Kuongorora kwemisika yemari

Anonim

Sarudzo dziri muUnited States dzakapfuudza, huwandu hwekudzoreredza zvinopesana nekukwikwidza kwekukuvara kwatokukuvara, zvinoita sekunge zvakaipa. Asi Bideno chaizvo haadi kuuya panguva yekudzora kusimuka kwehupfumi - mubvunzo wehuwandu hwezvematongerwo enyika kazhinji, uye ipapo vachazvifunga nezvemhedzisiro yacho.

Mutungamiri achangobva kusarudzwa weUnited States ("Hatigoni kumirira") akakumbira imwe trillion $ 1.9 kubva kuCongress kurwisa nedenda. Ehe, maka misika yakamedza nhau iyi nemufaro, inosara mune zvekunyudzwa nhoroondo.

Technically S & P 500 pamusoro peiyi kiyi yemunharaunda Mako 3828.

Zvakare inoramba ichivandudza matsva nhoroondo uye tekinoroji index. Nenzira yehunyanzvi - kukura kutsva kukurudzira mushure mekuchengetwa kwakanaka kwetsigiro yemuno yekutsigira 13 312.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_2
Ustec.

Zvakakosha kucherechedza nguva inonakidza yakadai kuti yakawedzera kutariswa inofanirwa kuratidzwa: kutanga pazvirevo pamusoro pekukurudzira kutsva kana kuiswa kwavo, dhora rakadonha. Pano tinoona kuti dhora reYen inowana imwe chiyero mudunhu re103.7.

Ehezve, nezve chero shanduko kutaura zvakanyatsoitika, uye kuedza kutora kunoita hutsinye. Asi chatove chokwadi chekuti kutengesa kuri kuedza kutenga - inonyanya kukosha pfungwa. Kiyi yeiyo nguva refu maitiro inoramba iri mutengo wakafanana padanho re104.6.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_3
USD / JPY.

Iyo euro kune dhora zvakare yakatenda pasi rese kwemavhiki akati wandei mune yebhandi sheet. Minus yeEurope, hongu, kushoma kwakafanana kwekuwedzera. Uye iye zvino mubvunzo unomuka: Ndezvipi zviremera zveEurope zvakagadzirira kuenda? Panguva ino, pfungwa isina kusimba inochengeterwa pasi rose panzvimbo yemvura, uye munharaunda - "nemvumo" rutsigiro na1,216.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_4
EUR / USD.

Zvakare, imwe yekuwedzera STIMULUS package haina kudonha nemafuta, uko kwehunyanzvi mushure mekuputswa kwehunyanzvi 52.70 uye nekukwira kusingakwanisi kukwira pamusoro pechiratidzo ichi kwevatengi, pakanga paine mufananidzo usina kunaka.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_5
Wti

Panyaya yegoridhe yetema, iyo nyaya dzedenda uye basa rehupfumi dzakatonga, uye zvakanyanya kunyatsotarisa kukura kweChina - imwe yevatengi vakakura vexgy engineering.

Vhiki rino izuva rinokosha - Chitatu. Svondo rapfuura takaona zvisarudzo zvisina kuchinjika pamitero yekufarira muJapan, Canada, iyo EU. Zvino ngano dzinosvika kuUnited States. Ehe, hazvibviri kumirira chimwe chinhu chisingatarisirwi. 0.25%, kazhinji ingangodaro, ichasiya chirongwa chekunyengedza chinoenderera mberi, asi, semazuva ese, kutariswa kwese kwemusangano wekudhinda wekudyara.

Nguva zhinji ichave inokurudzira uye kukura? Uchibvumira inflation. Uye matambudziko muhupfumi, ndinotya, kutambanudza kwatove kure nemwedzi mumwe, ndichimanikidza mutungamiriri kuti ave "akapfava."

Musi weChina ipapo ichave inoburitswa yekota manhamba eGDP - tsika inotarisirwa kusvika 4.2%. Asi, kutaura chokwadi, idzi data dzakatobatanidzwa mumutengo, uye zvirinani ism Pmi inoverenga. Chete vamwe vakasarudzika vakasimba nefungidziro vanogona kukonzera maitiro emusika wemusika kune ichi chiratidzo.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_6
US GDP data

Pakupera kweVhiki yeUS kuburitsa mari yemari uye mari yekubhadhara, pamwe neyekutarisira inflationary, iyo ichiripo tsika yavo yakaderera inobvumidzwa kurera tarisiro. Nhau dzekutanga dzekutya dzinobhururuka nekuwedzera kukosha pamusoro 3%.

Kuongorora kwemisika yemari 19607_7
Data yakakosha pane usa

Victor MemEV, Vemari Muongorori Gerchik & Co

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