Isoko riragerageza gukira nyuma ya "Trezerris" mu mpera z'icyumweru gishize, cyagize uruhare mu masomo yose y'umutungo. Yizeye cyane ko kugenzura umusaruro umurongo kugirango ushyigikire amasoko y'umutungo byanze bikunze. ECB yamaze gukora imikurire yo kwanga abantu, kandi RBA yakajije umurego mu buguzi burebure. Birakwiye ko dutegereje ko Amerika ibakurikira? Kurangiza - Yego, ariko muriki gihe bizaza ryari?
Ingingo z'ingenzi zo guhaha: Gukura kw'amadorari birashobora kuba bibi
Ku wa gatanu, nasobanuye mu buryo burambuye inzira zo gutangiza igenzura rya federasiyo y'umusaruro. UMWANZURO rusange nuko Fedrev adashaka gukora iyi ntambwe ikomeye, niba idahatiye isoko - haba mu bwiyongere bwe kandi buhoraho muburyo bwinyungu, bihatira ubukungu nisoko ryumurimo . Ibi byiringiro ntibyoroshye kwangirika, ukurikije ibiciro byihuse byo gukingirwa, bikakwemerera gufungura ubukungu, hamwe na pasiporo iteganijwe yo gukangura amadolari 1.9 (asa nkaho agabanuka atazamura umushahara muto). Ikiganiro cy'ijambo bw'abahagarariye muri iki cyumweru kigomba kuduha igitekerezo niba mu cyumweru cyaho mu cyumweru gishize habaye kwiyongera kwihindagurika mu cyumweru gishize ko abagize Inama Njyanama bahangayikishijwe.
Kuki USD iguye ndetse ikomeza?
Ubwiyongere bwihuse bwisoko mu ntangiriro yiki cyumweru (kandi icyarimwe) birashobora gukomeza umunezero kuva kuwa gatanu kugaruka ku isoko rya Amerika, ahanini ryazamutse umusaruro wa kane. Impapuro z'imyaka ibiri ndetse zagarutse rwose ku rwego rw'ubuzima, kandi w'imyaka itanu na karindwi zanyuze hagati. Ariko niba amacakubiri yo kugaruka hafi yahanaguwe kandi kuri make, kandi kurwego rurerure rwumurongo, none kuki batasubije hamwe nabo hamwe nadolakeri b'Abanyamerika?
Ahari urufunguzo rwigisubizo cyimyitwarire yimyitwarire yiyi mabanki yo hagati ni hamwe nagaburiwe na Frib: Isabelle Snabel muri ECB mu mpera z'imikurire ya Eurozone, na Banki y'Umuyobozi wa Ositaraliya yatangaje muri iri joro gushidikanya ko umuvuduko wo kugura igihe kirekire. Hariho igitekerezo cyuko tugomba kwitega ibikorwa nkibi no kubandi bashinzwe kugenzura. Ahari ibi byose bifitanye isano no gukomera kwa USD - turatwibutsa ko Fed idakwiye muri vacuum. Muri icyo gihe, intambwe ya RBA birashoboka ko yiyongera gusa yo kugaruka gusa, ariko kandi yiyongera cyane mu gipimo cy'ikoranabuhanga mu madolari ya Ositaraliya. Uyu munsi banki izahurira muri iyo nama; Birashoboka cyane, mu magambo ye, azagaragaza ko ahangayikishijwe n'impamvu zombi.
Ariko ibisubizo byingenzi byicyumweru gishize kumasoko yifaranga ni ugukubita imbaraga muri USD kugabanuka: Hafi ya busd isa niyo iterabwoba kuri buji yicyumweru (reba hepfo). Urugendo Rusange rwerekeza ku kugabanya USD rubabaye kurushaho niba abalewi bamanutse banyuze mu kimenyetso cya 1.2000 kandi bagaruka ku ntera ya 1.1600-1.1900. Muri uru rubanza, abacuruzi bacuranga igabanuka muri USD, byibuze ibyumweru bike bagomba gutegereza kugeza muri Amerika cyangwa bakaba batinya ibipimo bibi (bitewe no gukangura birenze urugero no gusimbuka. Garuka. Nubwo bimeze bityo ariko, ndakeka ko kubwibyo, intangiriro ya CCD igomba gutegereza igihe kinini cyane, mubitambo bimwe byisoko.
Hagati aho, gushimangira USD bizagirira nabi ibiciro ku masoko y'isi niba ifaranga rizakura ndetse rirenze umubare munini w'ijana.
Gahunda: Aubusd ibyumweru
Hafi yababaje cyane muri couple ya Auddd ku wa kane kandi cyane cyane ku wa gatanu yashizeho uruji "idubu bo buji mu cyumweru gishize. Ibyiringiro byonyine kuri "bykov" - ko iyi mpinduka yakongejwe n'ingaruka z'ukwezi, byari byiza cyane ku madolari ya Ositaraliya, ndetse no gukurura guhagarika igihombo imbere y'inama ya RBA. Kugirango ushushe vuba ibyago byo kugabanuka, uzakenera igiterane cyihuse no gufunga 0.7900; Bitabaye ibyo, gusubira inyuma birashobora kuba umunebwe byibuze mbere ya 0.7565 ndetse no kugeza kuri 0.7415 (Turabona ko hafi ya FIONCIDE ). Twibutse kugabanuka mu bipimo by'Ubushinwa: Inganda zemewe ry'ibikorwa by'ubucuruzi bya PMI mu musaruro uri ku kimenyetso cya 50.6, gihuye byibuze n'intangiriro y'igipandeko, nko kurwara bitatanga umusaruro (51.4).
Inkomoko: Itsinda rya Saxo
Ibikorwa by'ingenzi biri imbere ya kalendari y'ubukungu (igihe cy'ibyabaye byose byerekanwe na Greewich):
- 00:30 - Amatangazo yibiciro byintego kumafaranga ya banki yubuyobozi bwa Australiya hamwe nintego zigamije inyungu zumwaka wimyaka itatu
John Hardy, Ingamba nkuru zamafaranga Saxo
Soma ingingo zumwimerere kuri: gushora.com