3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021

Anonim

Kunyanya kune mari.com.

Pakutanga kwa2021, mutengo wemombe uye nyama yenguruve inoramba yakaderera. Chikonzero 1. Soybeans anopiwa chiratidzo. Chikonzero 2. Iko kupararira kwemaketani ekugovera muna 2020 kwakatungamira pakudzora masheya. Chikonzero 3. maitiro ehuwandu.

Muchikamu chekupedzisira cha2020, chikamu chedziyo cheiyo mwero wemasikati chakarongedzwa nekukura kwakanaka, nekuwanda kusvika 19%. Mitengo yeSobeans, chibage negorosi yakazosvika kumakore matanhatu. Kubva pane ruzivo rwehunyanzvi hwekuona, izvo zvinhu zvinodyiswa nenyika, zvakaputswa.

Zviyo ndicho chinhu chinodiwa chekudya kwevanhu, asi ivo zvakare vanofudza uye mhuka dzinowira mumafekitori ekugadzirisa kana kwematafura ekudya kwemanheru. Kugadzirwa kwemombe uye nyama yenguruve kunoenderana nekudya, iyo inosanganisira zviyo nemafuta.

Muna 2020, misika yemhuka mapuroteni akatarisana nematambudziko asina kumboitika. Vagadziri uye matombo emhuka akatambura nemitengo yakaderera yakaudzwa pamisika yemberi. Vatengi - Myathers vakaungana nedzoreruka: Mitengo yakakura, uye zvinhu zvave zvishoma.

Gore rapfuura uye vagadziri, uye vatengi vemombe uye nyama yenguruve vane ruzivo rwehupfumi. Panguva ino, mhedzisiro yeshungu ingangoenderera ichiramba ichikanganisa mutengo wemombe uye nyama yenguruve uye muna 2021. Kana iwe ukatarisa pane maitiro emitengo pamisika yezviyo, tinogona kuona kukosha kwakakosha mumitengo yeruregerero remangwana mumwedzi inouya.

Musi weChipiri, Ndira 12, Dhipatimendi reUS rorima rakaburitsa musi wa2021 pane kufanotaura kwekukohwa uye kugadzirwa kwezvigadzirwa zvekurima nepamapurazi epurazi. Mushure mekubuda kwake, mitengo yemhemberero yakamhanyisa.

Mukutanga 2021, mutengo wemombe uye nyama yenguruve inoramba yakaderera

Mitengo yemombe uye nyama yenguruve haina kupona yakadaro kutora sepamhepo. Ndira inguva yekubviswa-mwaka wekuda nyama. Pakati pegore, iyo peturu yemwaka ndiyo nguva kubva munaMay kusvika munaGunyana - iyo Picnic Mwaka kana nyama yacho fry - kana kudyiwa kwemapuroteni emhuka kunowedzera.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_1
Mhuru - Yemwedzi Peji ye 2011-2021.

Tsime. Zvese graphictic zvakapihwa cqg

Pamari yemwedzi yemwedzi yemwedzi yematare emombe, tsika inobereka inoonekwa, kubva muna 2014, ine nzvimbo yepamusoro ye $ 1,71975 per pound. Pamitengo yemitengo yerarama, yakakwira kumusoro uye pasi, iyo yekupedzisira yepasi poded yaApril 2020, mutengo waive 81.45 per pound. Iko kudzikisira kwehunyanzvi kunowira pamusoro pepamusoro kwaJanuary 2020 uye kwakaenzana ne $ 1,2755 per pound. Iko kufamba pamusoro apa nhanho kuchareva kupedzwa kwemakore ane makore matanhatu okukura mumusika wepazamu. Pakupera kwevhiki rapfuura, kusarudzika kwemberi zvibvumirano zvezvipfuyo zvehupenyu zvaive zvakaderera pane $ 1.13.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_2
Zvipfuyo zvine musoro - pamwedzi purogiramu ye 2011-2021.

Hurongwa hwemwedzi hwomwedzi hwamambo hwekunakisa mombe dzinoratidza kuti dzasvika padanho repamusoro re $ 2.4480 muna 2014. Kuwira muna Kubvumbi 2020 Kubva ipapo, mutengo wemombe pakunaka wapora, asi kupedza maitiro ane hutsinye anoonekwa kubva muna 2014, zvinodikanwa kuti tiwedzere kumazera e $ 1.4640 uye $ 1.4940. Musi waJanuary 15, ramangwana riri pedyo nemombe dzakakora dzakatengeswa pazasi pe $ 1.35.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_3
Nguruve - Mwedzi wega wega Chirongwa che 2011-2021.

Sechirongwa chemari pamwedzi chezvirongwa zvechirongwa, pamutengo wepazasi makumi manomwe emasenti pane pound, tsvina yemuridzi, peturu yakadzorerwa mushure mechikamu pazasi pemakore gumi nemasere makakonzerwa munaApril. Kuti upedze nguva yekumanikidza kwehunyanzvi mune remangwana remangwana, zvinodikanwa kuti zviwedzere makore makumi masere kusvika makumi masere neshanu. Chishanu chapfuura, chinorambidzwa pork chakavharwa chete pamusoro pemasendi makumi matanhatu nemasere.

Pane zvikonzero zvitatu zvinoita kuti nditende kuti mitengo yemombe uye nyama yenguruve mugore ra2021 richarambana.

1. Soybeans kupa chiratidzo

Kana kurwiswa kwemhuka, iyo mikuru mitengo iri yekudya. Kubva pakati pa2020, mitengo yekudyira mhuka yakabva kudenga kuenda kudenga.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_4
Soybeans - Mwedzi wega wega Chirongwa che 2011-2021.

Chati yamwedzi yeSoybeans inoratidza kuti mutengo weiyi tsika yemafuta akura kubva ku $ 8,0825 yebhasi muna Kubvumbi 2020 kusvika kune anopfuura $ 14 pakupera kwevhiki rapfuura. Mukutanga kwaJanuary, Soya aitengesa zvakanyanya kubva pakakwirira kubva muna June 2014. Soy - iyo huru ingano yekudyira mhuka.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_5
SOY Feed - Mwedzi wega wega Chirongwa che 2011-2021.

Rurumende yeSoy Flour vhiki rapfuura svondo rakapfuura kubva ku $ 278.80 muApril kusvika kune anopfuura $ 460 pa toni. Imwe chinhu chinopihwa chemhuka chikafu - chibage.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_6
Chibage - Mwedzi wega wega Chirongwa che 2011-2021.

Iyo yemifananidzo yemifananidzo yeiyo chezviyo inoratidza kusimuka kwemitengo kubva kumadhora matatu ebhasi muna Kubvumbi kusvika kune yepamusoro kubva muna Chikunguru 2013.40 paBushel svondo rapfuura.

Kukwira mitengo yezvikamu zvichakurumidza kukurumidza kukwira mumitengo yezvinhu izvo. Vagadziri vemhuka mapuroteni anotarisana nekukwira kwemitengo yechikafu, achipfuura mumwaka wePeak anodikanwa we2021.

2. Iko kupararira kwemaketani ekugovera muna 2020 kwakatungamira kudzora masheya

Muna 2020, kuderera mune zviitiko uye kuvharwa kwezviitiko zvekugadzirisa nekuda kweiyo phiya yepasi rose yakakonzera mitengo yakaderera yemhuka dzezvipfuyo uye mitengo yakakwira yevatengi. Nekuvharwa kwemakambani ekugadzirisa mumafekitori emombe, mhuka dzakawanda dzakaunganidzwa. Mushure mekutambudzika kwehupfumi hwa2020 uye mukutarisana nemitengo yakakwira yekudyisa muna 2021, matombo emhuka, kazhinji anogona kuderedza zvipfuyo. Panguva imwecheteyo, mitengo yakakwira yekupa chikafu ichatungamira kuchokwadi kuti mhuka dziri mufekituru dzinozonunurwa kune vasina kukodzera, izvo zvinokanganisa nyama.

Pakutanga kwemwaka wepikiniki pakupera kwaMay uye mumwedzi yezhizha, kusendama kuchabatsira kugadzira kusadzivirirwa kusunganidzwa kuCavid-19. Muzhizha ra2021, tichienzanisa ne2020, pachave nemisangano yakawanda mumhepo nyowani, mapato, nzendo kuKabbs, etc., iyo ichawedzera kudiwa kwenyama. Maketani ekupa maketani muna 2020, kusimuka kwemitengo yekudya uye kudzokera kune imwe nguva pamwero wakazopera gore rino gore rino rinogona kugadzira yakakwana yekudzvinyirira maitiro emitengo yemombe uye nyama yenguruve.

3. Demographic maitiro

Pakupedzisira, maitiro erudo anozoramba achitsigira kudiwa kwezvinhu zvese, uye nyama haingove kunze. Pakutanga kwezana remakore rino, mabhiriyoni matanhatu aigara pasi pano. Makore makumi maviri nerimwe gare gare, Bureus Bureau anouya kuti nhamba iyi yakawedzera neinopfuura 28.9% uye ndeye 7.736 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36

Mazhinji ehuwandu hwepasi anoshandisa nyama. Kugoverwa kunoenderera mberi nekuwedzera kudiwa kwenyama. Uye kunyangwe iyo mutengo mutengo mumakore matanhatu apfuura yaive Bearth, iye akapokana nemakumi maviri emakore apfuura.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_7
Mombe - Quarterly purogiramu ya1992-2021.

Quarterly purogiramu inoratidza yakajairika dende yemitengo yemitengo mumusika wemombe kubva 2000 kusvika 2014. Kubva ipapo, musika wanyatsoonekwa nemutengo wekubatanidzwa.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_8
Yakasarudzika mombe - Quarterly purogiramu ya1992-2021.

Quarterly chati yemberi kwematombo akakodzerwa anoratidza iwo iwo muenzaniso wakafanana nemutengo wepamusoro pakugadzirisa.

3 zvikonzero zvekukwira nyama yemombe uye mitengo yenguruve muna 2021 1071_9
Nguruve - Quarterly purogiramu ya1992-2021.

Kwemakore matanhatu apfuura, mutengo wakabatanidzwa weguruve wakacherechedzwa kwemakore matanhatu apfuura muchiramu. Mhedzisiro yezvinhu zvemisika yenyama remangwana mumakumi maviri emakore apfuura yaive yakanyanya kusuwa.

Kana shanduko yemitengo yezviyo chiratidzo, isu tinofanirwa kumirira mutengo wekubuditsa nyama uye nyama yenguruve, pane kare kupfuura gare gare.

Iyo ine njodzi nyama remangwana rinopihwa kuChicago commodity kuchinjana. Pamusoro pemwedzi inouya, subindex ipath ® Series b bloomberg Lionstock Subindex zino kudzoka (NYSE: Cow) inofanira kutevera mutengo we nyama.

Verenga zvimwe