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Intangiriro ya 2021 yatsinze cyane amasosiyete agenga ingufu; Muri kiriya gihe, inganda zande zerekana ingufu zatoranijwe murwego SPDR etf (NYSE: Xle) yakuze hafi 18%. Muri icyo gihe, umurenge uracyagumana ubushobozi bwo gukura, byerekana aho uhagaze mu isoko ryamahitamo. Benshi muribo bavuga ko ETF izakura hafi 9% kandi ikagera $ 48.50.
Intsinzi iherutse iterwa cyane cyane nigitonyanga gityaye mumadolari y'Amerika, ashyigikira ibiciro bya peteroli (wahuye na 2021 munsi y'urwego rwa $ 50 kuri $ 50 kuri. Ariko, ntabwo ari ngombwa guhuza ibitekerezo byatsinze gusa kubiciro bya peteroli. Nta ruhare rwa nyuma rwakinnye no kunoza imyumvire y'isoko; Ndetse nk'ibi "idubu" nk'abasesenguzi JP Morgan, yazamuye Exxon Mobil amanota (NYSE: XOM).
Umubare wo gukura mu mirenge
Ku bijyanye na xle etf, amahitamo menshi yaguzwe hamwe nigiciro cyamadorari 45 nitariki yo kurangiriraho ku ya 19 Gashyantare. Mu masomo 5 ashize ubucuruzi, inyungu zifunguye ziyongera ku masezerano agera ku 52.000. Amakuru yerekana ko amahitamo menshi yo guhamagara agurwa hafi yamadorari agera kuri 1.05 kuri buri masezerano, I.e., mugihe bari kurangira, ETF igomba gucuruza hejuru y $ 46.05.
Byongeye kandi, abashoramari bamwe bagura amahitamo hamwe nurwego rwibiti muri xle amadorari 48 (kumiterere isa). Muri uru rubanza, "amakarito" yaguzwe mu mafaranga agera kuri 45 kugira ngo ayo masezerano, dufate ko hagati ya Gakeka, ETF irenga urwego rwa $ 48.45. Rero, abitabiriye isoko biteze gukura hafi 9% mubyumweru bike biri imbere.
Exxon Optimism yongera
Iteganyagihe ryagize uruhare mu migabane y'abigo nka Exxon mobil (mu Kwakira byarwanaga n'amadolari 31.50). Kandi gukura vuba aha igihe JPMorgan yinjiye bwa mbere mu myaka irindwi yazutse ku rwego rwa "Hejuru y'isoko", n'urwego rugenewe impapuro zayo kugeza ku ya 11%.
"Itoroshye" Optimism yagaragaye ku mbonerahamwe ya Exxon, aho icyitegererezo "igikombe gifite ikiganza" kuri ubu cyashizweho. Bisobanura ubundi bwiyongereye mumigabane kuva kurwego rwubu hafi ya $ 50. Projection yerekana ubushobozi bwo gukura hafi 9% kugeza $ 54.75. Iyi ngingo ihura nimpinga yabanjirije 8 Kamena.
Leta y'ubukungu iratera imbere
Kwiyongera kwicyizere bisobanurwa nkiyongera kubiciro bya peteroli (nkuko amadorari aguye) no kugarura ubukungu bwisi yose. Uruhare rwingenzi rukinwa nibiteganijwe kugirango akomeze ingamba zishimangira inguzanyo nabayobozi ba Amerika. Ibi byatumye ubwiyongere bwinyungu za leta (harimo impapuro zimyaka 10) mugihe bigabanyije amadorari. Gucika intege kw'ifaranga ry'igihugu byateje ko amagambo ya peteroli yajyanywe mu rwego rwo ku ya 2020 .20.
Indi ntege nke z'amadolari izizera kugarura isi. Birumvikana ko muri 2021 Urwego rwingufu rushobora guhura nibintu bishya byigitutu. Amaherezo, umwaka ushize wari uteye ubwoba ku nganda, nubwo habaye ko abashoramari benshi bahinduye amasoko ashobora kongerwa. Ariko, isi ntizashobora kureka ibicambaro byimbuto mugihe cya vuba, bivuze ko umurenge ushobora gukira igihombo gikomeye cya 2020.