"Hatisati tambobuda mudambudziko rapfuura": Nyanzvi Msu Natalia Zubarevich yakaratidza hupfumi hweorgani. ""

Anonim

Pamhepo ye "Yekutanga Dunhu TV Channl", purofesa weDhipatimendi rehupfumi neSocial Geographical University, Natalia Zoubarevich University iye. Nyanzvi yakatungamira manhamba inonakidza uye chokwadi chinonyatsoratidza zvese zvakaitika kuna Regio. "Orlov Nhau" dzakagadzirirwa kudzokorora. Isu tinopa kuti tijaira nazvo:

"Wanga uri vaviri vamiriri vepakati uye vakaramba. Izvo hazvina kuchinja chaizvo. Kana tiri kutaura nezve dambudziko rekutarisira, hatigone kutaura nezvazvo, nekuti hatina kubuda mumatambudziko enguva yakapfuura, iyo yakatanga munaDecember 2014, yaipedziswa muna 2015, 2016, uye neimwe nzira zvishoma nezvishoma yakatanga kuchera muna 2017. Chii chatisati tambobuda? Kudyara hakuna kuwanikwa pamberi peKovi, maapuro ehuwandu haana kudzoreredzwa uye kushandiswa kwacho hakuna kudzoreredzwa. Uyezvezve coronavirus, wakakiiwa. Tine nhamba dzechikamu chechina che2020, uye tinoona icho chikamu chimwe chete chehupfumi hwakasvika padanho rekutanga - indasitiri yekugadzira. Kunyange iyo imwe indasitiri, kana kupwanya kana kuwana mari yevagari vemo kwakabuda kunze kwekuderera muna 2020. Vachifunga kuti vakawira pasi, uye nekuwedzera kwaKovi, hatizobude patsotsi nekukurumidza. Isu tinonzwisisa zvakajeka kuti kudzoreredzwa kwehupfumi kunoenda nekukurumidza kupfuura kudzoreredzwa kwemari, nekuti hapana hunhu hunosarudzika neizvi. Asi dambudziko chairo rinogona kunge rakatengwa muna 2022. Kutenda kuhupfumi hwehupfumi, iyo iri munzvimbo (iyo Pese paRussia yakawira kugadzirwa uye auto Indasitiri, hapana mudhara (5% (uye maindasitiri akagadziriswa akawanda se8% ).

Izvo zvinoitika mune yekudyara chikamu - kwandiri chakavanzika chikuru. Nekuti dambudziko ra25-2016 rakanga rasimba zvakakwana, uye nekupera kwa199, Russia haina kana kusvika padanho re 2013 (minus 3%), uye mu oryel nharaunda - kuwedzera 6% yenguva ino. Dambudziko rinotevera riri Cape. 4% maererano nemhedzisiro yemakota matatu, uye iyo oryel nharaunda - kuwedzera 5%. Ndine mubvunzo: Ndivanaani vaine mari yako vatsigire dunhu, uye haana kuwa apo nyika yese yairwadzazve. (Iye anoenderana anoyeuka iyo Miratga kuenda kuDunhu). Usaenderere mberi - izwi rekuti "Mamirg" anondiudza zvakawanda nezve.

Enderera mberi. Iwe wanga uine kuderera kwemvura mune imwe nguva yapfuura dzimba. Asi iwe wakaputa nekuita kwakanaka kwazvo na2015. Muna 2019, yakapwanywa nechitatu. Uye gore rino iwe une nyaya yekunhuhwirira - kukura kwedzimba yekuisa mari ndeye 1.5 times. Chokwadi, nzira yemamita yakachinja - uye zvino dzimba dzeNyika dzinotariswa nedzimba dzemazhizha, izvi zviyero zvishoma zvakarongeka.

Ko nezve masevhisi ebasa? Eagle haisi guta rakakura rakadaro kune dzimwe misoro yematunhu, uye zvimwe haisi nzvimbo yakakura yebasa. Asi kuderera kwakaitika muna 2020 seavhareji yenyika. Mukutengeserana, vanhu vakatevera, vakatanga kutenga zvishoma. Chinhu chimwe chete icho pamusoro pemufananidzo uye pamasevhisi ekubhadhara. Asi zvakakosha kuti unzwisise kuti izvi zvakare zvakare mabasa. Kana hupfumi hwacho husina kupora, uye harina kupora muchikamu chebasa, zvinoreva kuti zvakawedzera kuwana basa ipapo, kunyanya hujaya.

Chii chandingataure nezve musika wevashandi? Ngatitangei nenyaya yekuti ini ndiri kunetseka kwazvo nezve - iwe une kuderedzwa kwakasimba muhuwandu hwevanhu vanoshandirwa mumabhizinesi madiki uye epakati pamberi pese papi koreda. Kunyangwe pamberi penzvimbo, huwandu hwevanhu vanoshandirwa musi hwakadzikira ne 17%, uye ne3 quarter 2020 - chimwe chiuru chimwe chete. Pane maitiro ekuenderera mberi ekumanikidza huwandu hwevanhu vanoshandirwa mukutsvaira. Panogona kuve nezvikonzero zvakawanda. Iyi haisi mamiriro ekunze akanaka kwazvo, pamwe kudikanwa kudiki kwemasevhisi. Nenzira yakanaka, mugore remusi raive rakakosha kuti tirege kupinda, asi tiregerere mitero. Asi aya haasi masimba ako. Pakange paine kuwedzera uye kusaperera basa. Izvi zvinoreva kuti mamiriro ari pamisangano yakakura uye yepakati haina kuvandudzwa. Kushaikwa kwemabasa munyika kwakamuka 5.5 times. Munzvimbo ye oryel, kukura kwacho kwainge kuchiri kuderera zvishoma. Asi nyaya yacho yakanga yakaoma.

Munzvimbo ye oryel, yavo yemitero yemitero panguva yekufamba kwenguva yakawa ne8%. Uye zvinoitika kuti matunhu - wepakati pevaridzi, avo vane mari yavo yavo, katsi yakatemwa, kwete zvakanyanya. Hapana mbudzi - uye haugone kutengesa. Asi muna 2020, rubatsiro kubva kuFederal Center matunhu akawedzera ne 58% (1.2 trillion rubles). Uye saka, sezvakabatsira gore rino - mune zvinotevera hazvibatsire. Usanyepedzera. Uye usakanganwa kuti muchimiro ichi, mari yakanaka kwazvo yakagoverwa hutano. Asi isu ngatinzwisisei kuti ndiani uye sei? Mwero wevatsigiro weiyo oryel nharaunda mumakore akasiyana ndeye 32-38%. Kusarudzika kutaura, 2/3 - its, 1/3 - Chinjana. Kana iwe ukatarisa mumatunhu, saka matunhu ezvemafuta uye egi anotsigira nzvimbo yehurumende haina kumbovhara kurasikirwa. Uye zvakadiniko nedunhu re oryel? Iwe hauna kurasikirwa nemari musi waNdira-Mbudzi 2020, uye kuenderera mberi kuendesa kwauri Docouked - 6.4 mabhiriyoni anobuda. Saizvozvo, nedzimwe matunhu edenderedzwa redunhu rehurumende, izvo zvanga zvisiri kurasikirwa nemari yemari. Uye hazvigoneke kutsanangura iyo sarudzo yekugadzira sarudzo mukuwedzera kugoverwa kwekushandurwa. Iyo mwero wekugezera bhajeti yekuchengetedza mune oryel nharaunda imwe yeiyo yakaderera pakati. Pazasi chete Ivanovo dunhu. Iwe une mari shoma kwazvo, iwe une bhajeti diki kwazvo. Asi iwe wakakubatsira iwe muCarm. Uye ikozvino ngatitarisei mari yekushandisa. Nzvimbo dzese + 16%, oryel nharaunda + 19%. Iwe une simba rakawedzera simba. Iyo mikuru mitengo - pane yehutano yekutarisira, zvakare yakaedza kushandisa dzimwe nzvimbo dzematunhu, masevhisi makuru edzimba neyenziviso, apo izvo zvinodzikira mabhajeti, zvichidzora mutengo wekuvandudza, izvo yakanaka, mune dambudziko, kwete pakutanga. Zvese zvimwe - seavhareji yenyika. Asi chii chinoguma? Iwe wapedza gore mukusasa. Ehe, kwete kushomeka kwehena - 3.5%. Kwete kufa. Asi iwe uye saka basa raunganidzwa - 10% kukura. Uye mune iyi mutoro yakakwira kwazvo, chikamu chezvikwereti zvemabhangi ekutengeserana. Kubuda - makumbo anotambanudza pane zvipfeko. Izvi zvinoreva kuti apo gore reKutambudzika, iwe unofanirwa kutarisa zvakanyatsonaka pane zvese zvinodhura.

Kubva kune yako yekuchengetedza yako yekudzora isu tichaenda pamusoro pegore kana maviri. Uye kubva pakureba kwenguva yakareba umo isu tichagara - ini handizive kana tobuda. Uye zvino wechipiri unondiremera zvikuru kupfuura wekutanga. Uye pano iwe unoda iwo mutemo wemutambo kuti uchinje: kwete bhizinesi rekurwara, gonesa maitiro, kupa vanhu mukana wekufamba kwekufamba. Hazvisi nyore, asi mitemo yemutambo inogona kuchinjwa, uye iyo huru iyo inogadza iyo mamiriro ezvinhu ".

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