Vapikisi veRussia vakashandisa mufananidzo weAlexei Navery uye vakaunganidzwa pane zvekufungidzira zvevanhu kusimudzira zvavanotarisana navo, vakati Russian President Vladimir Putin. Mukutanga kwaFebruary, vatsigiri veiyo blogger blogger vakaramba kuitisa migove nyowani, vachitsanangura izvi nengozi ye "kushungurudzika kwenyika" kwevatori vechikamu. Panguva imwecheteyo, musoro weseti wetiwekoreti weDunhu Holkov Volkov Volkov Volkov Volkov vakataura kuti ingave "nzira dzekunze dzebumbiro" dzekutsvaga kuburitswa kweNavy. Shanduko yakadaro zvinoreva chii, uye zvii zvinogona kutarisirwa kubva pakupikiswa mune ramangwana, kuongorora musoro wenzvimbo yehupfumi hwezvematongerwo enyika hwekutsvagisa kwenhoroondo itsva vasily koltashov.
Kana paine chimwe chirongwa che "ruvara" ruvara "muUS neEU munzvimbo yeaimbova USSR, zvino zvanetsa Russia. Pese papi mune yaimbova Soviet Republics, kurongeka mushure mekunge Maidan isiriyo, uye pesvedzero yekunze - yakapihwa kusvikira paine yakazvimirira Russia. Naizvozvo, kukundikana kwepamberi yeRussia kwakanyanya kukosha kwevatungamiriri vekare kwesangano repasi rose, uye shanduko iyi mukuita kweMerasia.
Kutadza kwekutadza kwekupikiswa
Kumira Alexey Navely Influential Western Circles yaisatora sarudzo yekudzoka kuRussia kana kukundikana kwakadaro kwaigona kufanoona. Ivo vaisakwanisa kufungidzira kuti imba yekutandarira kubva mufirimu ingangove iri kongiri chete, ipo pasina zvishamiso. Kunyangwe zvishoma, ivo sezviri pachena vakatarisira chirongwa chekuendesa mushandirapamwe wemapuranga mumatanho akati wandei achaputirwa nekubatana kwaro kubva padanho, uye panzvimbo pekukwira kuchave nekuderera. Izvi zvakaitika. Asi kunyangwe kudzingwa kwemazwi mukukasira hakuna kubatsira.Maererano nemhedzisiro yemushandirwi isinganzwisisike, muna Ndira 31, mafungu ezvinyorwa muRebieral Press uye blogger pane kuomarara kwemapurisa uye rosgvadirti yaenda. Kubva pano tinogona kugumisa kuti izvi zvese kuyedza kuchinja kutarisisa nekutarisa zvisina kubudirira. Hapana kuwanda kwevanhu vevatori vechikamu hakuna kuoneka, uye saka, zvaive zvakakodzera kutarisira kuratidzira. Tarisiro yakadaro yave kupfuura pachena. Saka, vazhinji venhau vakasununguka uye kumadokero vava simba rakapetwa kuti vashande pamanzwiro, vasingaverengeki paungano, kwete pazvinhu zvegungano ravo (kwete kunzwisisa kwazvo mushure mekunge vaita kuti Firy-Tarle Palace chete kongiri), uye pane iyo musoro wechiitiko chekuvharirwa.
Chaizvoizvo, kuomarara kwakakosha hakuna kukwanisa kutaurwa zvakanyanya: zvinopesana nekutsamwiswa kwakawanda, vatariri vekuzvidzivirira emutemo vakaratidza zvakare kuita kwakakodzera kwebasa ravo. MuMumwe mapurisa eUS anoita zvakanyanya zvakanyanya zvakanyanya. Ini handina kudzokorora muMoscow kuti ndidzorere chikanganiso chevashandi vedu veBelarussia vakabheja mukugadzikana kwekumanikidzwa kwekunetswa. Muchokwadi, kudzvinyirirwa kwekuratidzira muRussia kwaisava. Zvakafanana neiyi hakusi kwekufunga kweNaValny munharaunda, pane kuti iya yemabhokisi ake angade.
Mumwe munhu anozvizivisa anozvizivisa
Nekuda kwekutadza kweshanduro yeruzivo, nemuzudenga uye nekuda kwekukwirira kwake ku "nyika dzakabudirira", kwaiwanzoita masarudzo idzva ", suma zviratidzo zvitsva zveRussia, mune yeruzhinji fungidziro yakasununguka akawana mufananidzo wevatengesi wenyika. Naizvozvo, nhamba huru yevatendi yakanzwisiswa kuratidzira yakatangwa neiyo pro-Western kupikiswa sekuedza kudzokorora maidheni veUkraine (uye hazvina kudaro here?). Kutaura zvakasiyana, ivo vakaziva mapurisa neNational Guard sevapomeri vezvivakwa zvenyika mumamiriro ekuMadokero uye madenderedzwa ake epedyo munyika ikagadzirira coup colup.
Iyi yakanga isiri iyo mamiriro e oscolation, iyo yaionekwa muBelarus pakupera kwezhizha uye nekudonha kwezhizha kune Russia (kuramba kupokana uye kuwedzera kushandira pamwe), mushandirapamwe wekuratidzira Svetlana Tikhanov uye vamwe vatungamiriri vePuppet vePro-Western National Liberal Kupikiswa kuVanhu veVagari vakaziva kutyisidzira. MuRussia, kupikiswa kwaive kushorwa nokushora.
Izvi zvese zvinotaurawo nezveboka reRussia nzanga, asi chikamu chidiki chete chichitendera muEdoberal Pro-Western Party. Vazhinji vanoenderana nazvo pasina mvumo, uye vazhinji vanozviona pachena kuti kuvenga mazviri.
Munzira dzakawanda, mhedzisiro yekuchinja "kweUkraine kwekukudzwa" uye kunyudzwa kwayo muna 2020 muna 2020, iko kutokuparadzwa, nepo muRussia kwakave nekuchinja kunofambira mberi. Ivo vanonetsekana manejimendi ehupfumi, tsika yemagariro, pamwe nekucheneswa zvishoma nezvishoma kweiyo manejimendi system kubva kuna Neoliberal vashandi. Pakupedzisira, muganho unokosha waiitwa kuora kwebumbiro. Zvinangwa zvemahofisi yeRussia ezvekupokana kwerusununguko "ye "Russia vanoita kunge vasina kuongorora zvachose.
Dziviriro Yakashata Navalny
Mumamiriro ezvinhu aya, NAVELEN AKAITWA PASHURE PAMUSORO PENYAYA DZESVONDO. Mushure mekusungwa kwake kuairport, angangodaro achiri kutenda muchivimbiso wekurwira akavimbisa, uye pamwe nekukasira. Asi munaFebruary yaive nguva yemifungo miviri yakazara yakafuridzirwa nekutadza kwemushandirapamwe.Pakupera kwedare, vazhinji vanoona vakanzwa kuti Alexei Naveny akatyorwa zvakananga pamberi pechipatara muRussia, mitemo yekune simba. Izvi zvaive pachena chikamu chehurongwa hombe (pamwe kure kure naye), izvo zvinoshandiswa fiasco. Nekuda kweizvozvo, semagweta uye zvakaitika, zvaitika - nekuti akaputsa nguva yekuyedzwa uye akaita zvekutongwa, dare redare panguva iyoyo yaive chaiyo pano. Navhani pane izvi zvataurwa, Fsin haina kukwanisa kupindura zvine chinangwa, uye kudare haina kudzivirira chinzvimbo ichi. Ehe, akange asina kukosha kwaari kwezvematongerwo enyika. Chimwe chinhu ndechekuti mutambo uyu wezvematongerwo enyika wakazova pasina: Mhedzisiro yacho haina kushanda, uye matambudziko akamuka.
Sezvineiwo, kudzivirira kweblogger-zvematongerwo enyika kwakanyatsobuda mumubvunzo wechikonzero chekutadza kuoneka pakurapwa uye kuwedzera pakugara kwake kuGermany. Mukutaura kwekutanga, Navalny akataura kuti "kutyora" kwaifanirwa kunge kuri kufungidzira muchokwadi kuti aive muchimiro chisingazivi kuGermany. Nekudaro, Navalny Fsin panguva isiri yekugara haina kukonzeresa. Zvekare, zvakabuda, chimwe chinhu chaive kubheja kwake mumutambo uye mutambo wacho wacho wakakwana, zvakaringana zvekumusoro-nyoro hazvinei nacho. Asi mumutambo uyu pakanga pasina ongororo iripo, zvese zvaive zvakanaka uye zvinoenderana nemhedzisiro - benzi. Iyo NAVELY inogona kumanikidzwa kufunga mumwedzi inouya mwedzi. Zviripachena, vezvematongerwo enyika uye mapato emabhokisi ayo haana kunzwisisa pfungwa yekuvandudzwa kwesangano rezvemagariro muRussia; Vakanga vasina chero imwe ruzivo ruzivo rwekubudirira, asi chimwe chinhu chakakosha.
Tarisa uone zvese zvikasadaro
Nguva ichataura. Zvichida, Navalny fungidzira kuti ibed yevanhurume maererano nekukwidza kwake mumugwagwa hakusi kungoita usati wachema, asi chisarudzo chekuziva. Chiito ichi. Kana akazvinzwisisa, achanzwisisa izvo zvaive zvisina basa kutamba mugumo. Kupfuura zvese, anoziva izvo zvikonzero zvekutadza, uye izvi ndizvo zvinomwe kutyorwa pamberi pechipatara muna 2020, aive asina. Anoziva kuti aya maFS 6 makumi matanhatu ekutyorwa mumakore apfuura ekupomera kwemamiriro ezvinhu aivapowo chikamu chemutambo. Uye hapana bhizinesi idzva kupesana neNavhani. Yese yekare, uye chete kurongeka kwekushandira chirango cheupfumi hunochinja.
Nekudaro, pane chimwe chinhu chekufunga nezvezororo. Kukundikana kweiyo kuratidzira kwekupokana kwekupokana kwerusununguko kunoshanduka munzvimbo yeUaurasian. Mushure mezvose, ikozvino maitiro ese mumutambo mukuru wepasi rese anogona kutendeuka munzira yakatarisana.
Izvi zvinoreva kuti kwete kutanga kweiyo Maidanov, uye kurwiswa kwe "ruvara" vari pro-Western Neoliberral Modes. Kubudirira kwekuratidzira kwe "shanduko ye" mutsva "inogonawo kuwedzera mumuenzaniso weUkraine. Asi pano kiyi ndiyo nzira, iyo yakagadzirira kuita zviremera zveavo kana imwe post-soviet nyika.
Mhedzisiro yakakosha yeEurasia
Pakati pehondo yevagari muUkraine, muna 2014, vamwe vaongorori vakanyeverwa: Kana Russia ichipa nyika dzakabatana, kuti kuendesa nyika ino pasi pekutonga kwayo, saka kuendesa kwe "kudzokorora kwe" kune dzimwe nzira "mune dzimwe nyika hazvigoneke. Zvaive zvine musoro kutarisira muMoscow. Hondo yekunze yeRussia inofanira kunge iri yemukati, nekuti iyo yekunze yaive chete nenzvimbo. Kusapindira mune zvematongerwo enyika, kwaifanirwa kutambudzika uye Belarus, iyo muna 2020 yakagamuchirwa kubva kunze kwemurandakadzi. Pano kutsigirwa kweMoscow hakuna kumutendera kuhwina, asi hazvina kuponesa Russia kubva pakuedza kwePro-Western Liberals-kupikiswa kuronga kubatwa kwesimba.
Zviitiko zvakaita kujekesa uko kune vezvematongerwo enyika vaisada kunzwisisa. Nekudaro, kushamwaridzana kweiyo Navalny Campania pakutanga kwe2021 muRussia yaive nemhedzisiro yayo. Chinhu chikuru ndechekukundikana kwakawanda kwaMaidan muRussia, uko huwandu hwevanhu vazhinji vakaramba kutsigira vanopikisa-kumadokero. Hazvisi zvachose kuti ubatsirwe nehurongwa hwekuratidzira, hwakavandudzwa neyekumavirazuva hwekumadokero, pamwe nekuonekwa kwe "nhoroondo" yeDare rakawanda remukuru wedzinza revatorwa. Pakupedzisira, nzanga yeRussia yakanzwisisa izvi kwete zvachose sezvavaida kumadokero
Iyo imbove ichipenya "chimvuramabwe pachikomo", gadziriro yeAmerican yesimba (oligarchy, inozvibata pachezvake pamusoro pedofuma) uye hupfumi hwakabudirira (izvi zvese izvi zvakazova matongo. Naizvozvo, kana vatsigiri ve "ruvara rwekuchinja" rave kushanda zvakanyanya mukunongedzera ku "nyika dzakajairika" semuenzaniso weRussia, zvakavashandira. Vagari vaive vasina uye vakatadza kutsigira migove yakaziviswa neanotonga tsokahwe. Maidan akundikana. Kudonha nekuparara. Zvakaitikawo nekuda kwekuchinja kwenzvimbo-yemagariro kwakatanga muRussia mumakore achangopfuura.
Kutaura zvazviri, chirongwa chemabaiwa chakavigwa panguva yekugadzirisa bumbiro, asi varanda vaifarira kusatarisirwa. Ivo havanyatsotsanangudza mhedzisiro uye kubva kune mberi.
Izvi zvakare zvinogona kurondedzerwa seyekufamba-famba. Munyika umo simba riri pro-Western National liberals (iyo yakauya kune masimba uye semhedzisiro yemimba) yesimba, ivo vacharasikirwa nesimba iri. Kupikiswa kwakaringana nemitemo yavo kuchasimbisa uye kutaura zvakajeka, vachiona imwe nzira mune zvematongerwo enyika yeRussia uye nekudzora eurasian kubatanidzwa. Pasina mubvunzo, isu tichaona dambudziko rezvematongerwo enyika muUkraine, semurume mukuru asina kubudirira akaitika muEurasia - A Pro-Western Shortaition muRussia akauya kuFiasco. Izvi zvinoshandura kuwiriranwa kwemasimba, mupfungwa yekuti musasa we "ruvara kumukira" kuri kuwedzera kushaya simba. Akakanda zviwanikwa muhombe muhondo yemamiriro ezvinhu muRussia, uye haana kuzadzisa chero chinhu.
Vasilly koltashov, musoro wenzvimbo yezvematongerwo enyika yekutsvagisa Institute yenhoroondo nyowani