Gahunda yo kuzamura urugero rwingenzi niba

Anonim

Banki Nkuru igoramye rhetoric ku mugoroba wo mu nama ya DCT ku ya 19 Werurwe, ibitangaza byinjira mu 19 Werurwe.

Isoko ry'ifaranga

Kurwanya inyuma yinzira nyabagendwa mubihe byamasoko ya peteroli yigihugu, hari imbaraga nziza muri couple ya Amerika. Dukurikije ibyavuye mu bucuruzi, ku wa kane, igipimo kiremereye kuri USDkzt cyafashwe ku kimenyetso cya 419.12 tengera kuri chardor (-1.46 tenge). Muri icyo gihe, ingano ya cyamunara igeze kuri miliyoni 95.7 z'amadolari ugereranije na miliyoni 82.6 z'amadolari ku wa gatatu. Turabona ko kugabanuka runaka mumadorari i Kase byabayeho inyuma yinyuma yibiciro mumasoko ya hydrocarbone kandi binyuranye nibibazo bibi byu Burusiya mugihe cya Kase.

Igishushanyo 1. Amasomo ya USDKZ:

Gahunda yo kuzamura urugero rwingenzi niba 10147_1

Inkomoko: Kase.

Isoko ry'amafaranga

Ku wa kane, umubare w'amafaranga azwi ku wa kane yerekanye imbaraga zidasanzwe (Tonia Rose kuva ku ya 920% kugeza ku ya 945%, Swap yagabanutse kuva kuri 90% kugeza 8.64%). Muri icyo gihe kimwe, muri cyamunara wo kubitsa ku wa kane, Banki y'igihugu yashishikarije umubare ugereranije w'amazi wa miliyari 166.0 kuri 96% kuri 9,00% kuri buri mwaka (100% by'ibisabwa). Icyitonderwa, umwanya ufunguye kubikorwa bya nbrk bifatwa hafi yurwego rwa Trillion ya Trillion 5.0 Trillion ya Tege umwenda. Biragaragara, ibintu biriho bigomba gushora imari mubikorwa bya tenge.

Isoko ryimigabane

Ku wa kane, indangagaciro za Kase yerekanye imbaraga zidafite aho zibogamiye, zifunga amanota 2960.91 (-0.04%). Imikurire y'imibereho myiza ya Kaz (,9%) yinjijwe no kugabanuka kw'ibikoresho bingana na Kazakisitani (-1.7%), KCANL.7%) na banki y'abaturage (-0.7%) . Birashoboka ko abashoramari bashoboraga gukinzwe nibikorwa bibi byabanje mumasoko yibicuruzwa. Duhereye ku bintu biri imbere, twabonye ko hasohoka imari ihuriweho na banki y'abaturage muri 2020 (15.03).

Isoko ryisi

Ibipimo ngenderwaho byingenzi bya Reta zunzubumwe za Amerika mu mpera zuwakambo (muri 0.6-2.5%) binyuranyije n'inyuma yo kugarura ifaranga, ndetse no kugarura ifaranga ry'abakozi bo muri Amerika mu mucyo Ibisohoka ku ikoreshwa ry'amafaranga y'ubushomeri, kwemezwa kw'ipaki ikurikira yo gufasha ubukungu. Rero, umubare wibisabwa byibanze byagabanutse kugera ku bihumbi 712 ugereranije n'ibihumbi 754, mbere, byerekana ko ibintu bimeze mu isoko ry'umurimo nyuma yo kugabanuka ku mubare w'indwara zikaze - 19. Hagati aho, Perezida w'Amerika Joe Biden yasinyiye paki ya 1,9 z'ubukungu.

Biden yagize ati: "Iyi gahunda y'amateka ifite intego yo kugarura inkoni nkuru y'iki gihugu."

Kuva mu bindi byabaye ku wa kane, twabonye ko ECB hakurikijwe ibyateganijwe ku isoko yagumanye igipimo cy'imishahara y'ibanze ku rwego rwo ku rwego rwo kwihutisha gucungurwa mu mutungo (RERRR). Mu kiganiro n'abanyamakuru, umuyobozi wa ECB Christine Lagard yatangaje ko umubare w'ingenzi uzaguma ku nzego ziriho cyangwa munsi kugeza igihe ifaranga ryegera icyizere urwego (2%). Redulator yateje imbere iterambere ry'iterambere rya GDP 2021 kugeza kuri 4% kuva kuri 3.9%.

Amavuta

Kurwanya amateka yo gusohora raporo ya OPEC kandi kunoza ibyifuzo byubukungu bwisi ukurikije ingufu zubukungu bushya, ibiciro bya Frent byerekanaga imbaraga nziza zubukungu, zigera kuri $ 69.5 kuri barril (+ 2,4%) . Muri raporo ya Werurwe, Opec ivuga ko isi isaba peteroli muri 2021 izakura kuri miliyoni 5.9 z / s, kugeza kuri miliyoni 96.3.

Bandi muri Opec agira ati: "Mu gice cya mbere cya 2021, icyifuzo cya peteroli kizaba cyo hasi kijyanye no kwagura ingamba zo gukabije kubera Coronasiru mu bice byinshi by'Uburayi."

Ruble

Ku wa kane, Ruble Ruble yakomeje urugendo rwo kuvugurura arwanya inyuma y'isoko ryo kunoza cyane ku buryo bwo kunoza no kuzamura ubushake bwo guhura n'ingaruka z'isi. Dukurikije ibyavuye mu bucuruzi ku wa kane, amasomo ya USDrub yagabanutseho 0.41%, kugeza 73.3 Rables kuri buri dorari. Hagati aho, inkombe z'Uburusiya ntabwo iri mu kuzamura igipimo cy'ingenzi muri 2021, ibintu byose bizaterwa n'amakuru yinjira, Umuyobozi wa CBRF Elvira Nabiullina yavuze.

Nabillin agira ati: "Banki Nkuru ibona intego ishoboka ku muvuduko utabogamye wa 5-6% mu gihe cy'imiterere ya 2021-2023."

Soma byinshi