Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500?

Anonim

Svondo rapfuura, musika weUS yemutamba wakaramba usina shanduko dzakakosha - zvese zviri mubepa rekuyera. Kubva pavhiki kusvika vhiki, huwandu hwemari mukutenderera kuri kukura, izvo zvakatungamira kune kuwedzera inflation yekudya, kuitika kwenhengo dzevakarerekera. Asi zvakanaka kutaura nezve inflation kana chisiri icho: saka, maererano nemhedzisiro yaJanuary, mitengo yakaramba isina shanduko dzakakosha; Asi iyo iyo rheetoric ichachinja sei muchirimo, kana kuwedzera kwemwaka wekuda kwekuda kuchasiyiwa pachigadziko chakaderera che2020 - mubvunzo unoramba wakavhurika.

Nezve izvi nezvimwe zvinhu zvakawanda mune ino chinyorwa.

Kuyera kweiyo Fed svondo rapfuura kwakakura nemabhiriyoni mazana matatu emadhora - panguva ino chikonzero chekukura kwaive rudzikinuro rweTrerom.

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_1
Balance yeFed

Blue Line - Balance yeiyo dunhu kubva vhiki kusvika vhiki.

Mutsara mutsvuku - iwo masimba ehuremu hwekuchengetedza hunopihwa nemucheto.

Mutsetse wakasvibira - chiyero chepfuma chepfuma pane yakapihwa account, zvakare kubva vhiki kusvika vhiki.

Sezvatinogona kuona, svondo rapfuura zviratidzo zvakakura uye zvaive zvakakwirira kupfuura zero, asi maitiro aya ari cyclical, uye zvinogona kutarisirwa kuderedza zviratidzo mumavhiki maviri.

Tevere, isu tinotendeukira kune iyo yekubvisa zviratidzo (kutumira) yedhora mvura.

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_2
Kunyudza kwezvinhu zveshuwa

Mutsetse webhuruu - US Treasture Account muFRB. Pasvondo razvino, bhiri rakadzikira nemabhiriyoni mashanu emadhora. Ichi chiratidzo chinofamba neyakafara neyakaenzana nenhoroondo maxima, izvo zvinoita kuti zvikwanisike kusaina chinyorwa chitsva, sezvo chikamu chemari chiripo kuti ugovaniswe.

Mutsara mutsvuku ndewe mari mune mari yekudyara mari yekudyara mumusika wemari. Chiratidzo chiri kuyedza kutendeuka, uye izvi hazvireve kuti kunze kwekunze kubva kumari yekuwirirana kweiyo yemusika yemusika yamira.

Line Green - Zuva repo revasiri-vagari. Svondo rapfuura, nhamba yacho yakaramba kwazvo, i.e., kudiwa kwedhora mumusika wepasi rose kwakaderera, kunoisa kudzvinyirira kwedhora reUS.

Zvakare svondo rapfuura pakanga paine kutarisisa kwemasaini ekudaidzira uye nekukurumidza deposits.

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_3
Simba reMaakaundi

Mutsetse webhuruu ndidzo dzakasimba dzezvikamu zveChinyorwa (savings) kubva vhiki kusvika vhiki.

Mutsara mutsvuku ndiye masimba ezviputi zve deposits (maakaunzi ekugadzirisa) kubva vhiki kusvika vhiki.

Sezvatinogona kuona, vhiki rapfuura zviratidzo zvakabvumiranwa mu zero point, izvo zvisina kukanganisa mari yekuunganidza m1 uye m2.

Nekuda kweizvozvo, mari yacho yakazara nevhiki yakaramba yakatetepa muminza yake:

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_4
Yakatetepa mari inowanza

Iyo yebhuruu mutsara ndeye mari inowedzera; Isu tinoona kuti chiratidzo chinoramba chiri mumatare.

Mutsara mutsvuku ndiko kutengeserana uye kuremerwa dhora index.

Vhiki munzvimbo ino yakapfuura zvisina musoro.

Chinhu chinonakidza ndechekuti: Mari yemari inotenderera nemaoko emaoko inoramba ichikura, uye izvi zvinonyatso kutyisidzirwa nekukura kwekuda kwechido panguva yekuvhura hupfumi.

Pane chati pazasi - mufananidzo kune urwu kumashure:

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_5
Cash mukutenderera uye inflation yekudya

Mutsetse webhuruu ndiyo yegore rose yemari mukutenderera kunze kwefuma uye iyo Federal Reserve System, ndiyo, mari.

Mutsara mutsvuku - inflation yekudya, iyo yanga yave munharaunda zvishoma zvishoma, asi inoramba yakakwira.

Pamakore gumi apfuura, maitiro anotevera anoonekwa: mari yakawanda mukutenderera, yakakwira inflation yekudya; Saka, muchirimo, unogona kutarisira mutsva wekusvetuka mutengo.

Uye ikozvino - netsika - isu tinotendeukira kune ongororo yemari dzakasiyana siyana:

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_6
Kusiyanisa kusiyanisa

Mutsetse webhuruu unonyanya kukosha, mumaonero angu, mutsauko mumusika wemitambo: Uyu ndiwo musiyano uripo pakati pemabasa nemusika mitengo; Izvi zvichaitika, uyu mutsauko unoenderana, asi pamazinga akadzika.

Mutsara mutsvuku wakatsvuka wakapararira, unoratidza kudiwa kwezvinhu zvakanaka mumusika wepasi rose muLondon (LORBOR). Chiratidzo chinoita kukura kwekuedza, nepo mwero wakanyanya.

Mutsara wakasvibira musiyano uripo pakati pekubatsira kwesangano rine makore gumi emakore gumi uye anoenderana nematambudziko; Mamiriro acho ari muCorporate chikwereti musika anoramba akagadzikana.

Zadzisa kuongororwa kwanhasi kwekuongorora kweiyo inflation inotarisirwa uye vatauri vavo vhiki ino, pamwe neS & P500 Index mamiriro:

Chii chinoitika kumadhora ekuuraya uye anokanganisa sei S & p 500? 10670_7

Mutsetse webhuruu ndiyo inflation inotarisirwa: Isu tinoona kuti chiratidzo chinoramba chichiisa iyo maxima. Mukufunga kwangu, iyi mhinduro kune yakadzika kwazvo yemusika wemari;

Mutsara mutsvuku - wakakura musika misika: Iyo US Stock Market inotsanangurwa zvachose nekuzvidzivirira zvinotarisirwa. Kufunga nezve kuwirirana kwechiratidzo izvi nezvekudzoreredzwa kwemusika wechitoro, hazvidikanwe kutaura.

Mhedziso

Mhedziso huru: Iyo yazvino mamiriro edhora Liquidity zviratidzo chiratidzo chekumanikidza mari pane iyo US Dollar pane vhiki rese.

Zvakakodzerawo kutarisisa kune huwandu hwekukura kwemari yakakwira, iyo zviri pachena inopa rutsigiro rwekudya uye, ikaita kuti mwaka wakapihwa, mukufunga kwangu, iyo inflation yekuda mushure mekubvisa lokdanov ichatanga kukurumidza.

Muzhinji: Parizvino maitiro ari mumusika wemari achaenderera, misika yemari icharamba ichikura, maererano neiyo - nokungwarira tevera rhetoric yenhengo dzekudyara. Kana iyo yechitatu package yeRubatsiro kubva kuBiden Administration inogamuchirwa, misika ichapfuurira mukukura, yakatsvedza yekudzora kukundikana.

Verenga zvinyorwa zvepakutanga pane: mari.com

Verenga zvimwe