Iyo bhangi reRussia yakaratidza musika wekutsunga kwayo uye kwenguva yekutanga kubvira 2018 yakasimudza iyo yakakosha kubheja - ne 0.25 muzana mapoinzi. kusvika ku4,5% pagore. 27 Pamakapindiridzi 28 anoongorora vaongorori vakamirira kutarisirwa kiyi, asi kuyambuka inflation iri pamusoro pekutarisirwa, kudzoreredzwa kwekunyepedzera uye kuchengetedzwa kwengozi kwakamanikidza bhangi repakati pekutanga kutanga kusarerekera kwemari yemari.
Vitimes akabvunza nyanzvi kuti aongorore sarudzo yeiyo central bank.
Yaroslav Lisovolik, musoro weSbercib Investness Ratsotsvaga: Iyo Central Bank Yakanyevera
Kuwedzera Key Rates inotaridzika zvine musoro mumamiriro ezvinhu epamusoro inflation uye kumwe kusimuka kwevatauri mune chaiyo chikamu chehupfumi. Bhangi repakati rakanyatso kutaurwa rakanyatso kujekesa huwandu hwekuwedzera chiyero chakakosha mugore razvino, uye kuwedzera kwakakosha mwero wakaratidzwa zvakanyanya mumusika wekutora kwemisika. Isu tinotenda kuti tichiramba vachichengetedza njodzi uye kuora kwemashure ekunze, mutungamiriri anogona kuramba achiwedzera iyo kiyi yekota.
Chief Peoppomist Alpha Bank Natalia Orlova: Central Bank yakaitwa kune mamiriro ari mumusika wekunze wekunze
Bhangi repakati rakapindurwa nedanho rakadaro pane mamiriro ari mumusika wekunze kuchinjanisa - iyo central bank of the nyika dzichiri kusimukira (Brazil, Turkey) yakasimudzwa mitengo, renheroric yakadzoka. Hondo yakaoma kwazvo yebhangi repakati rinowedzera mukana wekuwedzera muyero pamisangano yepedyo. Izvi zviri kutaura zvakare nezve fungidziro yebhangi repakati, kuti muchinangwa mune 4% inflation ichadzoka chete muhafu yekutanga ye2022.
Sergey Rominkuuk, musoro webasa mune yemari uye yemari yemasikati yeMagallinInvankank: Intrigue yaive chete apo yaizoigadzira
Chisarudzo cheCentral Bank chakakonzera nguva yekuwedzera kusimbiswa kweiyo rubu, asi hazvigoneke kutumidza zita rakakosha. Kwenguva yakati, ndakanzwisisa kuti bhangi repakati raizofanira kusimudza chiyero, kushamisika kwaingova kwaizozviita - kumusangano wekuFranka kana Kubvumbi.
Ini handifunge kuti mangwanani makanga mune chero ruzha rweruzivo, kunzwa kuti kubheja kunogona kuwedzera neChishanu iyi, vakaonekwa zuro, vachitevera kukura kwemubhadharo uye yeZ rekutarwa. Uyezve, vhiki ino inosimudza yakakwidzwa Brazil neTurkey Central Banks. Uye, mukuwedzera, bloombberg yakashuma kuwedzera kwehuwandu hwechiyero cheRussia Central bank pakutanga kwevhiki, izvi zvakare zvakakurudzira mafungiro uye akagadzirira musika.
Sezvo sarudzo yebhangi yepakati yakanga yatoiswa muzvikamu zveShezhesero dzeFOZ nezvifukidzo, ndinofunga kuti mune svikiro chiitiko ichi chakakanganiswa nekosi uye hazvo kutungamira mukusimbisa kwekutara.
Chief Muongorori Songkombank Mikhail Vasil Vasil VasiV: Central Bank inoramba ichimutsa kudiwa uye inflation
Bhangi reRussia rinotarisirwa kutarisirwa kusimbiswa kwemari yemari kuti iwane inflation uye akapa chiratidzo nezvekugadzirira kuti uenderere mberi nekudzosera kumashure kweshoko re5-6%, kusanganisira pamisangano yepedyo.
Isu tinotenda kuti gore rino bhangi repakati rinowedzera kiyi bheji pa25 bp, isu tinotarisira 5% pakupera kwegore. Muzviitiko zvekutanga, isu tinotarisira kuti gore rinouya, kusimbiswa kwemari kunopfuurira uye huwandu hwakakosha huchasvikira pamusoro pe2023 padanho re6%.
Mumamiriro ezvinhu eanenge akabatwa kubva kudenda, iyo central bank inochengetedza rutsigiro rwehuwandu hwakazara nemari nzira. Iyo kiyi chiyero chakasara pasi peyakagwinya denderedzwa, izvo zvinoratidza kufungidzira kwekunyepedzera uye inflation yemari yemari.
Chinhu chakakosha mukusagadzikana chinoramba chiri chirongwa cheUS manejimendi nezveRussia. Muchiitiko chakakodzera, isu hatitarisiri kutarisisa kuti kuiswa kwetsva kutsvenyana, asi bhangi repakati rinofanira kunge rakagadzirira kupindura kana kuora kwehukama hwehukama neUnited States rinobatsira kuderedza njodzi dze capital kubuda.
Dmitry Dumpkin, Chief PeopTomist Inga muRussia uye Cis: Izvi zvinoitwa nekukura zvine njodzi
Bhangi repakati rakafunga kupindura kune njodzi dzichangobva kuitika mune njodzi, kunyanya zvine chekuita nemisika yepasi rose, marongero ekunze uye angangoita kufambiswa kwezvinhu zvebonde Kuwedzeredza kwekutaura kunosanganisira mukana wepamusoro wezvezve maratidziro ari pedyo nekutsigira misangano yaApril naChikunguru. Mune ino kesi, kuwedzera kwakakura hakusati kuri pachena. Zvichienderana neyekutarisirwa inflation, iyo chaiyo kiyi yave anenge 0,7%, iyo yakakwira kupfuura iyo avhalogs uye padyo neyekutanga kwe1-2%, umo bhangi repakati rinotarisira kuti riuye.
Alexander Isakov, Chief Poolomist "VTB Capital" muRussia uye Cis: Enzanisa kubva 2018
Isu takatarisira kuti bhodhi revatungamiriri vevakuru vebhangi repakati richatevera maCactics Of 2018 - kuti uwedzere kiyi bheji nematanho mu 25 bp. Nemambokisi kumusangano usati wadzoka wekudzoka kune iyo chinangwa mwedzi pamwedzi. Aya kuverenga akataura kuti chisarudzo chekutanga chinowedzera chingave chaApril, asi kutenderera kwekusimudzira kwakatanga izvozvi. Isu tinoramba tichitarisira kuwedzera kwe50 bp. Mune yakazara ye2021, pasi pekufungidzira kuti maratidziro azvino ekunzwa akagadziriswa kusvika pakupera kwekota yechipiri. Ngozi yeiyi fungidziro ndeyekuti inflation ichave interness is is in in in in 2018, njodzi huru mumitengo yepasi rese.