Mitengo yeDevex yakatanga ne $ 3.33 Per pound muna Ndira 2010 uye yapedza pane kukosha kwe $ 2.83 Per pound munaDecember 2019. Nekudaro, mutengo wendarira panguva ino yakaderedzwa ne15%.
Vanoongorora mitengo yemitengo iyi vanotenda kuti mitengo yemhangura inowanzo kudzorwa nekuda kwekunetseka kwekukura kwehupfumi, izvo zvisingambosvika. Zvakare, kudiwa uye mutengo wakapesvedzera hondo yakanyanya kutengeserana yeTrump manejimendi neChina, iyo iri kunze kwekunze kwesimbi iri munyika.
Chero zvazvingaitika, mumakumi maviri emakore, mhangura, sesimbi hombe yeindashini yenyika, yakanyura mumachinda mune tsvina.
Achadzokera kumashure here?
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