Uyu munsi wa USD warahagaze ugasubira inyuma mugihe umusemuzo wa Amerika waguye kuri maxima nshya, abahagarariye bagaburira kugabanuka kwa QE hamwe nimyumvire ishobora guteza akaga. Urwego rwingenzi kumadorari ubu ruhindutse ntarengwa yo kuwa mbere. Dutegereje amabwiriza yatanzwe nagaburiwe nyuma yibyumweru bibiri, kandi tukareba uburyo iminsi yanyuma yubu perezida wa perezida wa Trump azabera.
Ingingo nyamukuru zo guhaha uyumunsi:
USD: Kugabanya kugaruka byayobowe na rally
Ibihuru byo guhuriza hamwe amadolari y'Amerika ejo byageze ku mpinga. Mu mpamvu zibitera - Ijambo rya ba perezida b'amabanki atatu Fedrev (bullurd, George na Rosengen, bose ni abanyamuryango ba Fomc) barimo kugarura ibyo babonye politiki, ndetse no kugarura amarangamutima kandi Cyamunara ucecetse kumyaka 10 yububiko bwimari, nyuma yunguka kuva mu mpinga yabo.
AKAMARO: Muri iki gihe, abandi benshi bo mu rwego rwagaburiwe bazakora ku manywa, barimo Visi-Perezida ukomeye, Richard Clarid, uzavuga uburyo bushya bwo kugenzura.
Ejo kugaruka kwa USD kuri kugurisha birashobora gusobanura iherezo ryimigabane, nubwo iki cyiciro kidashoboka gutsinda imyanya idakomeye mbere yuko inzira irakomeza, kuko yari yoroheje cyane. Reka turebe uburyo isoko isubiza inyuma yinsanganyamatsiko nziza nikizaba nyuma yo gutangiza Byyden, kuko muri Amerika, muri Amerika, iteganijwe ko muri iyi mpera zaho kandi muri Amerika hari ibyago byo guhagarika imidugararo kandi muriyi minsi ndetse niyi minsi yombi kandi kumunsi wa ITANGIRA RY'ITANGASHIMIYE 20 Mutarama. Turabyitayeho rero: inzira yo kumanuka muri USD irakomeye, ariko ifite ubupfura, ntabwo twiteguye kuyisubiza.
Amakuru mashya: CPI muri Amerika nubucuruzi mubushinwa
Mu makuru ateganijwe mu bukungu ni CPI Ukuboza wa Amerika. Fed yibanze cyane cyane ku ifaranga ry'abaguzi, ariko ipring yemewe irangiye ibyumweru byinshi mbere. Ntakintu kidasanzwe hano giteganijwe hano, nubwo ibiciro bya lisansi kubaboza byakuze neza. Bya bishimishije cyane bizaba kugereranya kwa Mata no mu mezi ataha hamwe n'amezi ashize, bahawe isenyuka rya none. Kubw Ukuboza, biteganijwe ko agaciro ka IPC ka IPC iteganijwe 1.3% Y / Y (hari 1.2% mu Gushyingo), hamwe na shingiro - na none.
Iri joro, amakuru, amakuru ku bucuruzi bw'amahanga mu Kuboza asohoka; Kugabanya bimwe muri bisagutse, bikaba byageze ku madosiye 75 z'amadolari mu Gushyingo. Harashinguye ingamba zafashwe kuva mu mwaka ushize watanze ibyoherezwa mu mahanga mu rwego rwo gushyigikirwa bikomeye. Ariko ntiwibagirwe ko gukangura bigira ingaruka kubintu byose, harimo ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mubibi byibiciro, umusaruro wibiryo, imbaraga, ibyuma nibindi bikenewe mubushinwa kugirango umusaruro woherezwe hanze. Ibiciro bya peteroli birakura, kandi ingamba zacu kumasoko y'ibicuruzwa ole Hansen yanditse ko gukonjesha gukonjesha cyane ibiciro bya gaze yatumijwe mu mahanga itumizwa mu mahanga yatumijwe. Muri icyo gihe, ibicuruzwa byatumijwe mu Bushinwa mu myaka bitandatu byikubye kabiri, kandi gaze yasutse mu myaka itanu ni imyaka itatu. Ikimenyetso cyingenzi cyerekana ifaranga mu Bushinwa niwe indangagaciro yibiciro bya Producer.
Gahunda: EURGBP.
Ejo bivugwa cyane muri G10 byerekana ko ikiroga, ejo cyahinduye imvururu nyuma y'umutwe wa Banki y'Ubwongereza yarwanyije intangiriro y'ibaruramari ribi. Urebye uko ibintu bigoye mu Bwongereza, hamwe na Lokomo yuzuye no gutoroka kw'abasirikare ba gasutamo nyuma y'utubatsi, tutibagiwe n'igihuru kidashidikanywaho gihisha ejo hazaza h'inganda z'imari, biragoye kwiyumvisha ko nahatira Banki y'Ubwongereza. gutangaza ibiciro bibi. Iki nikimenyetso cyerekana ko pound ifite umutekano munini. Usibye ntarengwa hejuru ya 1,3700 muri GBpusd, kurikira byibuze 0.8900 muri eurgbp, gusenyuka bishobora kuganisha ku rwego rukurikira 0,8300; Ariko, birashoboka cyane kugabanuka kuri 0.8600, niba bikomeje na gato - vuba aha habaye ingendo ebyiri zuburiganya.
Inkomoko: Itsinda rya Saxo
Incamake ngufi ya G10 na Yuan
USD - Muri iki gitondo amadorari agerageza lift nshya nyuma yo kugwa kwa ejo, ariko intsinzi irashoboka gusa kugabanuka mubyiciro bitandukanye byumutungo no / cyangwa hamwe no gusimbuka gushya mumusaruro wacumbanira.
CNH - Yuan ntabwo itandukanijwe cyane nimyitwarire rusange, gushimangira euro no kuba hejuru yurwego ugereranije na Aud.
Eur - Couple eurusd muri iki gitondo, ihindagurika nyuma yumuriro w'ejo, birashoboka ko uhuriza hamwe 1.2065 cyangwa nicyiciro cyingenzi cya psychologio cya 1.2000.
Jy - Yena mu kugabanya Kugaruka Kugaruka Byahujwe vuba, hamwe na USDJy yagumye mumuyoboro wamanutse. Birashoboka ko bizagenda neza kugeza igihe gisharira gishya kibona urwego rwo guhindukira - hanyuma, gihabwa uburemere bwiza bwumuyoboro, aba bombi barashobora gufungwa cyane.
GBP - Ikiroga cyo hejuru kirazamuka, ariko ni ibinyoma cyangwa mbere yo gukomeza? Birumvikana ko kwangwa n'Umukuru wa Banki y'Ubwongereza mu kaga kabi gafasha, ariko urujya n'uruza rw'ishoramari mu gihugu rirasabwa. Witondere urwego rwa 1.3705 muri GBPUSD na 0.8865 muri eurgbp.
Chf - Franc yarakonje, ariko hariho umurongo ushimishije wo kurwanya kandi, ahari, ishusho ya "umutwe n'igitugu" muri USDCHF hafi ya 0.8920, kugira ngo iki kimenyetso kigere kuri 0.8920, kugira ngo iki kimenyetso kizakenera gukurikiza niba amadolari agarutse kugira ngo agumane.
Audi - Amadolari ya Australiya yasimbutse nyuma yo kugurisha, ariko muri rusange birasa nkaho biyubahiriza, kandi ntibishoboka ko kugerageza guhuriza hamwe bigarukira kuri ibi. Kubijyanye n'iterabwoba risobanutse, icyerekezo cyo hejuru kizakenera kugabanuka muri 0.7700 nurufatiro rwo guhindura 0,7666 rwavutse kuwa mbere.
CAD - Rally asunika pad up ugereranije na USD. Ariko, mu mbonerahamwe yo hagati, USDCAD igaragara umunaniro bamwe, kandi kugeza kuri kure birashoboka murwego kugeza kuri 1.3000.
Nzd - Australiya yarengeje Noalander Nshya kandi amaherezo yatandukanijwe niminsi 200 igendanwa. Ntegereje ko kwiyongera kwabo mugihe kirekire, guhera ku nzibacyuho mukarere ka 1.1000-1.3000.
SEK - Crown wo muri Suwede yatakaje imbaraga muri EUSK, ariko bikomeye bizatsindwa gusa kwita ku ya 10,12-10.15, nubwo noksek nyuma yo gukosora gukabije ibitero bikaze, kubona kuzamuka mu giciro cya peteroli Maxima.
Nok - Ikamba rya Noruveje ryishimira kuzamuka kw'amavuta; Kugabanuka muri Eurnok mukarere ka 10.50-10.40 Ubuvuzi bufungura inzira igana 10.00.
Ibikorwa by'ingenzi biri imbere ya kalendari y'ubukungu (igihe cy'ibyabaye byose byerekanwe na Greewich):
18:00 - Imvugo ya L. Kovoka kuva kuri Fed (Umunyamuryango wa Soma Fed) 19h00 - Incamake ya Amerika yagaburiye ibitekerezo ku bijyanye n'ubukungu buriho mu turere 20:00 - Ijambo rya RRC FoMC) ku ngingo y'amategeko mashya 02: 00 - Kuringaniza no kohereza hanze / ibicuruzwa bitumizwa mu Bushinwa mu Kuboza
John Hardy, Ingamba nkuru zamafaranga Saxo