Ibihe bya EUR / USD bizakemura isoko rya Amerika.
Iyo amadolari y'Abanyamerika aje guhamagarwa k'umusaruro w'imari, ntabwo ari ugutangazwa no gukomera kw'ifaranga ry'ihuse ku mafaranga akomeye ku isi agurishwa imirongo minini y'isi ya $ 21 FOZRS kuva mu Gushyingo. Nk'uko Jefferies International, mu mpera za Gashyantare, mu mpera za Gashyantare zahuye n'ibiryo byerekana ko ari ngombwa kugira ngo nshingano z'imyenda kuva muri cone-hysterios 2013. Gukenera Kuringaniza Portfolios mu mpera z'ukwezi zarangije isoko. Igihe kingana iki?
Mu mpera z'impera z'imyaka 2020, impuguke za bloomberg yatekereje ko umusaruro w'ikigo cy'imyaka 10 urwanya amateka yubukungu bwo muri Amerika yakura kuva kuri 1% kugeza kuri 1%, ariko abantu bake ni uko abantu bake bashobora gutekereza ko ibintu byose bizaba vuba. Iyo ibiciro ku myenda bizamuka, mubyukuri, ntibikwiye gutera amatungo yimigabane. Iterambere ryihuse rya GDP, nkitegeko, riganisha ku nyungu z'ibigo, bitera umuyaga urengana kuri S & P 500. Birasa naho trield dezeris yahujwe no kwizera byihuse ubukungu bwabanyamerika , nko kugerageza kumvisha abashoramari abayobozi ba FoMC. Kandi kuzamuka kw'ihungabana ry'isoko ry'abateran byerekana ko umusaraba ku kugurisha kugirango ushire hakiri kare.
Dynamics DIND
Inkomoko: Bloomberg.
Ibisabwa bike kuri cyamunara iheruka, aho abacuruza abambere bagombaga gucungura hafi 40% yibyuka impuzandengo yindangagaciro zigereranijwe inshuro ebyiri, kimwe nimpungenge amagambo yagatanyijwe amaherezo ya Urubanza, rwabaye abashoferi nyamukuru abashoferi batanga umusaruro. Urebye ibihe inzu y'abahagarariye amajwi 219 yo ku ya 212 yafashe umushinga Joe Bayden kubyerekeye gushimangira amafaranga n'amadolari ya $ 1.9, ubwinshi bw'imyuka igomba kwiyongera kurushaho. Kandi niba ibyifuzo biri hasi, turateganya ko cyamunara. Abashoramari ntibanyuzwe n'ibiciro biriho, bisaba hejuru, bikingura umuhanda ugana imisaruro mishya.
Amasoko yisoko no kuba niba fride izakomeza ukuguru kuri pedel ndende cyane, kwihutisha ifaranga bizamuhatira gukanda gaze. Isoko ryihutirwa ritegereje kuzamura ibiciro ku mafranga ya federasiyo mu ntangiriro ya 2022, akarenga umwaka utarenze kugaragazwa mu iteganyagihe rya FoMC rigezweho.
Rero, igisubizo cyikibazo kizashobora gushobora EUR / USD guteza imbere ubugororangingo mu ntangiriro za Werurwe, bigomba gushakishwa isoko ry'imyenda yo muri Amerika. Kurekura amakuru kubikorwa byubucuruzi byabanyamerika nisoko ryumurimo, kimwe na disikuru yamategeko ya Fede azagabanya umusaruro. Niba abayobozi ba FOMC bakomeje kwemeza ko gukura kwayo ari ingaruka ziteganijwe ko ubukungu bwagaruwe bwihuse, ibiciro bizakomeza guterana. Mu rwego rwo guhagarika kugurisha ingoyi no kumena amasoko, Jerome Powell na bagenzi be bakeneye kwerekana impungenge zo kwiyongera byihuse mu nyungu ziyongera mu nyungu.
Njye mbona, guhosha ibintu mu isoko ry'imyenda yo muri Amerika bizafasha EUR / USD gukomeza gushimangira ibyavuye mu myaka icumi ya Gashyantare 1.2-1.22. Kugura kugirango ugabanye amagambo kumupaka wo hasi no gukura mukurambere bigumana akamaro.
Dmitry Demidenko kuri litefox
Soma ingingo zumwimerere kuri: gushora.com