Igihe kirageze cyo "kugura ruble"

Anonim

Igihe kirageze cyo

"Igihe kirageze ngo gutegereza, igihe kirageze cyo kugura" - cyanditse kuri iki cyumweru cyerekeye Ruby Stanley Stanley ingamba Yakobo na Filipo Daniphnchev. Babitekerezaho mu mwaka wa 7% mu kugabanya ibyago hafi ya 75%, bityo birasabwa gufata imyanya miremire muri Ruble muburyo bungana ku madorari na euro.

Umushinga w'itegeko ryerekeye ibihano "ku mabarwa", yitangirwa muri kongere ya Amerika, ntatwaje ingaruka za Macoconomic, hamwe na Ruble Hagati aho, ni byiza ugereranije n'ifaranga-bagenzi kandi ntibyakinnye gusimbuka mu mavuta Ibiciro, barandika.

Twahisemo kumenya impuguke tuva mubindi bigo, iburengerazuba n'ikirusiya, niba basangiye ibyiringiro nk'ibi.

Umuyobozi ushinzwe iterambere ry'iterambere "mu micungire ya Aton" asgory ISAEV. Ibi biterwa nuko ubukungu bw'Uburusiya bwerekanye ibiteganijwe neza umwaka ushize, ndetse no kwiyongera kw'ibiciro ku mutungo, bishobora gukomeza muri 2021 mu gihe ubukungu ku isi bwagaruwe nyuma y'icyorezoga, abisobanura.

"Ruble ni igipimo cyiza giturutse ku byago / kugaruka," Gusesengura Umusenguzi mu buyobozi bwa Arthur "Arthur Kopsityv yemeye. Hamwe no kuzamura ibikorwa byubucuruzi mwisi yinyungu zabashoramari mumitungo y'ibihugu biri imbere biziyongera, bizaganisha ku mafaranga menshi yo ku masoko menshi ajyanye n'amadolari, yemera. Avuga ko nta kidasanzwe kandi kibanziriza, harimo kubera kwiyongera kw'ibiciro bya peteroli, avuga ko umwaka urangiye utarengeje imyaka 73 / $.

Mu mwaka, amasomo arashobora gushimangira kandi akomeye - kugeza kuri 70 / $ Ibiciro bya Ruble birasa neza bidasanzwe ugereranije n'ifaranga-analogies no muri 2021, birashobora gushimangira cyane. Abona impamvu nyinshi zibiki: Gusana ubukungu no gusaba amavuta, ugereranije umusaruro wo hejuru wiminyutsi yaho (birumvikana, mugihe ukomeje kugabanuka), kugabanya ifaranga risanzwe rya Ofz ugereranije numwaka ushize.

Nk'uko amakuru y'ubukungu, ubuhanga bukuru bw'ivunjisha na Cis na Cis na Cis na Cis na Cis hamwe na CIS na CIS na CIS, ubukungu bw'ivuriro ndetse n'abakuru ba CIS,. Ati: "Turashobora kuvuga cyane kandi bigoye kuvuga inzira y'amafaranga, gusuzuma imyifatire y'abashoramari mu gihugu runaka ndetse no ku rwego rusange cyangwa impinduka mu bucuruzi, ariko kuri njye nagaragaje ku isi, yagaragaje kuri Umuyobozi wa Banki Nkuru Elvira Nabiullina mu kiganiro muri 2014. Amategeko akomeza kuba impamo: Ukomeye Ubukungu Ifata Ifaranga ry'igihugu ". Ubu buryo bwo gushimangira amasomo bufitanye isano igice gitunguranye ku mibare ya GDP muri 202 na buhoro buhoro kandi basubiramo buhoro buhoro isoko rishobora kubaho muri 2021, ISAKOG ni ukuri.

Intego nyamukuru yubu iteganyagihe Suisse - 73-77 rub. / $. Ruble ntiyaguye munsi ya Mables 73. / $ ibyumweru byinshi none ubu ni urugero rwose ruzabera isoko ku isoko n'ibiciro mu masoko ya Nemrod ya Mevorach. Muri icyo gihe, umubare w'abasimbuka hejuru ya 77. Kubashoramari biteguye gusuzuma uko ibintu bimeze mu gihe kirekire, kugurisha Ruble hejuru yuru rwego bizaba imvikaho neza hagati yibyago ninyungu, avuga muri make.

Ibihano ntabwo biteye ubwoba

Ibihano ntibishoboka ko biganisha ku munaniro ukomeye wa Ruble, abahanga batekereza. Ikindi gihe gisanzwe gihano umwitaho cyane itangazamakuru kuri we rirashobora gusubiza amasomo ku rukuruzi 80 / $, yemerera igituba. "Ariko ntibikwiye gutinya ibihano bikomeye by'imirenge, arashidikanya. Ahubwo, dushobora kuvuga ku bihano byacu bwite, bityo, ducikirize uko byagenze mbere, ihungabana rya mbere rizagaruka buhoro buhoro kandi isabutero yizeye ko iryo tegeko rizagaruka: "Isoko rimenyereye cyane amakuru." Birashimishije rero gutekereza ku myanya iri muri Ruble ndetse no ku ifaranga ry'ifaranga ryo gushyiraho kugira uruhare ku mutungo rusange kandi wuzuye, urangiye.

Umwaka urangiye, ifaranga ry'Uburusiya rishobora gushaka cyane, ari uko ishyirwa mu bikorwa ibihano bikaze, ariko birashoboka ko ibi ari bito - 10%, ISAEV. Noneho, uzirikana itandukaniro ryibiciro hamwe nifaranga ryibanze ryisi, premium ya geopolly muri Ruble iratandukanye, arabizi neza.

Ntabwo bikwiye kwihuta

Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, ntibyemewe kongera umugabane wa Ruble muri portfolio. Dukurikije Kopsshev, ibikoresho bya Ruble muri portfolio biziyongera neza. Agira inama kugirango yongere igipimo cya Rubporites Borts - Ibipimo kuri bo bisa neza kuruta ibiciro kubitsa na ofz, hamwe na gable birashoboka cyane bituma barushaho kwinezeza.

Abasesenguzi Banki ya Deutsche mu isubiramo ryasohotse mu mpera za Mutarama na bo bategereje kandi ntegereje kandi gutegereza ko bakomeje gusobanuka neza ku bijyanye na politiki y'imbere mu Burusiya, ibikorwa bya Banki Nkuru (Inama ya mbere y'urufunguzo izabikora Bafashwe kuwa gatanu. - vtimes) n'amasezerano ya opec mbere yo gufata icyemezo ku ishoramari muri Ruble.

Soma byinshi